Based on the provided data and context, here is my analysis of whether CVX is overvalued:
Valuation Analysis: CVX currently trades at a PE ratio of 16.17 for Q3 2024, which is significantly higher than the industry average PE of 8.42. The EV/EBITDA of 6.68 and Price/Sales of 1.40 indicate moderate valuation levels.
Market Position: Chevron's stock has underperformed in 2023-2024, falling 13% while the S&P 500 climbed 57%. This decline has created a valuation opportunity, with the stock trading below its 10-year average multiples.
Analyst Consensus: Recent analyst ratings show strong conviction, with Raymond James maintaining a Buy rating and $180 price target (15.64% upside), while UBS maintains a Strong Buy rating with a $195 target (23.17% upside).
Final Assessment: While CVX's PE ratio appears elevated compared to peers, the company's strong balance sheet, consistent dividend growth history, and analyst optimism suggest the stock is fairly valued at current levels considering its integrated business model and market position.