NIO Valuation

NIO Inc

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6.380

-0.13(-1.997%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

NIO Relative Valuation

NIO's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, NIO is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

NIO Inc (NIO) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 1.07 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -64.98. The fair price of NIO Inc (NIO) is between 6.06 to 7.40 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

6.06-7.40

Current Price：6.38

Fair

-8.09

Trailing

Forward

-14.49

EV/EBITDA

NIO Inc. (NIO) has a current EV/EBITDA of -14.49. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -87.78. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -363.22, Undervalued between -363.22 and -225.50, Fairly Valued between 49.95 and -225.50, Overvalued between 49.95 and 187.67, and Strongly Overvalued above 187.67. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -14.49 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-8.17

EV/EBIT

NIO Inc. (NIO) has a current EV/EBIT of -8.17. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -41.32. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -158.96, Undervalued between -158.96 and -100.14, Fairly Valued between 17.50 and -100.14, Overvalued between 17.50 and 76.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 76.33. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -8.17 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.07

NIO Inc. (NIO) has a current PS of 1.07. The 5-year average PS is 4.14. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -4.79, Undervalued between -4.79 and -0.33, Fairly Valued between 8.60 and -0.33, Overvalued between 8.60 and 13.06, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.06. The current Forward PS of 1.07 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-15.43

P/OCF

NIO Inc. (NIO) has a current P/OCF of -15.43. The 5-year average P/OCF is 98.55. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -726.36, Undervalued between -726.36 and -313.90, Fairly Valued between 511.01 and -313.90, Overvalued between 511.01 and 923.46, and Strongly Overvalued above 923.46. The current Forward P/OCF of -15.43 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-7.38

P/FCF

NIO Inc. (NIO) has a current P/FCF of -7.38. The 5-year average P/FCF is -46.06. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -225.70, Undervalued between -225.70 and -135.88, Fairly Valued between 43.77 and -135.88, Overvalued between 43.77 and 133.59, and Strongly Overvalued above 133.59. The current Forward P/FCF of -7.38 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

NIO Inc (NIO) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of -260.33. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of -14.36 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 1712.44% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -2.50, the current P/B ratio is about 10322.35% higher. NIO Inc (NIO) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -4.38%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -2.79% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

-260.33

P/B

Median3y

-14.36

Median5y

-2.50

0.00

FCF Yield

Median3y

-4.38

Median5y

-2.79

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for NIO's competitors is 2.17, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. NIO Inc Corp (NIO) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.07, which is -50.53% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 21.46%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of NIO decreased by 4.49% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 9.91B to 12.03B.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed 7.21%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of NIO in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

21.46%

9.91B → 12.03B

Revenue Growth

7.21%

-52.32 → -56.09

Margin Expansion

-33.16%

-5.79 → -3.87

P/E Change

-4.49%