Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis of ENB's valuation:
Technical Analysis
The stock is currently showing bearish technical signals with RSI at 35.07 indicating oversold conditions. The MACD is negative at -0.29 with a bearish histogram of -0.37, suggesting downward momentum.
Valuation Metrics
The stock appears overvalued based on several key metrics:
- Forward P/E of 16.81x (2023) shows improvement from 41.47x (2022)
- EV/EBITDA of 14.63x remains elevated compared to industry standards
- P/B ratio of 1.86x indicates moderate premium to book value
- Dividend yield of 8.15% (2023) increased significantly from 3.21% (2022)
Recent Developments
The potential impact of Trump's proposed tariffs on Canadian imports has created uncertainty. While ENB's pipeline business operates on take-or-pay contracts which provide some protection, there could be indirect effects on spot volumes flowing into the US.
Financial Performance
Notable improvements in 2023:
- Net income increased significantly to CAD 5.84B from CAD 2.59B
- Gross margin expanded to 39.2% from 31.14%
- ROE improved to 10.84% from 4.88%
- Net margin increased to 14.13% from 5.5%
Conclusion
ENB appears overvalued at current levels based on:
- High valuation multiples relative to historical averages
- Potential headwinds from proposed tariffs
- Technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum
However, strong financial performance and high dividend yield provide some support. The stock would be more attractive below $35 per share.