Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here is the price prediction analysis for BMY stock in 2025:
Technical Analysis
The stock is currently showing bearish momentum with RSI at 45.16 and MACD at -0.66, indicating downward pressure. The stock is trading below its 20-day SMA of $57.39, suggesting short-term weakness.
Fundamental Drivers
According to recent earnings reports, BMY faces several key factors that will influence its 2025 price:
- Revenue Guidance:
- Management projects 2025 revenue of $45.5 billion, below analyst consensus of $46.27 billion
- Legacy portfolio expected to decline 18-20% due to generic competition
- Growth portfolio showing strong momentum with 21% YoY growth
- Cost Optimization:
- Additional $2 billion in cost savings targeted by 2027
- $1 billion in savings expected in 2025
- Pipeline Progress:
- Multiple late-stage pipeline readouts expected in 2025-2026
- Strong performance from new products like Reblozyl (+71% growth) and Breyanzi (+125% growth)
2025 Price Prediction
Based on the technical and fundamental analysis:
Base Case ($58-60): Most likely scenario (60% probability)
- Growth portfolio continues strong performance
- Cost savings partially offset generic impacts
- Pipeline advances as expected
Bullish Case ($62-65): Lower probability (20%)
- Better-than-expected growth portfolio performance
- Pipeline catalysts exceed expectations
- Successful integration of recent acquisitions
Bearish Case ($52-55): Moderate probability (20%)
- Deeper generic erosion than expected
- Pipeline setbacks
- Market multiple compression
Key Price Levels to Watch
- Support: $51.43 (Fibonacci S3)
- Resistance: $59.77 (Fibonacci R3)
The most likely scenario points to BMY trading in the $58-60 range by end of 2025, representing moderate upside from current levels, driven by growth portfolio momentum and cost optimization efforts offsetting generic pressures.