Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market analysis, here's a concise assessment of FERG stock:

Technical Analysis The stock has shown a strong upward trend since January 2024, rising from around $185 to current levels above $200. The stock is currently trading near its Fibonacci resistance level of $185.16, suggesting potential resistance ahead.

Recent Analyst Actions

• Morgan Stanley initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and $204 price target in early February 2025
• BofA Securities upgraded to "Buy" with a price target of $225 in January 2025

Key Concerns

• Margin pressure due to price deflation (-2%) and rising SG&A costs
• Residential segment (~51% of business) faces challenging demand environment
• Trading at premium multiples compared to historical range (near high end of 13.5x-19.2x NTM PE)

Positive Factors

• Trading at 30% discount to U.S. peers according to Morgan Stanley
• Potential inclusion in S&P 500 could drive additional demand
• Strong operational execution despite challenging environment

Based on the technical and fundamental analysis, selling FERG at current levels appears prudent due to margin pressures, premium valuation, and near-term residential market headwinds.

Based on the available data and recent analyst reports, here's the price prediction for Ferguson (FERG) stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $175.95, showing a bearish trend in the short term with key technical indicators:

• RSI (14) at 41.87 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD showing bearish divergence (-0.34)
• Trading below both 200-day SMA ($197.49) and 250-day SMA ($200.19)

Price Target Analysis

Recent analyst price targets and rationale:

• Morgan Stanley initiated coverage with $204 price target
• BofA Securities upgraded to "Buy" with price target of $225
• The consensus among analysts points to a price range of $204-225 by end of 2025

Key Growth Drivers

1. Positive inflection expected in residential repair and maintenance markets
2. Potential S&P 500 inclusion could drive additional demand
3. Pricing power advantages in inflationary environment
4. Currently trading at 30% discount to U.S. peers

2025 Price Prediction

Based on technical analysis, analyst forecasts, and fundamental drivers:

• Base case: $210 (representing ~19% upside from current levels)
• Primary catalysts: Market recovery, operational execution, and potential S&P 500 inclusion

The S1 support level for FERG Stock is $172.09 ,The R1 resistant level for FERG Stock is $184.78.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of FERG Stock was $175.565.

The target price for FERG Stock according to analyst rating is 214.98, with the highest price target at 240.58 and the lowest at 189.46. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on FERG Stock overall.

The market cap of FERG is $35.2B.

Based on the technical indicators and recent market data, FERG appears to be currently undervalued. The stock's RSI-14 reading of 41.87 indicates a neutral to slightly oversold condition, suggesting potential upside. The stock is trading below both its SMA-200 ($197.49) and SMA-250 ($200.19) levels, indicating a significant discount to its historical trading range. The MACD indicator shows a bearish signal with -0.34, but the declining momentum is slowing down as evidenced by the narrowing MACD histogram. Recent institutional activity shows Trian Fund Management reducing its stake, however this appears to be portfolio rebalancing rather than a fundamental concern about the company.

Ferguson plc is a distributor in North America, providing solutions, and products from infrastructure, plumbing and appliances to heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC), fire, fabrication, and others. The Company's USA segment operates primarily under the Ferguson brand and provides solutions, and products, from infrastructure, plumbing and appliances to HVAC, fire, fabrication and more, to residential and non-residential contractors. Its products are delivered through a common network of distribution centers, branches and specialist sales associates, e-commerce, and others. The Canada segment operates primarily under the Wolseley brand and supplies plumbing, HVAC, and refrigeration products to residential and commercial contractors. The Canada segment also supplies specialist water and wastewater treatment products to residential, commercial and infrastructure contractors, and supplies pipe, valves, and fittings (PVF) solutions to industrial customers.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here's a projection for Ferguson (FERG) stock price in 2030:

FERG is expected to reach approximately $285-295 by 2030, driven by its strong market position in residential and commercial segments which account for 80% of revenue, coupled with Morgan Stanley's positive outlook on residential repair markets through 2025. The company's consistent outperformance against market peers and potential S&P 500 inclusion could drive additional valuation expansion.

The projection considers BofA Securities' view of FERG as a "long-term growth compounder" with structural growth drivers and favorable U.S. inflation dynamics.

FERG has a total of 35000 employees.