F Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how F performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, F sees a -1.25% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -6.14% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.37%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
F Key Earning Data
F Earnings Analysis
Positive
Earnings Surprise: Ford’s Q1 2025 EPS of $0.14 exceeded expectations, contrasting with a forecasted loss.
Revenue Surpasses Forecasts: Revenue reached $41 billion, surpassing forecasts but reflecting a 5% year-over-year decline.
EBIT Surpasses Expectations: EBIT of $1 billion, surpassing breakeven expectations, driven by cost improvements and strong pricing.
Record Pickup Sales: Ford achieved its best first quarter U.S. Pickup sales in over twenty years, contributing to market share gains.
EBIT Guidance Achievement: The company is on track for its original full-year EBIT guidance, excluding tariffs, indicating strong operational performance.
Gross Profit Margin Improvement: Ford's gross profit margin stands at 8.4%, reflecting ongoing operational improvements.
Commercial Vehicle Market Resilience: Ford Pro continues to show resilience, maintaining a strong market share in the commercial vehicle segment.
Current Ratio Analysis: The company has a solid current ratio of 1.16, indicating good short-term financial health.
Strong Financial Position: Ford maintains a strong balance sheet with over $27 billion in cash and $45 billion in liquidity, providing flexibility for future investments.
Negative
Stock Price Decline: Stock price declined by 1.07% in regular trading and an additional 2.26% in after-hours trading, closing at $9.94, indicating investor concerns despite an earnings beat.
Revenue Decline Concerns: Revenue of $41 billion was down 5% year-over-year, raising concerns about future growth despite exceeding expectations.
Tariff Impact on Guidance: Ford suspended its full-year 2025 guidance due to uncertainties surrounding tariffs, which are estimated to have a gross impact of $2.5 billion on EBIT.
High Debt-to-Equity Ratio: The company reported a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.59, which may raise concerns about financial stability in the current economic environment.
Gross Profit Margin Challenges: The gross profit margin of 8.4% reflects ongoing operational challenges that management is actively addressing, indicating potential inefficiencies.
Supply Chain Concerns: Analysts expressed concerns over potential supply chain disruptions and tariff impacts, which could affect production and future guidance.
F FAQs
How does F typically perform around its earnings report dates?
F's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -1.25% change leading up to the report and a -6.14% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Ford Motor Co (F) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
F Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Ford Q1 2025 beats expectations, stock dips
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