Nike Inc (NKE) FY2026Q1 Earning Prediction
Nike Inc (NKE) is set to release its FY2026Q1 earnings performance on 09/30 04:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 11.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.27 for the FY2026Q1. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast predicts a Beat due to improved product innovation, inventory normalization, and strategic partnerships.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Logic & Justification
Key Fact Data Insights:
- Product Innovation & Channel Momentum
RBC Capital, TD Cowen, and JPMorgan highlight improved product innovation (e.g., performance running, women’s apparel) and strategic shifts in wholesale distribution.
Foot Locker’s improved Nike product placement (JPMorgan) and Amazon partnership (Jefferies) signal stronger direct and wholesale sales momentum.
- Margin Recovery Signals
Multiple analysts (TD Cowen, Jefferies, Argus) cite margin improvements from reduced discounts, inventory normalization, and supply chain efficiency.
Workforce cuts (less than 1%) and Converse leadership changes suggest cost optimization.
- Inventory Normalization
- Jefferies and Argus note inventory is nearing "clean" levels, with holiday orders up YoY, implying better sales velocity.
- Mixed Global Sales Momentum
- UBS reports "lackluster" global sales through August, but BWG Global highlights stabilizing U.S. demand and China sales pickup.
Consensus Context
- Minimal revenue/EPS estimate revisions (+ 0.11%/+ 0.69%) and stock underperformance (- 0.32% vs. S&P +7%) reflect low expectations. Fact data suggests fundamentals are improving faster than priced in.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Trading Strategy
- Options Play: Buy short-dated calls (Oct 2025 $75 strike) to capitalize on Beat-driven upside.
- Hedging: Pair with puts (Oct 2025 $65 strike) to mitigate tariff/inventory risks.
- Stock: Accumulate shares pre-earnings; low expectations limit downside.
Rationale: Analyst upgrades and inventory normalization signal a tactical Beat, but mixed global sales and tariff risks warrant caution.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
NKE Transcript
The earnings call reveals several concerning factors: declining revenues in key regions, significant EBIT declines, and gross margin pressures due to tariffs. The Q&A highlights uncertainties, especially in China, and management's reluctance to provide clear timelines or targets. The positive aspects, such as growth in North America and certain product lines, are overshadowed by broader challenges. Without a market cap, the stock's reaction is uncertain, but the overall sentiment suggests a negative outlook for the next two weeks.
The earnings call reveals several challenges: declining revenues in key regions, margin pressures, and digital traffic headwinds. While there are positive aspects like growth in North America and strategic initiatives, the overall sentiment is dampened by significant headwinds in Greater China and digital channels. The Q&A section highlights management's confidence but also reveals uncertainties, especially in China. The lack of clear guidance and the impact of tariffs further contribute to a negative outlook. Given these factors, a negative stock price reaction is expected over the next two weeks.
The earnings call indicates challenges with declining revenues and margins, particularly in APLA and due to tariffs. Management's cautious approach and lack of clear guidance on recovery timelines, especially in China, suggest uncertainties. Despite some positive elements like innovation and marketplace cleanup, the overall sentiment is negative due to revenue declines, margin pressures, and unclear recovery paths.
The earnings call highlights several negative aspects: declining revenues, significant margin compression, and challenges in key markets like Greater China. Despite EPS growth, the lack of guidance and no shareholder return plans further dampen sentiment. The Q&A reveals ongoing inventory issues and promotional pressures, with management providing unclear timelines for resolution. Although there is some optimism in product innovation, the overall outlook is hindered by macroeconomic and internal challenges. Without a market cap, the prediction leans negative due to the breadth of issues discussed.
NKE Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Nike Inc FY2026Q1 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Nike Inc (NKE) is scheduled to release its FY2026Q1 earnings report onSep 30, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Nike Inc FY2026Q1 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 11.00B in revenue and an EPS of 0.00 for Nike Inc's FY2026Q1.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Nike Inc FY2026Q1 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forNike Inc's FY2026Q1 earnings, with a prediction date of Sep 30, 2025. Nike Inc The earnings forecast predicts a Beat due to improved product innovation, inventory normalization, and strategic partnerships.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade NKE Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theSep 30, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Nike Inc FY2026Q1?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
