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  4. Forecast

Stock Price Prediction

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UPS
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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
    OverviewForecastTechnicalOptionsEarningsFinancialsValuationInsiders

UPS Price Prediction Next Week

Technical Analysis

Based on recent price action, UPS shows a consolidation pattern around $116 level with increasing volume. The stock has formed a potential support level at $115.66.

News Impact Analysis

Several significant developments affecting UPS's outlook:

  1. Strategic Shift with Amazon:
  • Reducing Amazon deliveries by 50% by 2026
  • Amazon currently accounts for 11.8% of revenue
  • Focus shifting to higher-margin operations
  1. Financial Restructuring:
  • Implementation of "Efficiency Reimagined" initiative
  • Target of $1 billion in cost savings
  • Network reconfiguration to align with new volume levels

Price Drivers

Positive Factors:

  • Strong dividend yield at 4.8%
  • Cost-saving initiatives
  • Focus on higher-margin business segments

Negative Factors:

  • Network restructuring risks
  • Revenue decline expected in 2025 ($89B vs $91.1B in 2024)
  • Market uncertainty about execution

Next Week Price Prediction

Based on technical indicators and news sentiment:

Target Ranges:

  • Resistance: $118.50
  • Support: $114.80
  • Most Likely Range: $115.50-$117.30

Probability Scenarios:

  • Bullish (40%): Break above $118 if market confidence in restructuring plan improves
  • Bearish (30%): Drop below $114 if concerns about Amazon transition intensify
  • Sideways (30%): Consolidation between $115-$117 as market digests strategic changes

Trading Recommendation

SELL with target entry at $117.20

  • Stop Loss: $118.50
  • Take Profit: $114.80
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1.5

Rationale:

  • Current market sentiment remains cautious about execution risks
  • Technical indicators suggest potential downward pressure
  • Short-term headwinds from network restructuring announcement

Technical Analysis

Based on recent price action, UPS shows a consolidation pattern around $116 level with increasing volume. The stock has formed a potential support level at $115.66.

News Impact Analysis

Several significant developments affecting UPS's outlook:

  1. Strategic Shift with Amazon:
  • Reducing Amazon deliveries by 50% by 2026
  • Amazon currently accounts for 11.8% of revenue
  • Focus shifting to higher-margin operations
  1. Financial Restructuring:
  • Implementation of "Efficiency Reimagined" initiative
  • Target of $1 billion in cost savings
  • Network reconfiguration to align with new volume levels

Price Drivers

Positive Factors:

  • Strong dividend yield at 4.8%
  • Cost-saving initiatives
  • Focus on higher-margin business segments

Negative Factors:

  • Network restructuring risks
  • Revenue decline expected in 2025 ($89B vs $91.1B in 2024)
  • Market uncertainty about execution

Next Week Price Prediction

Based on technical indicators and news sentiment:

Target Ranges:

  • Resistance: $118.50
  • Support: $114.80
  • Most Likely Range: $115.50-$117.30

Probability Scenarios:

  • Bullish (40%): Break above $118 if market confidence in restructuring plan improves
  • Bearish (30%): Drop below $114 if concerns about Amazon transition intensify
  • Sideways (30%): Consolidation between $115-$117 as market digests strategic changes

Trading Recommendation

SELL with target entry at $117.20

  • Stop Loss: $118.50
  • Take Profit: $114.80
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1.5

Rationale:

  • Current market sentiment remains cautious about execution risks
  • Technical indicators suggest potential downward pressure
  • Short-term headwinds from network restructuring announcement

UPS Similar Chart Price Prediction

The price of UPS is predicted to go up 12.14%, based on the high correlation periods with MGPI. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 98.39%.

stocks logo

UPS

stocks logo

MGPI

Up: 12.14%Similarity: 98.39%

UPS Stock Forecast & Prediction For Years 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030

Year

UPS Price Forecast($)

Potential Return(%)

2025

124.040

0.200

2026

133.000

16.430

2027

160.000

40.070

2028

140.000

22.560

2029

140.000

22.560

2030

160.000

40.070

What is UPS stock price prediction 2025 ?

UPS stock is currently trading at $124.04. Based on its projected 2025 revenue growth of 4% and EPS growth of 17%, alongside improving macroeconomic conditions and operational efficiencies, the stock could reach $140–$150 by the end of 2025. This estimate reflects moderate recovery potential, supported by easing labor costs and strategic investments in healthcare logistics.

What is UPS stock price prediction 2026 ?

UPS stock is projected to reach approximately $133 by 2026. This estimate is based on UPS's strategic initiatives to improve margins, reduce Amazon-related volume, and optimize its network, which are expected to enhance profitability and efficiency. However, challenges like labor costs and competitive pressures may limit upside potential.

What is UPS stock price prediction 2027 ?

UPS stock is projected to reach approximately $160 by 2027, driven by expected revenue growth, margin improvements, and strategic investments in technology and logistics. Analysts anticipate a recovery in delivery volumes and cost efficiencies, supported by a favorable macroeconomic environment. However, risks include competition and potential economic slowdowns.

What is UPS stock price prediction 2028 ?

UPS stock is projected to reach approximately $140 by 2028, driven by operational efficiency improvements and strategic shifts like reducing Amazon volumes to enhance profitability. The company's focus on healthcare logistics and automation supports long-term growth despite near-term challenges. However, macroeconomic factors and competition could moderate the pace of recovery.

What is UPS stock price prediction 2029 ?

UPS stock is projected to reach approximately $140 by 2029, assuming a moderate recovery in operating margins and steady revenue growth driven by strategic cost-cutting and reduced reliance on Amazon. This estimate factors in a forward P/E ratio of 15 and expected EPS growth to $9.30 by 2029. Risks include macroeconomic headwinds and competitive pressures.

What is UPS stock price prediction 2030 ?

UPS stock is projected to reach approximately $160–$180 by 2030, driven by expected improvements in profit margins and operational efficiency. The company's strategic shift away from low-margin Amazon volumes and investments in automation and logistics technology are likely to enhance revenue per piece and profitability. However, macroeconomic factors, including interest rates and global trade dynamics, will play a significant role in achieving this target.

UPS Revenue Forecast

UPS EPS Forecast

UPS FAQs

What is bull’s view on UPS?

UPS stock is currently trading at $114.15, reflecting a bearish sentiment due to workforce reductions and a 14.1% drop after announcing cost-cutting measures, including building closures and fleet downsizing. However, bulls argue that the strategic reduction of Amazon volumes by over 50% could improve profitability, with analysts projecting margins to rise to 8.8% in 2025. Despite near-term challenges, the stock's low valuation and a forward dividend yield above 5% make it attractive for long-term investors seeking stability.

What is bear's view on UPS?

UPS stock is bearish due to a 14.1% drop following workforce and delivery reductions, with closures of up to 10% of buildings and fleet cuts impacting operations. The stock currently trades at $114.15, reflecting weak investor confidence amid declining volumes and profitability concerns. Additionally, the decision to reduce Amazon volumes by 50% by 2026 adds uncertainty, despite potential margin improvements.

What is UPS revenue forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for UPS's revenue in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $21.381B USD.

What is UPS eps forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for UPS's eps in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $1.67 USD.

UPS VS S&P500

Despite near-term normalization, UPS' US ground and express package delivery operations should enjoy positive longer-term tailwinds from e-commerce growth.

UPS' massive package sortation footprint, immense air and delivery fleet, and global operations knit together a presence that's extraordinarily difficult to replicate.

On top of superior parcel density, UPS uses many of the same assets to handle both express and ground shipments, contributing to industry-leading operating margins.

Ask Intellectia about UPS

UPS Analyst's Forecast

Ariel Rosa

Citigroup

Strong Buy

2025-01-31

Price Target

$158 → $149

Upside

+30.44%

Citi lowered the firm's price target on UPS to $149 from $158 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The stock dropped 14% on Thursday, its largest single-day decline in history, following the announcement that it intends to reduce volume with its largest customer Amazon (AMZN) by more than 50% by the second half of 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm disagrees with the market reaction. While the move "undoubtedly presents" a near-term drag on revenue, increasing uncertainty about the path forward for UPS, it also creates opportunity for UPS to pursue higher-quality business from customers that value its service, contends Citi. The firm says Amazon has been an overhang to UPS for the better part of a decade, with the relationship sometimes being contentious. This move takes low-to-zero-margin business out of UPS's network, offering upside to medium-term domestic profitability, Citi believes.
Thomas Wadewitz

UBS

Strong Buy

2025-01-31

Price Target

$170 → $141

Upside

+23.44%

Christian Wetherbee

Wells Fargo

Buy

2025-01-31

Price Target

$150 → $128

Upside

+12.05%

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