ACGL

Arch Capital Group Ltd

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88.890

+0.89(1.011%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

89.065

Open

88.280

VWAP

88.75

Vol

2.55M

Mkt Cap

33.31B

Low

87.8964

Amount

226.53M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

8.84

Total Shares

375.49M

35.68B

EV/OCF(TTM)

5.43

P/S(TTM)

1.91

Arch Capital Group Ltd. is a Bermuda-based company, which provides insurance, reinsurance and mortgage insurance through its subsidiaries. The insurance segment consists of the Company’s insurance underwriting units, which offer specialty product lines, including construction and national accounts; excess and surplus casualty; professional lines; programs; property, energy, marine and aviation; travel, accident and health; warranty and lenders solutions, and others (consisting of alternative markets, excess workers' compensation and surety business). The reinsurance segment consists of its reinsurance underwriting units, which offer specialty product lines, including casualty; marine and aviation; other specialty; property catastrophe; property excluding property catastrophe, and other (consisting of life reinsurance and other). The mortgage segment includes its United States primary mortgage insurance business, investment and services related to United States credit-risk transfer.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

FY2025Q2

4.05B

+6.17%

2.304

+1.97%

4.44B

+9.69%

1.669

-16.15%

4.27B

+12.88%

2.299

-10.53%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.89% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -2.52%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.89%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+1.02%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-2.52%

In Past 3 Month

13 Analyst Rating

24.37% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast ACGL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ACGL is 110.55 USD with a low forecast of 93.00 USD and a high forecast of 125.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

8 Buy

5 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

24.37% Upside

Current: 88.890

Low

93.00

Averages

110.55

High

125.00

24.37% Upside

Current: 88.890

Low

93.00

Averages

110.55

High

125.00

Wells Fargo

Overweight

maintain

$108 -> $110

2025-07-10

Reason

Wells Fargo

Price Target

$108 -> $110

2025-07-10

maintain

Overweight

Reason

Wells Fargo raised the firm's price target on Arch Capital to $110 from $108 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm says the focus should be on views on pricing, loss trend, and reserves for P&C companies, organic and margin for brokers, and sales/VII/capital for life companies.

Keefe Bruyette

Outperform -> Market Perform

downgrade

$113 -> $101

2025-07-08

Reason

Keefe Bruyette

Price Target

$113 -> $101

2025-07-08

downgrade

Outperform -> Market Perform

Reason

Keefe Bruyette downgraded Arch Capital to Market Perform from Outperform with a price target of $101, down from $113. The firm adjusted ratings on the property and casualty space as part of Q2 preview. It believes catastrophe losses in the quarter suggest that pricing, loss trends, reserve development and capital deployment will dominate the earnings calls. Keefe expects moderate catastrophe losses but mostly reduced price targets to reflect tariff-related uncerintaty. It upgraded The Hanover and downgraded both Arch Capital and RenaissanceRe Holdings.

Jefferies

Buy -> Hold

downgrade

$106 -> $100

2025-06-10

Reason

Jefferies

Price Target

$106 -> $100

2025-06-10

downgrade

Buy -> Hold

Reason

Jefferies downgraded Arch Capital to Hold from Buy with a price target of $100, down from $106. The firm anticipates mid-year softening of catastrophe pricing to temper Arch's growth and compress returns. The analyst lowered growth estimates on intensifying competitive dynamics in catastrophe and specialty, but expects primary casualty to modestly support the company's sales top line. Jefferies believes Arch Capital is facing rising competition.

Morgan Stanley

Bob Huang

Overweight

maintain

$105 -> $110

2025-05-19

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Bob Huang

Price Target

$105 -> $110

2025-05-19

maintain

Overweight

Reason

Morgan Stanley analyst Bob Huang raised the firm's price target on Arch Capital to $110 from $105 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets on stocks under its coverage in the P&C Insurance sector, the analyst tells investors. Results were somewhat mixed depending on the segments, but the firm sees further growth and margin expansion in personal lines, which should be durable in 2025. Heading into 2025, the firm expects broader P&C trend to remain steady, with personal lines and brokers leading on the earnings growth front.

Barclays

Alex Scott

Hold

Maintains

$100 → $93

2025-04-11

Reason

Barclays

Alex Scott

Price Target

$100 → $93

2025-04-11

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Jefferies

Yaron Kinar

Strong Buy

Maintains

$105 → $106

2025-04-11

Reason

Jefferies

Yaron Kinar

Price Target

$105 → $106

2025-04-11

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Arch Capital Group Ltd (ACGL.O) is 10.15, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 11.28. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Arch Capital Group Ltd 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PE

11.28

Current PE

10.15

Overvalued PE

13.11

Undervalued PE

9.45

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

N/A

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

0.00

Current EV/EBITDA

0.00

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

0.00

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

0.00

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PS

1.89

Current PS

1.88

Overvalued PS

2.13

Undervalued PS

1.65