Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis of COP stock:

Recent Price Action

• COP closed at $97.94 on Friday, February 21, 2025, down 3.98%
• The stock is currently trading well below its 52-week high of $135.17

Key Catalysts

1. Recent Asset Sale:

• ConocoPhillips announced selling Ursa and Europa Fields to Shell for $735 million
• Transaction expected to close by Q2 2025
• Proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes

2. Marathon Oil Integration:

• Successfully completed $22.5 billion acquisition of Marathon Oil in November 2024
• Expected to achieve over $1 billion in cost synergies within first year
• Strengthened low-cost resource base with addition of 2 billion barrels at sub-$30 per barrel cost of supply

Analyst Consensus

• Strong Buy rating with 23 out of 28 analysts recommending Buy
• Average price target of $132.69, suggesting 31.9% upside potential
• Recent price targets range from $114 to $165

Technical Analysis The stock is showing bearish signals in the short term:

• Trading below both short and long-term moving averages
• Support level at $96.90
• Resistance levels at $98.36 and $101.11

Based on the comprehensive analysis, COP stock appears to be a SELL at current levels. While the company has strong fundamentals and positive analyst sentiment, technical indicators suggest further downside in the near term. Investors may want to wait for better entry points closer to the support level at $96.90.

Based on the provided references and data, I'll analyze ConocoPhillips' (COP) price prediction for 2025.

Technical Analysis

Price Target Analysis According to multiple analyst forecasts:

• JP Morgan raised price target from $123 to $127
• Truist Financial maintains Buy rating
• Consensus price target from 19 analysts is $133.47, representing a 36.33% upside from current price
• Jefferies has a price target of $146

Key Growth Drivers for 2025

1. Production & Operations:

• 2025 production guidance: 2.34-2.38M boe/day
• Willow project in Alaska and Surmont in Canada expected to boost production starting 2026
• $12.9B capital expenditure budget for 2025

2. Financial Outlook:

• Expected to generate $10 billion in pre-dividend free cash flow at current strip pricing
• Lower maintenance capital requirements than market expectations ($10.25B vs $12.0B)
• Estimated 11% free cash flow yield based on current oil and gas prices

3. Strategic Initiatives:

• Integration synergies from Marathon Oil merger expected to exceed $500 million
• Continued focus on Permian Basin expansion with $900M growth capital allocation
• Strong position in key growth areas including Alaska and Canada

Price Prediction Scenarios for 2025

Bullish Case ($140-165):

• Successful integration of Marathon Oil assets
• Higher oil prices sustained above $80/barrel
• Better-than-expected synergy realization Probability: 35%

Base Case ($120-140):

• Oil prices remain stable around $70-80/barrel
• Expected synergy achievements
• Normal production ramp-up Probability: 45%

Bearish Case ($95-120):

• Oil price weakness below $65/barrel
• Integration challenges
• Production delays Probability: 20%

Conclusion Based on the comprehensive analysis, COP's most likely price range for 2025 is $120-140, supported by strong operational execution, strategic growth projects, and robust free cash flow generation. The base case scenario has the highest probability given the company's solid fundamentals and strategic positioning in key markets.

The S1 support level for COP Stock is $96.04 ,The R1 resistant level for COP Stock is $101.63.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of COP Stock was $97.5.

The target price for COP Stock according to analyst rating is 132.15, with the highest price target at 165.00 and the lowest at 114.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on COP Stock overall.

The market cap of COP is $123.5B.

Based on the provided data and market context, here is a comprehensive analysis of whether COP is overvalued:

Technical Analysis

Valuation Assessment COP's current PE ratio of 12.81x represents a significant increase from 8.10x in 2022, suggesting some valuation expansion. However, this remains reasonable for the energy sector. The EV/EBITDA ratio of 6.46x, while higher than 2022's 4.66x, is still below industry averages.

Financial Performance The company has experienced declining profitability with net income dropping from $18.62B in 2022 to $10.92B in 2023. Revenue also decreased from $78.49B to $56.14B. However, the company maintains strong margins with a net margin of 19.52%.

Recent Strategic Move COP recently announced selling its Ursa and Europa Fields to Shell for $735M, demonstrating active portfolio optimization and progress toward its $2B disposition target.

Market Position The stock is currently trading at $97.94, below both its 60-day SMA ($101.33) and 200-day SMA ($107.60), indicating bearish technical signals. However, the current price sits near key support levels, with Fibonacci support at $96.11.

Based on these factors, COP appears fairly valued at current levels, with its valuation metrics remaining reasonable despite recent increases. The company's strong margins and strategic portfolio management offset concerns about declining revenues.

ConocoPhillips is an exploration and production company. The Company operates through six segments. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The Lower 48 segment consists of operations located in the 48 contiguous United States and the Gulf of Mexico. Its Canada segments consist of the Surmont oil sands developments in Alberta and British Columbia. The Europe, Middle East and North Africa segment consists of operations principally located in the Norwegian sector of the North Sea, the Norwegian Sea, Qatar, Libya, and commercial and terminal operations in the United Kingdom. The Asia Pacific segment has exploration and production operations in China, Malaysia, Australia and commercial operations in China, Singapore, and Japan. The Other International segment includes interests in Colombia as well as contingencies associated with prior operations in other countries.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here's the 2030 price prediction for ConocoPhillips (COP):

ConocoPhillips stock is projected to reach $165-175 by 2030, driven by its strong operational efficiency, strategic LNG expansion, and commitment to low-carbon initiatives. The company's successful integration of Marathon Oil acquisition with expected $1 billion in synergies and consistent focus on shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks positions it well for long-term growth. Recent analyst projections and the company's robust free cash flow generation capability of $10 billion pre-dividend support this bullish long-term outlook.

COP has a total of 9900 employees.