Should I Buy Arch Capital Group Ltd Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ACGL has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
ACGL stock price ended at $92.07 on Friday, after rising 0.11%
The Arch Capital Group Ltd stock price increased by 0.11% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), rising from 91.69 to 92.07. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.06% , ranging from a day low of $91.4201 to a day high of 92.385. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -2.61% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -134.45K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 977.02K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 89.95M.
ACGL Technical Signals
ACGL(Arch Capital Group Ltd Corp) has 2 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-19. The total price change during this trend is -3.25%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of ACGL over the last 5 trading days is 112.48M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
ACGL Moving Average Analysis
Arch Capital Group Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $96.4617, and $98.42899999999999. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $90.0963, and $88.129. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
ACGL Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Arch Capital Group Ltd(ACGL) as of 16 May 2025 is 16.89%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 93.54 to 94.59. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
2
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
1.339
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.212
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-2.47
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
ACGL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Arch Capital Group Ltd(ACGL), our algorithm predicts ACGL's 1-month price at $90.66, with an -4.16%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 93.52%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Arch Capital Group Ltd (ACGL.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -4.16% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CNA.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 93.52%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
ACGL
No Data
CNA
Down: -4.16%Similarity: 93.52%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
CNA.N
93.52%
-4.16%
PLMR.O
91.69%
+2.10%
FICO.N
90.86%
+0.27%
INN.N
90.81%
-4.07%
BOLT.O
90.70%
-12.87%
NLY.N
90.56%
+0.22%
QCOM.O
90.47%
+5.00%
PRGO.N
90.37%
+2.76%
ORI.N
90.07%
-2.63%
ACGL Seasonality Analysis
Based on ACGL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is81.82%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ACGL. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at81.82%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Arch Capital Group Ltd (ACGL.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (81.82%), while September has the lowest probability (40.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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