F Valuation

Ford Motor Co

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11.620

-0.1(-0.853%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

F Relative Valuation

F's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, F is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Ford Motor Co (F) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 9.47 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 7.80. The fair price of Ford Motor Co (F) is between 8.17 to 11.99 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

8.17-11.99

Current Price：11.72

Fair

9.44

Trailing

Forward

16.75

EV/EBITDA

Ford Motor Co. (F) has a current EV/EBITDA of 16.75. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 12.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 8.40, Undervalued between 8.40 and 10.40, Fairly Valued between 14.39 and 10.40, Overvalued between 14.39 and 16.39, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.39. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 16.75 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

22.17

EV/EBIT

Ford Motor Co. (F) has a current EV/EBIT of 22.17. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 20.29. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.95, Undervalued between 6.95 and 13.62, Fairly Valued between 26.97 and 13.62, Overvalued between 26.97 and 33.64, and Strongly Overvalued above 33.64. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 22.17 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.27

Ford Motor Co. (F) has a current PS of 0.27. The 5-year average PS is 0.32. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.15, Undervalued between 0.15 and 0.23, Fairly Valued between 0.40 and 0.23, Overvalued between 0.40 and 0.48, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.48. The current Forward PS of 0.27 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

3.02

P/OCF

Ford Motor Co. (F) has a current P/OCF of 3.02. The 5-year average P/OCF is 3.79. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.15, Undervalued between 1.15 and 2.47, Fairly Valued between 5.12 and 2.47, Overvalued between 5.12 and 6.44, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.44. The current Forward P/OCF of 3.02 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.19

P/FCF

Ford Motor Co. (F) has a current P/FCF of 6.19. The 5-year average P/FCF is 8.97. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.33, Undervalued between 1.33 and 5.15, Fairly Valued between 12.78 and 5.15, Overvalued between 12.78 and 16.60, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.60. The current Forward P/FCF of 6.19 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Ford Motor Co (F) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.08 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -3.93% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.23, the current P/B ratio is about -15.65% higher. Ford Motor Co (F) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 21.63%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 11.73%, the current FCF yield is approximately 84.29% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 17.94% , the current FCF yield is about 20.54% lower.

1.03

P/B

Median3y

1.08

Median5y

1.23

21.72

FCF Yield

Median3y

11.73

Median5y

17.94

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for F's competitors is 1.32, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Ford Motor Co Corp (F) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is -100.00% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 4.97%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Rivian Automotive Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of F increased by 16.17% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 7.04 to 14.97.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 4.97%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of F in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

4.97%

47.81B → 50.18B

Revenue Growth

-101.57%

3.83 → -0.06

Margin Expansion

112.77%

7.04 → 14.97

P/E Change

16.17%