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ACGL

Arch Capital Group Ltd
$
93.000
+0.420(+0.450%)
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
High
93.510
Open
92.400
VWAP
92.97
Vol
1.39M
Mkt Cap
34.93B
Low
91.540
Amount
128.99M
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
9.50
Total Shares
375.49M
EV
37.11B
EV/OCF(TTM)
5.65
P/S(TTM)
1.99
Arch Capital Group Ltd. is a Bermuda-based company, which provides insurance, reinsurance and mortgage insurance through its subsidiaries. The insurance segment consists of the Company’s insurance underwriting units, which offer specialty product lines, including construction and national accounts; excess and surplus casualty; professional lines; programs; property, energy, marine and aviation; travel, accident and health; warranty and lenders solutions, and others (consisting of alternative markets, excess workers' compensation and surety business). The reinsurance segment consists of its reinsurance underwriting units, which offer specialty product lines, including casualty; marine and aviation; other specialty; property catastrophe; property excluding property catastrophe, and other (consisting of life reinsurance and other). The mortgage segment includes its United States primary mortgage insurance business, investment and services related to United States credit-risk transfer.
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q2
FY2025Q3
FY2025Q4
4.27B
+12.88%
2.269
-11.72%
4.44B
+9.69%
1.697
-14.72%
4.05B
+6.17%
2.319
+2.62%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -1.96% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -0.53%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-1.96%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-13.36%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-0.53%
In Past 3 Month
13 Analyst Rating
up Image0
Wall Street analysts forecast ACGL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ACGL is 111.08 USD with a low forecast of 93.00 USD and a high forecast of 125.00  USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
up Image0
Current: 93.000
sliders
Low
93.00
Averages
111.08
High
125.00
Wells Fargo
Elyse Greenspan
Buy
Maintains
$106 → $108
2025-05-01
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Elyse Greenspan raised the firm's price target on Arch Capital to $108 from $106 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm notes Arch Capital traded down on the weaker premium growth plus its view on the market becoming more competitive. Wells still sees Arch generating a strong ROE in addition to strong capital return, which to the firm poses an attractive risk/reward at this valuation.
JMP Securities
Matthew Carletti
Buy
Reiterates
$125
2025-04-30
Reason
Jefferies
Yaron Kinar
Strong Buy
Maintains
$105 → $106
2025-04-11
Reason
Jefferies analyst Andrew Andersen raised the firm's price target on Arch Capital to $106 from $105 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Tariffs are a "manageable earnings risk for the well-capitalized and defensive" property and casualty group, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says auto insurers have some ability to re-price quickly, and loss cost inflation concerns are already top of mind for the commercial group, "with any tariff impact likely to spur further discipline." It sees no notable effect in Q1 and remains most constructive on personal lines.
Barclays
Alex Scott
Hold
Maintains
$100 → $93
2025-04-11
Reason
Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Arch Capital to $93 from $100 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares as part of a Q1 earnings preview for the insurance group. With life earnings facing challenges Barclays favors group benefits, excess capital, and "cheap" cash flows, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says the sector is "navigating uncertainty."
UBS
Brian Meredith
Strong Buy
Maintains
$127 → $124
2025-04-09
Reason
UBS analyst Brian Meredith lowered the firm's price target on Arch Capital to $124 from $127 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. UBS likes the defensive nature of P&C insurance heading into 1Q25 results, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
JP Morgan
Jimmy Bhullar
Hold
Maintains
$106 → $107
2025-04-08
Reason
JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on Arch Capital to $107 from $106 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares as part of a Q1 preview for the property and casualty sector. The outlook for the P&C sector is positive given ongoing firm pricing, a defensive risk profile, and attractive valuation levels, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Arch Capital Group Ltd (ACGL.O) is 10.65, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 12.46. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Arch Capital Group Ltd 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PE
12.46
Current PE
10.65
Overvalued PE
19.07
Undervalued PE
5.85

Forward EV/EBITDA

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
0.00
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
0.00
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
0.00

Forward PS

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PS
1.88
Current PS
1.98
Overvalued PS
2.13
Undervalued PS
1.63

Financials

Annual
Quarterly
FY2025Q1
YoY :
+22.87%
4.62B
Total Revenue
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-30.47%
687.00M
Operating Profit
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-47.70%
557.00M
Net Income after Tax
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-49.32%
1.48
EPS - Diluted
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-6.46%
1.45B
Free Cash Flow
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-18.77%
36.74
FCF Margin - %
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-58.31%
12.42
Net Margin - %
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-35.03%
16.80
ROIC

Trading Trends

Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
2.6M
USD
3
3-6
Months
0.0
USD
0
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
1.2M
USD
1
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
Volume
0
3-6
Months
830.4K
Volume
4
6-9
Months
0.0
Volume
0
0-12
Months
3.0M
Volume
13
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
Volume
Months
3-6
5
1.3M
Volume
Months
6-9
0
0.0
Volume
Months
0-12
10
685.2K
Volume
Months
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
USD
0
3-6
Months
8.0K
USD
1
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
1
32.5K
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months

ACGL News & Events

Events Timeline

2025-04-29 (ET)
2025-04-29
16:19:34
Arch Capital reports Q1 EPS $1.48, consensus $1.31
select
2025-02-10 (ET)
2025-02-10
15:15:02
Arch Capital reports Q4 EPS $2.26, consensus $1.80
select
2024-12-20 (ET)
2024-12-20
15:13:26
Arch Capital renews $1B share repurchase authorization
select
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News

4.5
04-30Benzinga
Wall Street Falls On Weak Economic Data As Oil Slumps To $58: What's Driving Markets Wednesday
4.5
04-29Benzinga
Stocks Surge And Bond Yields Fall For 6th Day, Oil Prices Drop To $60: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?
3.0
04-28Yahoo Finance
Arch Capital Group Ltd (ACGL) Q1 2025: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings
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FAQ

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The current price of ACGL is 93 USD — it has increased 0.45 % in the last trading day.

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