Vale Shares Set to Snap Six-Day Losing Streak
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy VALE?
Source: seekingalpha
- Stock Fluctuation: Vale (VALE) shares fell 1.9% to $17.20 in afternoon trading on Thursday, poised to end a six-day rally, despite a prior gain of about 10%, indicating volatility in market sentiment.
- Year-to-Date Performance: So far this year, VALE's stock has risen over 30%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index's 1.4% increase, showcasing the company's strong performance in the mining sector.
- Analyst Ratings: According to Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating, VALE holds a strong buy rating of 4.95, reflecting an A+ score in profitability prospects, while receiving a C- in growth factors, indicating cautious market sentiment regarding future growth.
- Strategic Adjustment: The company recently agreed to sell most of its stake in the Thompson Nickel Belt venture in Manitoba to Exiro Minerals and other partners as part of a strategic review of its base metals business, aiming to optimize asset allocation in response to market changes.
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Analyst Views on VALE
Wall Street analysts forecast VALE stock price to fall
13 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 17.310
Low
12.00
Averages
13.93
High
15.50
Current: 17.310
Low
12.00
Averages
13.93
High
15.50
About VALE
Vale SA, formerly Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, is a Brazil-based metal and mining company which is primarily engaged in producing iron ore and nickel. The Company also produces iron ore pellets, copper, platinum group metals (PGMs), gold, silver and cobalt. Vale is engaged in greenfield mineral exploration in five countries and operates logistics systems in Brazil and other regions in the world, including railroads, maritime terminals and ports, which are integrated with mining operations. In addition, Vale has distribution centers to support the delivery of iron ore worldwide. Vale has numerous subsidiaries, including Vale Logistica Uruguay SA, Vale Holdings BV, Vale Overseas Ltd. The Company’s operations abroad cover approximately 30 countries.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Fluctuation: Vale (VALE) shares fell 1.9% to $17.20 in afternoon trading on Thursday, poised to end a six-day rally, despite a prior gain of about 10%, indicating volatility in market sentiment.
- Year-to-Date Performance: So far this year, VALE's stock has risen over 30%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 Index's 1.4% increase, showcasing the company's strong performance in the mining sector.
- Analyst Ratings: According to Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating, VALE holds a strong buy rating of 4.95, reflecting an A+ score in profitability prospects, while receiving a C- in growth factors, indicating cautious market sentiment regarding future growth.
- Strategic Adjustment: The company recently agreed to sell most of its stake in the Thompson Nickel Belt venture in Manitoba to Exiro Minerals and other partners as part of a strategic review of its base metals business, aiming to optimize asset allocation in response to market changes.
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- Southern Copper Downgrade: Bank of America downgraded Southern Copper (SCCO) from Neutral to Underperform, citing stretched valuations with a 2026 EV/EBITDA of 16.3x and a thin free cash flow yield of 3%, alongside a projected 3% production decline from 938M tons in 2025 to 910M tons in 2027, indicating a lack of catalysts to reverse these trends.
- Unfavorable Market Outlook: While BofA maintains a constructive medium-term outlook for copper, analysts believe that Southern Copper's current share price already reflects an overly optimistic scenario that is unlikely to materialize in the near term, raising concerns about its future performance.
- Vale Rating Adjustment: Bank of America downgraded Vale (VALE) from Buy to Neutral, noting that despite strong operational performance in 2025, iron ore prices have fallen below $100/ton, and with expected 2%-3% declines in Chinese steel demand, the upside potential for the stock appears limited.
- Operational Performance vs. Market Risks: Although Vale's operational outlook remains solid, as indicated by recent results, BofA believes that the current share price has already captured most of the near-term potential, reflecting a cautious market sentiment regarding future growth.
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- Price Fluctuation Analysis: SPEM's 52-week low is $34.38 and high is $51.355, with the latest trade at $50.44, indicating stability near the high point, which may attract investor interest in its technical performance.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the latest stock price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with deeper insights into market trends, enabling better timing for investment decisions.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, reflecting market liquidity and changes in investor sentiment.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding for ETFs helps identify those experiencing notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), assessing their impact on underlying assets and overall market sentiment.
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- Executive Appointment: Honey Badger Silver has appointed Ron Halas as Chief Operating Officer, leveraging his over 35 years of experience in mining development and operations to enhance the company's project advancements in Northern Canada.
- Extensive Industry Background: Halas has held senior roles at companies like Lumina Gold, Kinross Gold, and IAMGOLD, and his expertise in all phases of the mine lifecycle, particularly in capital project execution and cost control, is expected to yield direct business benefits for Honey Badger.
- Portfolio Strength: The Board views Halas's appointment as a critical enhancement to Honey Badger's operational leadership, which is anticipated to accelerate the evaluation and advancement of the company's unique silver asset portfolio, further solidifying its competitive position in the market.
- Future Growth Potential: Halas expressed confidence in Honey Badger's silver asset portfolio and investment opportunities, emphasizing collaboration with the Board and management team to seize future growth opportunities and drive the company's ongoing development.
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- Stake Reduction: According to an SEC filing dated February 17, 2026, RWC Asset Advisors sold its entire stake in Nio, reducing holdings by 10,467,320 shares, with an estimated trade value of $79.76 million, indicating a diminished confidence in the company.
- Performance Metrics: As of February 13, 2026, Nio shares were priced at $4.95, reflecting a 16.2% increase over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 by 4.41 percentage points, showcasing its competitive strength in the EV market.
- Strategic Expansion: Nio launched two new brands, Firefly and Onvo, in 2025, significantly boosting sales, with record deliveries exceeding 40,000 units in both October and December, highlighting strong market demand.
- Profit Outlook: Nio anticipates achieving its first-ever adjusted operational profit in Q4, projected between $100 million and $172 million, indicating robust profitability excluding share-based compensation, which has garnered investor interest.
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- Position Change: RWC Asset Advisors sold its entire stake of 10,467,320 shares in Nio, with an estimated transaction value of $79.76 million, indicating a complete liquidation of its investment which previously constituted 13.1% of its AUM.
- Stock Performance: As of February 13, 2026, Nio shares were priced at $4.95, reflecting a 16.2% increase over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 by 4.41 percentage points, showcasing its competitive edge and growth potential in the EV market.
- Delivery Milestones: Nio achieved record monthly deliveries exceeding 40,000 units in both October and December 2025, indicating that the introduction of its new brands, Firefly and Onvo, effectively boosted sales.
- Profit Expectations: Nio anticipates its first-ever adjusted operational profit in Q4, projected between $100 million and $172 million, demonstrating significant improvements in operational efficiency and profitability, suggesting that while RWC's short-term trade was profitable, long-term investors in Nio may still find optimism.
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