ACGL Price Prediction Next Week
Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis for ACGL's price prediction for the next trading week:
Technical Analysis
The technical indicators show ACGL is currently in a bearish trend with RSI at 47.63, indicating neutral momentum but slightly tilting towards oversold territory. The stock is trading below both its 20-day SMA ($92.63) and 60-day SMA ($94.73), suggesting downward pressure.
Fibonacci levels indicate:
- Resistance levels: R1: $95.99, R2: $97.73, R3: $100.55
- Support levels: S1: $90.36, S2: $88.62, S3: $85.80
- Pivot point: $93.17
News Impact Analysis Recent significant news affecting ACGL:
California Wildfire Impact: ACGL faces potential exposure to the Los Angeles wildfires, with industry-wide insured losses estimated between $17-30 billion. The stock declined approximately 2% following this news.
Q4 Earnings Expectations: ACGL is scheduled to report Q4 earnings on February 10, with analysts expecting:
- EPS of $1.85 (down 25.7% YoY)
- Full-year 2025 EPS projection of $9.02 (1.8% YoY growth)
Price Prediction for Next Week Based on technical indicators and recent news catalysts:
Expected trading range: $90.98 - $94.54 (±1.92% from current price) Most probable scenario: Bearish trend continuation with support at $91.34
Trading Recommendation SELL with the following rationale:
- Multiple negative technical signals from moving averages
- Significant exposure to catastrophic losses from LA wildfires
- Upcoming earnings showing expected YoY decline
- Stock trading below key moving averages
Target entry: Current market price ($92.76) Stop loss: $95.51 (resistance level) Price target: $90.36 (first support level)
ACGL Similar Chart Price Prediction
The price of ACGL is predicted to go up 1.08%, based on the high correlation periods with HMN. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 90.99%.
ACGL
HMN
Up: 1.08%Similarity: 90.99%
ACGL Revenue Forecast
ACGL EPS Forecast
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ACGL Analyst's Forecast
Elyse Greenspan
Wells Fargo
Buy
Price Target
$109 → $107
Upside
+17.13%
Wells Fargo analyst Elyse Greenspan lowered the firm's price target on Arch Capital to $107 from $109 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Discussing the insurance industry, Wells notes that for non-life insurance, the focus remains on cats, pricing, loss trend, reserves and margins. Domestically Q4 cats are above normal due to Milton, with international losses from Spanish floods. For Life insurance, the focus is on sales growth, rate commentary, Group results, and guides. Sales growth should continue to get attention, while group results are trending well, and life companies continue to return capital. Meanwhile, Brokers should continue to see good organic growth, the firm adds.
Alex Scott
Barclays
Hold
Price Target
$120 → $100
Upside
+10.11%
Jimmy Bhullar
JP Morgan
Hold
Price Target
$110 → $106
Upside
+15.47%