VALE Stock Price Prediction
Vale SA
$
9.080
- Overview
- Forecast
- Valuation
VALE stock price ended at $9.08 on Friday, afterlosing-6.68%
TheVale SA stock pricedecreasedby -6.68%on the last trading day (Friday Apr 2025), dropping from 9.29 to 9.08. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.85% , ranging from a day low of $8.87 to a day high of 9.3. The price has declined in6of the last10days, resulting in a total change of-9.83%during this period. On the last day, trading volumeincreaseby20.76Mshares, with the fallingprices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 73.67M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 668.16M.
VALE Technical Signals
VALE(Vale SA Corp) has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-03-24. The total price change during this trend is -8.45%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal.The average turnover of VALEover the last 5 trading days is 369.62M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a bearish outlook in the mid-term.
Vale SA's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Sunday, April 6, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $10.49, and $10.99. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $8.9, and $8.41. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
Summary
Neutral
Sell
5
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-177.83
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.03
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
10.98
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-86.82
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.02
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.97
Bearish
Closing price
close < fibonacci_S1
9.1
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 60-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
VALE Price Prediction & Forecast
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Vale SA(VALE), our algorithm predicts VALE's 1-month price at $8.12, with an -10.61%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 91.79%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Based on VALE's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in April is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in VALE. In contrast,Februaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at72.73%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Should I Buy Vale SA Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the three key dimensions—technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching—we have identified the following insights.VALE has several negativesignals and is within afallingtrend, so we believe it will performweaklyin the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold anegativeevaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is aStrong Sellcandidate.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart forVale SA (VALE.N)stock, as ofSunday, April 6, 2025, forecasts a-10.61%change over the next month, based on its high correlation withBIPC.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is91.79%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
VALE
Future prediction
Up: -10.61%
BIPC
Down: -10.61%Similarity: 91.79%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
BIPC.N
91.79%
-10.61%
BHLB.N
91.35%
+16.87%
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Vale SA (VALE.N) stock in February has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while August has the lowest probability (10.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Vale SA.(VALE)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Vale SA (VALE.N) stock?
VALE has several negativesignals and is within arisingtrend, so we believe it will performweaklyin the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold anegativeevaluation of this stock. The price is expected torise-10.61%in the coming month. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is aStrong Sellcandidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Vale SA (VALE.N) stock in a year?
How has Vale SA. (VALE)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
Which bull technical signals does VALE have?
Which bearish technical signals does VALE have?
Is VALE a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
What is the trend of Vale SA (VALE)'s moving average?