Should I Buy United Parcel Service Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UPS has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
UPS stock price ended at $100.92 on Thursday, after losing -0.24%
The United Parcel Service Inc stock price decreased by -0.24% on the last trading day (12 Jun 2025), dropping from 101.055 to 100.92. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 0.88% , ranging from a day low of $100.18 to a day high of 101.06. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 2.87% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -1.81M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.11M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 313.06M.
UPS Technical Signals
UPS(United Parcel Service Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-02. The total price change during this trend is +3.66%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of UPS over the last 5 trading days is 443.61M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
UPS Moving Average Analysis
United Parcel Service Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, June 13, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $103.99750666666667, and $106.81666666666666. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $94.87582666666667, and $92.05666666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
UPS Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of United Parcel Service Inc(UPS) as of 09 Jun 2025 is 16.90%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 98.25 to 99.31. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
2.485
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
2.82
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.464
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
80.314
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
106.654
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
84.297
Bearish
UPS Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to United Parcel Service Inc(UPS), our algorithm predicts UPS's 1-month price at $90.19, with an -8.2%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 91.83%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for United Parcel Service Inc (UPS.N) stock, as of Sunday, June 8, 2025 , forecasts a -8.2% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with GAIA.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 91.83%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
UPS
No Data
GAIA
Down: -8.2%Similarity: 91.83%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
GAIA.O
91.83%
-8.20%
MLKN.O
91.26%
+1.58%
UPS Seasonality Analysis
Based on UPS's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is53.33%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in UPS. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at75.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying United Parcel Service Inc (UPS.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (75.00%), while April has the lowest probability (42.86%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy United Parcel Service Inc (UPS.N) stock?
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