UPS Stock Price Prediction

United Parcel Service Inc

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97.450

+2.850(+3.010%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy United Parcel Service Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UPS has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

UPS stock price ended at $97.45 on Friday, after rising 3.01%

The United Parcel Service Inc stock price increased by 3.01% on the last trading day (02 May 2025), rising from 94.845 to 94.6. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.69% , ranging from a day low of $93.57 to a day high of 96.09. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.42% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -1.80M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 7.50M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 710.57M.

UPS Technical Signals

UPS(United Parcel Service Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-23. The total price change during this trend is -2.68%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of UPS over the last 5 trading days is 776.70M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

UPS Moving Average Analysis

United Parcel Service Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, May 2, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $100.57419333333334, and $102.96933333333334. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $92.82447333333334, and $90.42933333333335. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

UPS Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of United Parcel Service Inc(UPS) as of 30 Apr 2025 is 12.26%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 96.73 to 95.30. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 < -100

-109.494

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.4

Bullish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 < -80

-85.445

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-7.286

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-3.47

Bearish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA

Bearish

UPS Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to United Parcel Service Inc(UPS), our algorithm predicts UPS's 1-month price at $102.09, with an 4.27%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.86%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for United Parcel Service Inc (UPS.N) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a 4.27% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CXT.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.86%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

UPS

Future prediction

Up: 4.27%

CXT

Up: 4.27%Similarity: 98.86%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

CXT.N

98.86%

+4.27%

RLJ.N

98.76%

+3.28%

DOW.N

98.72%

+2.81%

SCL.N

98.67%

+13.52%

PANL.O

98.54%

-1.78%

HUN.N

98.50%

-6.68%

KOP.N

98.45%

+3.36%

PETS.O

98.44%

+12.28%

LYB.N

98.43%

-0.62%

XRX.O

98.43%

+9.60%

UPS Seasonality Analysis

Based on UPS's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is36.36%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in UPS. In contrast,Marchoffers the highest probability of positive returns at81.82%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying United Parcel Service Inc (UPS.N) stock in March has the highest probability of a positive return (81.82%), while December has the lowest probability (20.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.