Quarterly Results
ADP Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, ADP remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q2 project quarter revenue of 5.34B and an EPS of 2.56.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Upward by 0.03%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.04%. For the upcoming Q2 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.43% . These revisions correlate with a -8.61% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in ADP long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ADP performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ADP sees a -0.72% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.94% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.16%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.12% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -2.55% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of ADP's latest earnings report for FY2026Q1?
ADP reported its FY2026Q1 earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 5.18B against an estimate of 5.13B, resulting in a 0.81% surprise. The EPS was 2.49, surpassing the expected 2.44 by 2.05% . The stock experienced a -6.58% price change on the earnings day and a -8.03% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did ADP's stock price react after the FY2026Q1 earnings release?
Following ADP's FY2026Q1 earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by -6.58% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -8.03% change. Historically, ADP's stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.72% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.94% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ADP for 2026/Q2?
For 2026/Q2, analysts estimate ADP’s annual revenue to reach 5.34B, while the EPS is projected at 2.56. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.03% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.43% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does ADP's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between ADP's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were Revise Upward by 0.03%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.43% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from ADP's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, ADP's stock price typically moves by -0.72% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.94% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q2 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 2.56 and revenue of 5.34B.
What is the sentiment in Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance and guidance show stability, but with some concerns like flat U.S. pays per control and margin pressure. The Q&A highlights positive developments in areas like AI and new bookings, but also reveals uncertainties in macroeconomic impacts and client adoption of Next Gen. The lack of specific financial details on acquisitions and Next Gen adoption timelines adds to the uncertainty. Given these mixed signals and the absence of a market cap, a neutral sentiment is appropriate.

