Based on the recent data and market trends, NIO's stock shows mixed signals but leans towards a cautious sell recommendation at the current price of $4.36. The company's recent launch of affordable brands Onvo and Firefly has shown promising delivery growth, but ongoing profitability concerns and intense market competition persist.

Technical Analysis

Current price ($4.36) is trading below both 20-day SMA ($4.40) and 60-day SMA ($4.69), indicating bearish momentum
RSI at 47.76 suggests neutral momentum but trending downward
MACD at -0.12 signals bearish sentiment

Recent Developments

Onvo L60 deliveries increased significantly from 832 in September to over 5,000 in November
Expected inclusion in Hong Kong stock index could bring passive investment inflows
Management projects deliveries to double to 440,000 units in 2025

Key Challenges

Ongoing price war in China affecting margins
Lack of profitability despite 48% market share in premium segment
Regulatory risks from US and EU tariffs on Chinese EVs
Increasing competition in lower-priced segments

Fibonacci Levels

Resistance: R1 at $4.75, R2 at $4.97
Support: S1 at $4.07, S2 at $3.85
Current price ($4.36) is below pivot point of $4.41

The stock appears vulnerable to further downside given the technical weakness and fundamental challenges, despite some positive developments in new brand launches.

What is price prediction 2025 for NIO Stock?

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's a prediction for NIO stock price in 2025:

NIO's stock price is expected to reach $7-8 by end of 2025, driven by the company's projected delivery growth to 440,000 units and successful expansion of its affordable EV brands Onvo and Firefly. The recent success of Onvo L60 SUV, with deliveries increasing from 832 in September to over 5,000 in November 2024, demonstrates strong market acceptance of NIO's new affordable vehicle strategy. However, ongoing price wars in China and potential tariff challenges in international markets could limit the upside potential.

What is surpport and resistant level for NIO Stock?

The S1 support level for NIO Stock is $4.05 ,The R1 resistant level for NIO Stock is $4.36.

What is the current price of NIO Stock?

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of NIO Stock was $4.29.

What is the target price of NIO Stock?

The target price for NIO Stock according to analyst rating is 5.72, with the highest price target at 8.90 and the lowest at 3.90. Analysts have a Hold rating on NIO Stock overall.

What is the market cap of NIO Inc?

The market cap of NIO is $9.0B.

Is NIO Inc (NIO) overvalued?

Based on the provided data and market analysis, NIO appears overvalued for several key reasons:

Fundamental Concerns The company's Q3 2024 financials show significant losses with a net loss of -5.14 billion CNY and deteriorating ROE at -156.1% . The gross margin, while improving to 10.75%, remains well below industry standards.

Recent Performance & Valuation NIO's stock has declined over 51% in 2024, indicating severe market skepticism. While the P/S ratio of 1.46x might seem reasonable, the company's inability to generate profits and increasing operating losses make this valuation difficult to justify.

Competitive Pressures The company faces intense competition in China's EV market with only 3% market share, far behind leaders like BYD and Tesla. The ongoing price war in China's EV market is putting additional pressure on margins.

Analyst Sentiment Goldman Sachs recently downgraded NIO to Strong Sell with a price target of $3.90, citing limited new model pipeline and slow production ramp-up concerns . Multiple other analysts have also lowered their ratings and price targets.

The combination of mounting losses, intense competition, and negative analyst sentiment suggests NIO is currently overvalued at its present price level.

What is NIO Inc (NIO)'s business?

NIO Inc is a China-based holding company principally engaged in the research, development and manufacturing of premium smart electric vehicles. The Company is mainly engaged in the design, development, manufacture and sales of high-end smart electric vehicles. The Company's products mainly include ES8, ES6, EC6 and ET7. The Company develops battery swapping technologies and autonomous driving technologies. Its electric vehicles apply NAD (NIO Autonomous Driving) technology, including super computing platform NIO Adam and super sensing system NIO Aquila. The Company is also engaged in the provision of charging piles, vehicle internet connection services and extended lifetime warranties. The Company mainly conducts its businesses in the domestic market.

What is price prediction 2030 for NIO Stock?

Based on the provided data and references, here's a comprehensive analysis of NIO's potential stock price in 2030:

NIO's stock price is projected to reach $15-20 by 2030, driven by three key factors: significant delivery growth, margin expansion, and brand portfolio diversification. The company expects to more than double its deliveries to 440,000 units by 2025 through its multi-brand strategy including NIO, Onvo, and Firefly brands, with the affordable Onvo L60 already showing strong demand growth from 832 units in September to over 5,000 units by November 2024. The company's improving gross margins from 11% to 13% despite intense price competition demonstrates operational efficiency improvements that should continue.