UPS

United Parcel Service Inc

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Advanced Chart

86.250

-0.53(-0.611%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

86.980

Open

86.800

VWAP

86.24

Vol

6.33M

Mkt Cap

73.04B

Low

85.726

Amount

546.04M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

7.42

Total Shares

855.56M

91.97B

EV/OCF(TTM)

12.30

P/S(TTM)

0.82

United Parcel Service, Inc. provides a range of integrated logistics solutions for customers in more than 200 countries and territories. Its segments include U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a range of United States domestic air and ground package transportation services. Its air portfolio offers time-definite, same-day, next-day, two-day and three-day delivery alternatives as well as air cargo services. Its ground network enables customers to ship using its day-definite ground service. UPS SurePost provides residential ground service for customers with non-urgent, lightweight residential shipments. International Package segment consists of its small package operations in Europe, Indian sub-continent, Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America and Asia. It offers a selection of guaranteed day- and time-definite international shipping services. Its supply chain solutions consist of forwarding, logistics, and other businesses.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q1

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

20.99B

-2.37%

1.477

-0.88%

23.91B

-5.49%

2.138

-22.24%

20.89B

-6.11%

1.363

-22.57%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.27% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -8.06%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.27%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.71%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-8.06%

In Past 3 Month

20 Analyst Rating

31.07% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast UPS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UPS is 113.05 USD with a low forecast of 90.00 USD and a high forecast of 133.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

10 Buy

9 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Buy

31.07% Upside

Current: 86.250

Low

90.00

Averages

113.05

High

133.00

31.07% Upside

Current: 86.250

Low

90.00

Averages

113.05

High

133.00

Vertical Research

Jeffrey Kauffman

Buy

Hold

downgrade

$103

2025-07-30

Reason

Vertical Research

Jeffrey Kauffman

Price Target

$103

2025-07-30

downgrade

Buy

Hold

Reason

Vertical Research analyst Jeffrey Kauffman downgraded UPS to Hold from Buy with a $103 price target.

UBS

Thomas Wadewitz

Buy

downgrade

$124 -> $118

2025-07-30

Reason

UBS

Thomas Wadewitz

Price Target

$124 -> $118

2025-07-30

downgrade

Buy

Reason

UBS analyst Thomas Wadewitz lowered the firm's price target on UPS to $118 from $124 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. UPS's in-line Q2 EPS reflected favorable execution managing down costs in Domestic Package, but the forward outlook appears more challenging because the impact to domestic SMB customers who may have sourced goods from China is unclear, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Stifel

Buy

downgrade

$124 -> $120

2025-07-30

Reason

Stifel

Price Target

$124 -> $120

2025-07-30

downgrade

Buy

Reason

Stifel lowered the firm's price target on UPS to $120 from $124 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Management pulled 2025 guidance and "beyond that, there was a lot to digest from the quarter," the analyst tells investors. However, the firm views most of the negatives as addressable or being addressed, especially given its expectations for a firming market backdrop, so it remains constructive on the stock.

Susquehanna

Neutral

downgrade

$110 -> $100

2025-07-30

Reason

Susquehanna

Price Target

$110 -> $100

2025-07-30

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

Susquehanna lowered the firm's price target on UPS (UPS) to $100 from $110 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm said the company continues to face the difficult challenge of shrinking to grow in a high-fixed-cost network business with organic of macro and tariffs, and customer-specific (Amazon) volume pressure.

Oppenheimer

Scott Schneeberger

Outperform

maintain

$114 -> $100

2025-07-30

Reason

Oppenheimer

Scott Schneeberger

Price Target

$114 -> $100

2025-07-30

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Oppenheimer analyst Scott Schneeberger lowered the firm's price target on UPS to $100 from $114 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm notes that Q2 revenue slightly outperformed, while adjusted operating income/margin/EPS were below expectations. UPS again abstained from providing a 2025 revenue/operating profit outlook pending more certainty in the macro environment. Related to trade, UPS's China-U.S. lane declined 35% in May/June and experienced margin pressure due to light Ground Saver volume, Oppenheimer adds.

Morgan Stanley

Underweight

downgrade

$80 -> $75

2025-07-30

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$80 -> $75

2025-07-30

downgrade

Underweight

Reason

Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on UPS (UPS) to $75 from $80 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. Q2 results came in between the firm's estimates and consensus, but Domestic results missed both and "will likely be the bigger focus for investors," the analyst contends. With the Amazon (AMZN) draw down expected to double in the second half, the firm believes there could be a bigger gap than expected for second half earnings and adds that this risk layers on top of other unknowns, including tariff policy impact, mix pressure from USPS insourcing, and an uncertain peak season.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for United Parcel Service Inc (UPS.N) is 12.99, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 16.74. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess United Parcel Service Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Undervalued

5Y Average PE

16.74

Current PE

12.99

Overvalued PE

19.25

Undervalued PE

14.24

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Undervalued

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

11.23

Current EV/EBITDA

8.09

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

12.91

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

9.54

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Strongly Undervalued

5Y Average PS

1.50

Current PS

0.83

Overvalued PS

1.77

Undervalued PS

1.23