VALE Stock: Price, Forecast, Financials & AI Analysis

High

Open

VWAP

Vol

Mkt Cap

Low

Amount

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

Total Shares

EV/OCF(TTM)

P/S(TTM)

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q4

FY2026Q1

FY2026Q2

10.79B

+6.57%

0.603

+200.16%

8.70B

+7.1%

0.415

+19.18%

9.67B

+9.85%

0.510

+2%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Vale S.A. (VALE) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 1.35% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 27.56%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+1.35%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+4.07%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+27.56%

In Past 3 Month

16 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast VALE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VALE is 12.96 USD with a low forecast of 11.00 USD and a high forecast of 15.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

10 Buy

6 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 0.000

Low

11.00

Averages

12.96

High

15.00

Current: 0.000

Low

11.00

Averages

12.96

High

15.00

Scotiabank

Outperform -> Sector Perform

downgrade

$14 -> $15

2026-01-08

New

Reason

Scotiabank

Price Target

$14 -> $15

2026-01-08

New

downgrade

Outperform -> Sector Perform

Reason

As previously reported, Scotiabank downgraded Vale to Sector Perform from Outperform with a price target of $15, up from $14. The iron ore market may face downward pressure as more supply is coming from top producers and from the new Simandou mine in Guinea, says the analyst, who views the seaborne iron market as at risk of oversupply in late 2026.

Scotiabank

Outperform -> Sector Perform

downgrade

$15

2026-01-08

New

Reason

Scotiabank

Price Target

$15

2026-01-08

New

downgrade

Outperform -> Sector Perform

Reason

Scotiabank downgraded Vale to Sector Perform from Outperform with a $15 price target.

Barclays

Overweight

maintain

2026-01-08

New

Reason

Barclays

Price Target

2026-01-08

New

maintain

Overweight

Reason

Barclays raised the firm's price target on Vale to $15.50 from $14.50 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm is "constructive" on the European miners, seeing upside risks for copper and precious metals amid expectations a Federal Reserve easing cycle.

Wells Fargo

Timna Tanners

Equal Weight

maintain

$12 -> $13

2025-12-23

Reason

Wells Fargo

Timna Tanners

Price Target

$12 -> $13

2025-12-23

maintain

Equal Weight

Reason

Wells Fargo analyst Timna Tanners raised the firm's price target on Vale to $13 from $12 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm says supply constraints can support copper and aluminum prices, especially through Q3 2026. Wells also points out that steep power costs and copper switching especially boost aluminum.

Morgan Stanley

Equal Weight -> Overweight

upgrade

$13 -> $15

2025-12-15

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$13 -> $15

2025-12-15

upgrade

Equal Weight -> Overweight

Reason

Morgan Stanley upgraded Vale to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $15, up from $13. The firm sees more value in aluminum than copper, adding that it likes Vale as it becomes a cleaner, still undervalued story with solid free cash flow.

Morgan Stanley

Equal Weight -> Overweight

upgrade

$13 -> $15

2025-12-15

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$13 -> $15

2025-12-15

upgrade

Equal Weight -> Overweight

Reason

Morgan Stanley upgraded Vale to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $15, up from $13. Despite recent solid performance, the firm believes the stock still offers a compelling risk-reward driven by the company's focus on disciplined capital allocation, operational excellence in the iron ore business, and attractive growth in copper. Further, cash disbursements and uncertainties related to dam accidents have materially diminished, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Vale SA (VALE.N) is 7.02, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 5.32. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Vale SA 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

5Y Average PE

5.32

Current PE

7.02

Overvalued PE

6.43

Undervalued PE

4.20

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

3.81

Current EV/EBITDA

4.76

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

4.42

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

3.20

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

5Y Average PS

1.48

Current PS

1.47

Overvalued PS

1.81

Undervalued PS

1.14

Financials

Annual

Quarterly

N/A

Total Revenue

N/A

Operating Profit

N/A

Net Income after Tax

N/A

EPS - Diluted

N/A

Free Cash Flow

N/A

Gross Profit Margin - %

N/A

Net Margin - %

N/A

ROIC

Trading Trends

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

Hedge Fund

Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.

Sold

Bought

Congress Trading

Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

Insider

Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

VALE News & Events

Events Timeline

No data

News

2.0

01-07NASDAQ.COM

Vale (VALE) Stock Rises 4.5% as Institutional Investors Increase Positions

2.0

01-06Fool

Vale (NYSE: VALE) Stock Rises 4.5% as Institutional Holdings Increase

4.5

2025-12-31NASDAQ.COM

Vale's New CEO Drives Stock to 52-Week High Amid Strategic Shift

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Vale SA (VALE) stock price today?

The current price of VALE is 14.07 USD — it has decreased -1.33 % in the last trading day.

What is Vale SA (VALE)'s business?

Vale SA, formerly Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, is a Brazil-based metal and mining company which is primarily engaged in producing iron ore and nickel. The Company also produces iron ore pellets, copper, platinum group metals (PGMs), gold, silver and cobalt. Vale is engaged in greenfield mineral exploration in five countries and operates logistics systems in Brazil and other regions in the world, including railroads, maritime terminals and ports, which are integrated with mining operations. In addition, Vale has distribution centers to support the delivery of iron ore worldwide. Vale has numerous subsidiaries, including Vale Logistica Uruguay SA, Vale Holdings BV, Vale Overseas Ltd. The Company’s operations abroad cover approximately 30 countries.

What is the price predicton of VALE Stock?

What is Vale SA (VALE)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Vale SA revenue for the last quarter amounts to 10.41B USD, increased 8.95 % YoY.

What is Vale SA (VALE)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Vale SA. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.63 USD, increased 10.53 % YoY.

What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Vale SA (VALE)'s fundamentals?

How many employees does Vale SA (VALE). have?

Vale SA (VALE) has 64616 emplpoyees as of January 09 2026.

What is Vale SA (VALE) market cap?

Today VALE has the market capitalization of 60.06B USD.