Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis for Ford (F):

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $10.18, showing a modest gain of 1.70% in the last regular trading session. The stock has been trading in a narrow range between $10.04 and $10.21.

Recent Events Impact

• Ford is participating in Trump's inaugural fund with a $1 million donation alongside other major companies
• The company has seen positive momentum in EV sales, particularly with the Mustang Mach-E emerging as a top seller in 2024
• The U.S. Department of Energy has finalized a $996 million loan that will benefit Ford by supporting lithium production for EV manufacturing

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions have been predominantly cautious:

• Jefferies downgraded to Sell with $9 PT (Dec 16, 2024)
• Wolfe Research downgraded to Sell (Dec 5, 2024)
• Bernstein downgraded to Hold with $11 PT (Nov 7, 2024)
• Deutsche Bank maintained Hold with $10 PT (Oct 30, 2024)
• Barclays maintained Buy with $13 PT (Oct 29, 2024)

Technical Indicators

• RSI(14) at 54.38 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD at -0.12 suggests slight bearish pressure
• Current price is above the 20-day SMA of $9.87, indicating short-term upward momentum

Conclusion Based on the current technical setup and mixed analyst sentiment, Ford stock appears to be in a consolidation phase. The stock is facing resistance around the $10.30 level, with support at $9.61 (Fibonacci S1). While the company is making positive strides in EV development and has secured government support for supply chain improvements, the near-term outlook remains cautious due to recent analyst downgrades.

Based on the current market data and analysis, Ford (F) stock is projected to reach $12.50 by end of 2025, driven by the company's successful EV transition and positive market sentiment in the auto sector. Technical analysis shows a strong support level at $9.80 with recent upward momentum breaking through the 20-day moving average at $9.87, suggesting potential for further gains. The broader market's expected 11.5-13.2% gain in 2025 according to major analysts like UBS and BMO Capital Markets provides additional tailwind for Ford's stock price appreciation.

The S1 support level for F Stock is $9.67 ,The R1 resistant level for F Stock is $10.34.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of F Stock was $10.12.

The target price for F Stock according to analyst rating is 10.31, with the highest price target at 14.00 and the lowest at 8.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on F Stock overall.

The market cap of F is $40.2B.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis of Ford's valuation:

Technical Analysis

Valuation Metrics Ford is currently trading at compelling valuation multiples:

• P/E: 12.02x (Q3 2024)
• EV/EBITDA: 14.25x
• P/S: 0.23x
• P/B: 1.0x
• Dividend Yield: 5.68%

Recent Performance and Challenges

• Stock has declined 12% in 2024
• Operating margin remains weak at 1.9% in Q3 2024
• EV division continues to face challenges with projected losses of $5.5 billion for 2024
• Warranty costs remain elevated, pressuring margins
• Supplier disruptions led to lowered FY2024 adjusted EBIT guidance to $10 billion

Positive Factors

• Ford Pro segment showing strong performance with 11.6% operating margin
• Commercial vehicle business remains robust with 13% YoY revenue growth
• Strong dividend yield of 5.68% supported by consistent profitability
• November 2024 EV sales grew 20.8% YoY, outpacing total vehicle sales growth

Analyst Sentiment

Recent analyst actions have been predominantly negative:

• Jefferies downgraded to Sell with $9 PT (Dec 2024)
• Wolfe Research downgraded to Sell (Dec 2024)
• Bernstein downgraded to Hold with $11 PT (Nov 2024)

Conclusion Ford appears overvalued at current levels given:

1. Persistent challenges in EV segment
2. Margin pressures from warranty costs
3. Supplier disruptions impacting guidance
4. Negative analyst sentiment
5. Weak technical indicators showing downward momentum

While the attractive dividend yield and strong commercial vehicle business provide some support, the multiple headwinds suggest limited upside potential in the near term.

Ford Motor Company is an automobile company. The Company develops and delivers Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars and Lincoln luxury vehicles, along with connected services. Its Ford Blue segment includes the sale of Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine (ICE) and hybrid vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers. Ford Model e segment primarily includes the sale of electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services. Ford Pro primarily includes the sale of Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, accessories, and services for commercial, government, and rental customers. Ford Next segment primarily includes expenses and investments for emerging business initiatives aimed at creating value for Ford in vehicle-adjacent market segments. Ford Credit segment is comprised of the Ford Credit business on a consolidated basis, which is primarily vehicle-related financing and leasing activities.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here's the price prediction for Ford (F) stock by 2030:

Ford stock is projected to reach $15-17 per share by 2030, driven by its transition to electric vehicles despite current EV segment losses of $3.7 billion in recent quarters. The company's strong commercial Pro segment showing 13% year-over-year revenue growth and 11.6% operating margins provides a stable foundation, while its strategic partnerships and $1 billion investment in future technologies position it for moderate long-term growth.

The conservative price target reflects Ford's cyclical nature and intense competition in the automotive industry, with historical returns showing limited upside - a $1,000 investment in 2014 would only be worth $1,264.73 by 2024, representing just a 2.37% annual return.

F has a total of 177000 employees.