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UPS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
104.860
1 Day change
-0.26%
52 Week Range
122.410
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock is undervalued, hedge funds are buying aggressively, and analysts maintain a generally positive outlook with several buy ratings and raised price targets. Despite short-term challenges, the company's long-term recovery plan and strong fundamentals make it a solid investment opportunity.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows mixed signals. The MACD is negative and expanding downward, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 39.49, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near a key support level (S1: 103.929), suggesting limited downside risk. Pivot resistance levels (R1: 110.041, R2: 111.929) indicate potential upside if momentum shifts.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are aggressively buying, with a 3861.21% increase in buying activity last quarter.

  • Analysts have raised price targets, with Citi and Goldman Sachs targeting $127, indicating significant upside potential.

  • UPS is considered undervalued, with a long-term turnaround plan in place for 2026.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Short-term revenue declines and challenges related to Amazon's volume glide-down.

  • MACD indicates bearish momentum, and RSI is neutral, showing no immediate upward trend.

  • Uncertainty around geopolitical risks, fuel volatility, and macroeconomic demand as highlighted by analysts.

Financial Performance

No financial data provided for the latest quarter. However, analysts note a slight Q1 beat, with international performance offsetting weaker domestic results. The company reaffirmed its 2026 guidance, signaling confidence in its long-term recovery strategy.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed but leans positive. Multiple firms, including Citi, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, maintain Buy ratings with raised price targets. Neutral ratings from others reflect cautious optimism due to macro uncertainties. The consensus highlights UPS's potential for recovery and growth beyond 2026.

Wall Street analysts forecast UPS stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast UPS stock price to rise
9 Buy
9 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 105.130
sliders
Low
80
Averages
107.06
High
126
Current: 105.130
sliders
Low
80
Averages
107.06
High
126
Evercore ISI
In Line
downgrade
$113 -> $111
AI Analysis
2026-04-29
Reason
Evercore ISI
Price Target
$113 -> $111
AI Analysis
2026-04-29
downgrade
In Line
Reason
Evercore ISI lowered the firm's price target on UPS to $111 from $113 and keeps an In Line rating on the shares.
Susquehanna
Neutral
maintain
$116 -> $118
2026-04-29
Reason
Susquehanna
Price Target
$116 -> $118
2026-04-29
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Susquehanna raised the firm's price target on UPS (UPS) to $118 from $116 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm said UPS left guidance unchanged, excluding the reality of fuel potentially helping both top-line/bottom-line. Regardless, the key for UPS is delivering on their CPP targets as the year progresses post Amazon (AMZN) glide-down, with RPP strong.
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