NKE Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how NKE performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NKE sees a -0.12% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -6.42% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.55%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
NKE Key Earning Data
NKE Earnings Analysis
Positive
Earnings Per Share Beat: NIKE, Inc. reported an EPS of $0.54, significantly beating expectations of $0.3007, indicating strong financial performance.
Sport-Driven Impact Strategy: Elliott Hill emphasized the importance of leading with sport, stating that it creates impact for NIKE, which aligns with their strategic focus on performance products.
Strategic Priorities Progress: The company has made progress in its 'Win Now' strategic priorities, focusing on strengthening culture, brand distinction, and product portfolio expansion.
Running Segment Growth: NIKE's running segment showed growth in mid-single digits, with successful product launches like the Pegasus Premium and Vomero 18, indicating strong consumer interest.
Record Sales Achievement: The NIKE San Francisco flagship store had its best commercial day in 10 years, showcasing the effectiveness of their marketing and product strategies.
Sales Success in Innovation: The introduction of the new 24/7 collection exceeded sales expectations, demonstrating successful innovation in performance materials for high-style training apparel.
Market Expansion Initiative: The launch of NIKESKIMS aims to create a new market for style-led products, indicating NIKE's commitment to innovation and market expansion.
Supply Chain Engagement: Elliott Hill's visit to factory partners and engagement with wholesale partners reflects a proactive approach to improving supply chain and partner relationships.
Consumer Experience Enhancement: The company is focused on creating consumer-led experiences across NIKE Direct and wholesale partners, enhancing brand engagement and customer satisfaction.
Negative
Sales Performance Decline: Revenues were down 9% on a reported basis and down 7% on a currency neutral basis, indicating a significant decline in sales performance.
Direct Sales Decline: NIKE Direct sales decreased by 10%, with NIKE Digital declining 15% and NIKE Stores down 2%, reflecting challenges in direct-to-consumer channels.
Gross Margin Decline: Gross margins declined 330 basis points to 41.5% due to higher markdowns, inventory obsolescence, and product costs, which negatively impacted profitability.
Earnings Performance Analysis: Earnings per share of $0.54, while beating expectations, still reflects a challenging financial environment with significant headwinds.
Footwear Franchise Declines: Declines in classic footwear franchises were pronounced, with double-digit declines impacting overall performance, particularly in NIKE Digital.
Greater China Revenue Decline: In Greater China, revenue declined 15%, with NIKE Direct down 11% and wholesale down 18%, indicating severe market challenges in this key region.
Inventory and Demand Concerns: Inventory remains elevated across all geographies, with customer cancellations increasing, suggesting potential issues with demand and overstocking.
Q4 Revenue Decline Expected: The company expects Q4 revenues to be down in the mid-teens range, indicating continued struggles ahead.
Gross Margin Decline Forecast: Gross margins are expected to decline by approximately 400 to 500 basis points in Q4, reflecting ongoing challenges in cost management and pricing strategy.
NKE FAQs
How does NKE typically perform around its earnings report dates?
NKE's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -0.12% change leading up to the report and a -6.42% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Nike Inc (NKE) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
NKE Earning Call Sentiment
NIKE, Inc. (NYSE:NKE) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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