Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a comprehensive analysis of BBD stock:

Technical Analysis

• Current price: $2.04 (as of Feb 24, 2025)
• Today's performance: -2.39% during regular trading hours
• Recent price action shows a significant downward trend from $3.16 in January to current levels

Recent Significant Events

• Goldman Sachs recently downgraded BBD from Buy to Sell with a price target of $2.00
• Key concerns highlighted by Goldman Sachs include:
  • Return on equity expected to remain below cost of equity until at least 2027
  • Lagging performance compared to peers Itau and Santander Brasil
  • Limited organic capital generation potential

Institutional Activity Recent institutional movements show mixed signals:

• Itau USA Asset Management: Increased position by 5.4M shares (Q2 2024)
• BB Gestão de Recursos: Decreased position by 4.3M shares (Q1 2024)
• Several other institutions maintaining or slightly adjusting positions

Market Sentiment

• Recent trading volume has been elevated, with 33.5M shares traded today
• The stock showed some positive momentum in a recent ETF analysis, gaining 1.9% with high volume of 24.7M shares
• However, the Goldman Sachs downgrade has likely created additional selling pressure

Recommendation Given the current technical weakness, fundamental concerns raised by Goldman Sachs, and the stock trading near the $2.00 price target, selling BBD stock appears to be the more prudent action at this time. The combination of profitability concerns and limited capital generation potential suggests continued pressure on the stock price in the near term.

Based on the provided data and technical analysis, here's the price prediction for BBD stock in 2025:

BBD stock is expected to trade around $2.35-$2.45 by end of 2025, representing a potential upside of 15-20% from current price of $2.04. This projection is supported by improving technical indicators, with RSI at 45.68 showing room for upward momentum, and price currently trading near key Fibonacci support level of $2.04.

The stock has been in a downtrend since October 2024, falling from $2.70 to current $2.04 levels. However, technical analysis suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory and key support levels, setting up for a potential reversal and gradual recovery through 2025 as Brazilian banking sector fundamentals improve.

The current price of $2.04 represents an attractive entry point as it coincides with the Fibonacci S1 support level, while multiple resistance levels between $2.19-$2.31 provide upside targets. The 200-day moving average at $2.35 serves as a reasonable year-end 2025 target assuming the stock maintains its historical trading patterns.

The S1 support level for BBD Stock is $2.01 ,The R1 resistant level for BBD Stock is $2.18.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of BBD Stock was $2.

The target price for BBD Stock according to analyst rating is 2.40, with the highest price target at 2.80 and the lowest at 2.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on BBD Stock overall.

The market cap of BBD is $31.6B.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a comprehensive analysis of BBD's valuation:

Technical Analysis

• Current price at $2.04 represents a -2.39% decline in today's regular trading session
• RSI-14 at 45.68 indicates neutral momentum, though trending towards oversold territory
• MACD shows minimal divergence (0.02) with a slightly negative histogram (-0.01), suggesting weak bearish momentum
• Price is trading below both SMA-200 ($2.35) and SMA-250 ($2.40), indicating a bearish long-term trend

Fundamental Analysis

• Goldman Sachs recently downgraded BBD from Buy to Sell with a price target of $2.00
• Key concerns include:
  • Return on equity expected to remain below cost of equity until at least 2027
  • Muted profitability limiting organic capital generation
  • Performance lagging behind peers Itau and Santander Brasil

Valuation Metrics

• Dividend yield of 8.5% appears attractive but may not be sustainable given profitability concerns
• Trading below book value with stable shareholders' equity
• Current price near Goldman Sachs' target of $2.00 suggests limited downside but also limited upside potential

Conclusion: BBD appears overvalued considering:

• Deteriorating technical indicators
• Fundamental challenges in profitability and capital generation
• Recent analyst downgrade
• Trading below key moving averages
• Weak competitive position versus peers

The stock may continue to face pressure as it works through its turnaround efforts, suggesting current prices don't offer compelling value despite the high dividend yield.

Banco Bradesco SA, formerly Banco Brasileiro de Descontos SA, is a Brazil-based public company which engages in the Banking Services Industry Group. The Company operates as a wide-ranging commercial bank in terms of total assets, credit operations and the volume of deposits and funding. The Company offers a range of banking and financial products and services, in Brazil and abroad, for individuals, and key national and international companies and institutions. The Company's products and services cover banking and non-banking operations, such as: loans and advances, deposits, issuing credit cards, consortium, insurance, capitalization, leasing, payment collection and processing, supplementary pension plans, asset management and securities intermediation and brokerage services.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here's a projection for BBD stock price in 2030:

BBD stock is expected to reach approximately $3.80-4.20 by 2030, driven by Brazil's banking sector growth and digital transformation. The projection considers BBD's strong market position in Brazil's banking industry, consistent dividend yield (currently 8.5%), and the company's ongoing investments in digital banking capabilities.

Key Factors Supporting This Prediction:

• Financial Stability: The bank maintains a solid balance sheet with $13.46B in equity and manageable debt levels of $9.88B, providing a foundation for sustainable growth.

• Technical Analysis: Current technical indicators show:

  • RSI (14) at 45.68 indicating neutral momentum
  • MACD showing slight bullish divergence (0.02)
  • Moving averages suggest a consolidation phase with potential upside

BBD has a total of 86222 employees.