UPS Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how UPS performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, UPS sees a +4.54% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.41% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -4.31%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
UPS Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
22.25B
5.62%
1.96%
Gross Margin
75.96%
0.15%
0.25%
Operating Margin
8.91%
30.65%
-5.81%
Net Margin
6.92%
29.35%
7.12%
EPS
1.80
37.40%
9.76%
No Data Available
UPS Earnings Analysis
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B Corporation (UPS.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Third Quarter Revenue Increase: Consolidated revenue for the third quarter was $22.2 billion, an increase of 5.6% compared to last year.
Operating Profit Increase: Consolidated operating profit was $2 billion, up 22.8% from last year, with an operating margin of 8.9%.
Earnings Per Share Increase: Diluted earnings per share was $1.76, up 12.1% from the third quarter of 2023.
Domestic Revenue Increase: In the U.S., domestic revenue generated was $14.5 billion, up 5.8% compared to last year, driven by strong volume growth.
International Revenue Increase: International revenue was $4.4 billion, up 3.4% from last year, with all regions growing revenue year-over-year.
Negative
Revenue Growth Slows: Consolidated revenue was $22.2 billion, which is an increase of only 5.6% compared to the third quarter of last year, indicating slower growth than expected.
Challenging Macro Environment: In the third quarter, we faced a macro environment that was slightly worse than we expected, impacting our overall performance.
Online Sales Decline: In the U.S., online sales slowed and manufacturing activity was lower than anticipated, contributing to a decline in overall performance.
Operating Profit Increase: The consolidated operating profit was $2 billion, which, while an increase of 22.8% from last year, still reflects challenges in achieving higher margins.
Average Daily Volume Stagnation: The average daily volume growth in the U.S. was only 0.8% year-over-year, indicating a stagnation in growth compared to previous quarters.
UPS FAQs
How does UPS typically perform around its earnings report dates?
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UPS Earning Call Sentiment
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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UPS.N
0.86%Positive
The financial performance was robust with strong revenue and profit growth, despite challenges like supply chain issues and economic uncertainties. The optimistic guidance for 2024, especially in terms of operating margin and revenue growth, along with a completed share repurchase plan and significant dividends, bolsters positive sentiment. Concerns from the Q&A about peak season softness and operational challenges were addressed with confidence, and the strategic initiatives like the USPS contract are expected to yield positive results. Overall, the sentiment leans towards a positive outlook for the stock.
