The chart below shows how BMY performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, BMY sees a +0.17% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.27% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.43%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Fourth Quarter Sales Growth: Sales in the fourth quarter grew 9% to approximately $12.3 billion, driven by volume growth across the portfolio and higher inventory levels in the market.
Strong Sales Growth: The growth portfolio delivered another strong quarter with sales up 23%, representing slightly more than half of total revenue, with key brands like REBIZEL, Briyansi, Khemzias, and Optilag achieving significant growth.
Eliquis Q4 Sales Surge: Eliquis delivered over $3 billion in fourth quarter sales, with U.S. sales growing 19% due to strong demand and typical inventory build.
Strong Sales Uptake: Cobenphi sales in the fourth quarter were approximately $10 million, reflecting strong prescription uptake during the initial months of launch, with favorable feedback from patients and physicians.
Cost Savings Expansion: The company expects to capture an additional $2 billion in savings from an expanded cost savings program, with approximately $1 billion to be realized in 2025, enhancing financial flexibility for growth investments.
Negative
Revenue Guidance Adjustment: Revenue guidance for 2025 is approximately $1,000,000,000 less than consensus, primarily due to expected declines in the legacy portfolio, with a projected 18% to 20% decline due to generics and foreign exchange headwinds.
Legacy Portfolio Decline: The legacy portfolio is expected to decline approximately 10% to 12% sequentially in 2025, reflecting the impact of increased generic competition and the anticipated loss of exclusivity for key products like Revlimid and POMALYST.
Gross Margin Decline: Gross margin declined by approximately 240 basis points in the fourth quarter, driven primarily by product mix, indicating potential pressure on profitability moving forward.
Rising Operating Expenses: Operating expenses increased approximately 8% in the fourth quarter, largely driven by R&D investments, which may limit the company's ability to manage costs effectively in the near term.
Effective Tax Rate Increase: The effective tax rate for the quarter was 19.9%, up from 14.9% in the prior year, primarily driven by earnings mix, which could impact net income and earnings per share going forward.
Earnings call transcript: Bristol-Myers Squibb Q4 2024 beats estimates
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