VALE Valuation

Vale SA

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10.860

0(0.000%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

VALE Relative Valuation

VALE's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, VALE is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Vale SA (VALE) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 6.26 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 5.23. The fair price of Vale SA (VALE) is between 9.05 to 12.07 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

9.05-12.07

Current Price：10.93

Fair

6.26

Trailing

Forward

4.22

EV/EBITDA

Vale SA. (VALE) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.22. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 3.70. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.36, Undervalued between 2.36 and 3.03, Fairly Valued between 4.38 and 3.03, Overvalued between 4.38 and 5.05, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.05. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.22 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.16

EV/EBIT

Vale SA. (VALE) has a current EV/EBIT of 6.16. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 4.59. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.56, Undervalued between 2.56 and 3.57, Fairly Valued between 5.61 and 3.57, Overvalued between 5.61 and 6.63, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.63. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 6.16 falls within the Overvalued range.

1.23

Vale SA. (VALE) has a current PS of 1.23. The 5-year average PS is 1.48. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.81, Undervalued between 0.81 and 1.14, Fairly Valued between 1.81 and 1.14, Overvalued between 1.81 and 2.15, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.15. The current Forward PS of 1.23 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.79

P/OCF

Vale SA. (VALE) has a current P/OCF of 5.79. The 5-year average P/OCF is 4.64. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.92, Undervalued between 2.92 and 3.78, Fairly Valued between 5.50 and 3.78, Overvalued between 5.50 and 6.36, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.36. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.79 falls within the Overvalued range.

14.58

P/FCF

Vale SA. (VALE) has a current P/FCF of 14.58. The 5-year average P/FCF is 8.48. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.24, Undervalued between 3.24 and 5.86, Fairly Valued between 11.10 and 5.86, Overvalued between 11.10 and 13.71, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.71. The current Forward P/FCF of 14.58 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

Vale SA (VALE) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.15. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.48 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -22.03% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.78, the current P/B ratio is about -35.26% higher. Vale SA (VALE) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.54%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 9.29%, the current FCF yield is approximately -51.07% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 13.53% , the current FCF yield is about -66.41% lower.

1.15

P/B

Median3y

1.48

Median5y

1.78

4.54

FCF Yield

Median3y

9.29

Median5y

13.53

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for VALE's competitors is 1.54, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Vale SA Corp (VALE) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is -100.00% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -11.39%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Grupo Simec SAB de CV

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of VALE decreased by 2.48% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 6.98 to 8.53.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -11.39%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of VALE in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-11.39%

9.92B → 8.79B

Revenue Growth

-13.20%

28.19 → 24.47

Margin Expansion

22.11%

6.98 → 8.53

P/E Change

-2.48%