Should I Buy Vale SA Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. VALE has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
VALE stock price ended at $9.6 on Friday, after rising 0.21%
The Vale SA stock price increased by 0.21% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), rising from 9.43 to 9.6. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.23% , ranging from a day low of $9.42 to a day high of 9.6299. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 2.56% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -3.43M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 31.06M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 297.00M.
VALE Technical Signals
VALE(Vale SA Corp) has 4 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-14. The total price change during this trend is -1.94%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of VALE over the last 5 trading days is 249.08M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
VALE Moving Average Analysis
Vale SA's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $10.00918, and $10.204. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $9.378820000000001, and $9.184000000000001. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
VALE Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Vale SA(VALE) as of 16 May 2025 is 21.84%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 9.81 to 9.80. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
1
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.3
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.24
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.0757
Bullish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses above 250-day SMA
--
Bullish
1 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
VALE Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Vale SA(VALE), our algorithm predicts VALE's 1-month price at $9.72, with an -0.82%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.94%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Vale SA (VALE.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -0.82% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with NTRS.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.94%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
VALE
No Data
NTRS
Down: -0.82%Similarity: 94.94%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
NTRS.O
94.94%
-0.82%
RIO.N
94.27%
-1.69%
COHR.N
93.45%
-4.53%
BEN.N
93.38%
+5.48%
FISI.O
93.02%
-11.97%
ASML.O
92.99%
-5.78%
TAK.N
92.96%
-7.04%
GGB.N
92.83%
-3.56%
PMT.N
92.77%
+0.60%
MTX.N
92.76%
-1.47%
VALE Seasonality Analysis
Based on VALE's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in VALE. In contrast,Februaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at72.73%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Vale SA (VALE.N) stock in February has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while August has the lowest probability (10.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Vale SA. (VALE)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Vale SA (VALE.N) stock?
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Is VALE a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
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