SO Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how SO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SO sees a -1.15% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.12% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.65%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
SO Key Earning Data
SO Earnings Analysis
Positive
Q1 2025 Earnings Beat Estimates: Adjusted earnings results for Q1 2025 exceeded estimates, showing year-over-year growth across all major businesses.
Southeast Economic Resilience: The Southeast's economic resilience is highlighted by robust economic development activity, including a large load pipeline.
Customer Growth in Utilities: Customer growth continues in state-regulated electric utilities, with attractive service territories for commercial and industrial customers.
Grid Reliability and Resilience: The reliability and resilience of the company's grid are acknowledged by customers, particularly data center clients.
Positive EPS Outlook: The company has a strong financial outlook, with adjusted EPS for Q1 2025 at $1.23, $0.02 higher than Q1 2024 and $0.03 above estimates.
Sales Growth in Key Sectors: Commercial and industrial sales increased, particularly in data centers (up 11% year-over-year) and the transportation sector (up 4%).
Capital Investment and Job Creation: Economic development activity in Q1 2025 included over $11 billion in capital investment and more than 4,000 new jobs in service territories.
Pipeline Growth Potential: The large load pipeline continues to grow, with over 50 gigawatts of potential incremental load by the mid-2030s, including 10 gigawatts of project commitments.
Long-Term Debt Issuance: The company has successfully issued $2.2 billion of long-term debt, nearly half of the projected financing needs for 2025, indicating strong access to capital.
Dividend Increase Announcement: The board approved an 8¢ per share increase in the annual common dividend, marking the 24th consecutive annual increase and 78 years of dividend payments at or above the previous year.
Negative
Q2 Adjusted EPS Decline: Adjusted EPS for Q2 is projected at $0.85, which is significantly lower than the previous year's Q2 results, indicating potential challenges ahead.
Retail Electricity Sales Decline: Weather-related impacts have negatively affected retail electricity sales, with a 0.3% decrease compared to the same quarter last year, primarily due to residential customer usage.
Profitability Challenges: The company is facing higher operating costs and depreciation, which are impacting overall profitability despite some growth in customer numbers.
Tariff Policy Uncertainty: There is ongoing policy uncertainty regarding tariffs, which could lead to cost increases of 1% to 3%, potentially affecting capital deployment and customer pricing.
Demand Trend Slowdown: The company noted a slowdown in demand trends across customer classes, particularly in data centers, which saw a decrease in growth rate from 17% to 11%.
Regulatory Impact on Growth: The regulatory process for new energy resources in Georgia is ongoing, and any delays or complications could impact future capital expenditure and growth plans.
Inflation Reduction Act Impact: The company is still navigating the implications of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and its potential impact on financial performance, particularly regarding tax credits and transferability.
Customer Bill Concerns: Concerns were raised about the potential for increased customer bills due to various factors, including fuel cost recovery and storm recovery costs, which could affect affordability for customers.
SO FAQs
How does SO typically perform around its earnings report dates?
SO's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -1.15% change leading up to the report and a -0.12% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Southern Co (SO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
SO Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Southern Company Q1 2025 earnings beat estimates

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