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ACGL

Arch Capital Group Ltd
$
88.890
+0.89(1.011%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings
Line
Line
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Candle
Candle
1D
5D
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
High
89.065
Open
88.280
VWAP
88.75
Vol
2.55M
Mkt Cap
33.31B
Low
87.8964
Amount
226.53M
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
8.84
Total Shares
375.49M
EV
35.68B
EV/OCF(TTM)
5.43
P/S(TTM)
1.91
Arch Capital Group Ltd. is a Bermuda-based company, which provides insurance, reinsurance and mortgage insurance through its subsidiaries. The insurance segment consists of the Company’s insurance underwriting units, which offer specialty product lines, including construction and national accounts; excess and surplus casualty; professional lines; programs; property, energy, marine and aviation; travel, accident and health; warranty and lenders solutions, and others (consisting of alternative markets, excess workers' compensation and surety business). The reinsurance segment consists of its reinsurance underwriting units, which offer specialty product lines, including casualty; marine and aviation; other specialty; property catastrophe; property excluding property catastrophe, and other (consisting of life reinsurance and other). The mortgage segment includes its United States primary mortgage insurance business, investment and services related to United States credit-risk transfer.
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2025Q3
FY2025Q2
4.05B
+6.17%
2.304
+1.97%
4.44B
+9.69%
1.669
-16.15%
4.27B
+12.88%
2.299
-10.53%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.89% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -2.52%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.89%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+1.02%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
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-2.52%
In Past 3 Month
13 Analyst Rating
up Image
24.37% Upside
Wall Street analysts forecast ACGL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ACGL is 110.55 USD with a low forecast of 93.00 USD and a high forecast of 125.00  USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
up Image
24.37% Upside
Current: 88.890
sliders
Low
93.00
Averages
110.55
High
125.00
Wells Fargo
Overweight
maintain
$108 -> $110
2025-07-10
Reason
Wells Fargo raised the firm's price target on Arch Capital to $110 from $108 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm says the focus should be on views on pricing, loss trend, and reserves for P&C companies, organic and margin for brokers, and sales/VII/capital for life companies.
Keefe Bruyette
Keefe Bruyette
Outperform -> Market Perform
downgrade
$113 -> $101
2025-07-08
Reason
Keefe Bruyette downgraded Arch Capital to Market Perform from Outperform with a price target of $101, down from $113. The firm adjusted ratings on the property and casualty space as part of Q2 preview. It believes catastrophe losses in the quarter suggest that pricing, loss trends, reserve development and capital deployment will dominate the earnings calls. Keefe expects moderate catastrophe losses but mostly reduced price targets to reflect tariff-related uncerintaty. It upgraded The Hanover and downgraded both Arch Capital and RenaissanceRe Holdings.
Jefferies
Buy -> Hold
downgrade
$106 -> $100
2025-06-10
Reason
Jefferies downgraded Arch Capital to Hold from Buy with a price target of $100, down from $106. The firm anticipates mid-year softening of catastrophe pricing to temper Arch's growth and compress returns. The analyst lowered growth estimates on intensifying competitive dynamics in catastrophe and specialty, but expects primary casualty to modestly support the company's sales top line. Jefferies believes Arch Capital is facing rising competition.
Morgan Stanley
Bob Huang
Overweight
maintain
$105 -> $110
2025-05-19
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Bob Huang raised the firm's price target on Arch Capital to $110 from $105 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets on stocks under its coverage in the P&C Insurance sector, the analyst tells investors. Results were somewhat mixed depending on the segments, but the firm sees further growth and margin expansion in personal lines, which should be durable in 2025. Heading into 2025, the firm expects broader P&C trend to remain steady, with personal lines and brokers leading on the earnings growth front.
Barclays
Alex Scott
Hold
Maintains
$100 → $93
2025-04-11
Reason
Jefferies
Yaron Kinar
Strong Buy
Maintains
$105 → $106
2025-04-11
Reason

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Arch Capital Group Ltd (ACGL.O) is 10.15, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 11.28. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Arch Capital Group Ltd 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PE
11.28
Current PE
10.15
Overvalued PE
13.11
Undervalued PE
9.45

Forward EV/EBITDA

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
0.00
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
0.00
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
0.00

Forward PS

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PS
1.89
Current PS
1.88
Overvalued PS
2.13
Undervalued PS
1.65

Financials

Annual
Quarterly
FY2025Q1
YoY :
+25.00%
4.70B
Total Revenue
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-22.37%
767.00M
Operating Profit
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-47.70%
557.00M
Net Income after Tax
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-49.32%
1.48
EPS - Diluted
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-6.46%
1.45B
Free Cash Flow
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-19.15%
36.57
FCF Margin - %
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-59.01%
12.21
Net Margin - %
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-35.03%
16.80
ROIC

Trading Trends

Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 564.32% over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
12.8M
USD
5
3-6
Months
1.9M
USD
2
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
1.2M
USD
1
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
Volume
0
3-6
Months
84.2K
Volume
3
6-9
Months
830.4K
Volume
4
0-12
Months
0.0
Volume
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
Volume
Months
3-6
3
652.0K
Volume
Months
6-9
5
1.3M
Volume
Months
0-12
0
0.0
Volume
Months
Congress Trading
Congress areSelling! The selling amount has increased306.25%over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
32.5K
USD
1
3-6
Months
8.0K
USD
1
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
1
32.5K
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months

ACGL News & Events

Events Timeline

2025-04-29 (ET)
2025-04-29
16:19:34
Arch Capital reports Q1 EPS $1.48, consensus $1.31
select
2025-02-10 (ET)
2025-02-10
15:15:02
Arch Capital reports Q4 EPS $2.26, consensus $1.80
select
2024-12-20 (ET)
2024-12-20
15:13:26
Arch Capital renews $1B share repurchase authorization
select
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News

5.0
07-25Newsfilter
Arch Introduces New Supplemental Health Insurance Products to Help Bridge Coverage Gaps
2.0
07-22Yahoo Finance
Arch Capital (ACGL) Fell after Strong Q1
2.0
07-16NASDAQ.COM
Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know
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FAQ

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The current price of ACGL is 88.89 USD — it has increased 1.01 % in the last trading day.

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