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  4. Forecast

Stock Price Prediction

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NIO
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NIO Price Prediction Next Week

Technical Analysis:

Based on the technical indicators, NIO is showing mixed signals. The RSI(14) at 47.39 indicates a neutral position, slightly leaning towards oversold territory. The MACD at -0.11 suggests bearish momentum in the short term. The stock is currently trading below both its 20-day (4.35) and 60-day (4.63) moving averages, indicating a bearish trend.

Price Targets and Support/Resistance Levels:

According to Fibonacci levels:

  • Resistance levels: R1: $4.36, R2: $4.46, R3: $4.61
  • Support levels: S1: $4.05, S2: $3.95, S3: $3.79
  • Pivot point: $4.20

News Sentiment Analysis:

Recent positive catalysts:

  • Trump's recent statements about preferring not to use tariffs against China led to a 1.9% increase in NIO's stock price
  • The company's inclusion in Hong Kong stock index is expected to bring passive investment inflows

Negative factors:

  • Increasing competition in the Chinese EV market with BYD's expansion and new product launches
  • EU's import duties on Chinese EVs ranging from 17% to 35.3% could impact international expansion

Price Prediction for Next Week:

Based on technical analysis and current market conditions:

  • Most likely scenario (60% probability): Price range between $4.05-$4.35
  • Bearish scenario (25% probability): Drop to $3.95 support level
  • Bullish scenario (15% probability): Break above $4.46 resistance

Trading Recommendation: SELL with target price of $3.95

Rationale:

  1. Bearish MACD indicator
  2. Trading below key moving averages
  3. Strong competition in Chinese EV market
  4. Technical resistance at $4.46 likely to cap upside
  5. EU tariffs creating headwinds for international expansion

Set stop-loss at $4.46 (R2 level) to manage risk.

Technical Analysis:

Based on the technical indicators, NIO is showing mixed signals. The RSI(14) at 47.39 indicates a neutral position, slightly leaning towards oversold territory. The MACD at -0.11 suggests bearish momentum in the short term. The stock is currently trading below both its 20-day (4.35) and 60-day (4.63) moving averages, indicating a bearish trend.

Price Targets and Support/Resistance Levels:

According to Fibonacci levels:

  • Resistance levels: R1: $4.36, R2: $4.46, R3: $4.61
  • Support levels: S1: $4.05, S2: $3.95, S3: $3.79
  • Pivot point: $4.20

News Sentiment Analysis:

Recent positive catalysts:

  • Trump's recent statements about preferring not to use tariffs against China led to a 1.9% increase in NIO's stock price
  • The company's inclusion in Hong Kong stock index is expected to bring passive investment inflows

Negative factors:

  • Increasing competition in the Chinese EV market with BYD's expansion and new product launches
  • EU's import duties on Chinese EVs ranging from 17% to 35.3% could impact international expansion

Price Prediction for Next Week:

Based on technical analysis and current market conditions:

  • Most likely scenario (60% probability): Price range between $4.05-$4.35
  • Bearish scenario (25% probability): Drop to $3.95 support level
  • Bullish scenario (15% probability): Break above $4.46 resistance

Trading Recommendation: SELL with target price of $3.95

Rationale:

  1. Bearish MACD indicator
  2. Trading below key moving averages
  3. Strong competition in Chinese EV market
  4. Technical resistance at $4.46 likely to cap upside
  5. EU tariffs creating headwinds for international expansion

Set stop-loss at $4.46 (R2 level) to manage risk.

NIO Similar Chart Price Prediction

The price of NIO is predicted to go up -6%, based on the high correlation periods with RIO. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 92.25%.

stocks logo

NIO

stocks logo

RIO

Down: -6%Similarity: 92.25%

NIO Stock Forecast & Prediction For Years 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030

Year

NIO Price Forecast($)

Potential Return(%)

2025

6.500

56.060

2026

8.000

92.080

2027

10.000

140.100

2028

8.000

92.080

2029

10.000

140.100

2030

15.000

260.140

What is NIO stock price prediction 2025 ?

NIO's stock price prediction for 2025 is approximately $6.50–$7.50. This estimate is based on expected delivery growth of 70% driven by the Onvo brand, improving gross margins, and potential geopolitical tailwinds. However, risks like intense price wars and profitability challenges could limit upside potential.

What is NIO stock price prediction 2026 ?

NIO's stock price in 2026 is projected to reach $8-$10, driven by expected delivery growth of 70% in 2025 and profitability targeted by 2026. The launch of the Onvo brand and margin improvements are key factors supporting this recovery. However, risks include geopolitical tensions and intense price competition in China.

What is NIO stock price prediction 2027 ?

NIO's stock price prediction for 2027 is estimated to be around $10-$12. This projection is based on expected delivery growth driven by the Onvo brand, margin improvements, and potential profitability by 2026. However, risks such as geopolitical tensions and competitive pricing in the EV market could impact this forecast.

What is NIO stock price prediction 2028 ?

NIO's stock price prediction for 2028 is estimated to be around $8-$12. This projection is based on expected delivery growth, margin improvements, and potential profitability by 2026, as well as a recovery from current undervaluation. However, risks such as intense competition, geopolitical tensions, and tariff impacts could limit upside potential.

What is NIO stock price prediction 2029 ?

NIO's stock price in 2029 is projected to reach approximately $10, driven by expected delivery growth exceeding 70% annually and margin improvements from scaling its Onvo brand. The company's strategic entry into the affordable EV market and anticipated profitability by 2026 are key factors supporting this valuation. However, risks such as geopolitical tensions and competitive pricing pressures in China could impact this forecast.

What is NIO stock price prediction 2030 ?

NIO's stock price by 2030 is projected to reach approximately $15-$20, assuming a recovery in margins, successful global expansion, and sustained EV market growth. This estimate factors in NIO's current challenges, including price wars and geopolitical risks, but also its potential for scaling deliveries and improving profitability. However, achieving this target depends on macroeconomic stability and competitive positioning in the EV market.

NIO Revenue Forecast

NIO EPS Forecast

NIO FAQs

What is bull‘s view on NIO?

NIO stock is currently trading at $4.25, and bulls argue it is undervalued with a forward P/S ratio of 0.57, compared to Tesla's 16.5, indicating significant upside potential if growth projections materialize. Recent improvements in gross margins (10.7%) and robust delivery growth (72.9% YoY in December 2024) suggest operational efficiency and strong demand, particularly with the success of its affordable Onvo brand. If NIO meets its 2025 revenue target of $13.5 billion (+43.6% YoY), the stock could rebound significantly, potentially reaching $6.50-$7.00.

What is bear's view on NIO?

NIO stock is bearish, currently trading at $4.25. The bearish view stems from escalating US-China tensions and potential AI chip sanctions, which could further pressure Chinese stocks, including NIO. Additionally, Goldman Sachs recently downgraded NIO to a "Strong Sell" with a price target of $3.90, citing slow production ramp-up and rising expenses from its Onvo brand expansion.

What is NIO revenue forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for NIO's revenue in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $17.809B CNY.

NIO VS S&P500

Nio has successfully built its premium brand image, which will differentiate the company from its mass-market competitors and generate extra pricing power for the company's electric cars.

Advancing battery technology and charging solutions will ease range anxiety on electric cars. Chinese consumers' soaring demand for EV cars will benefit NEV carmakers such as Nio.

Younger-generation car buyers value vehicle tech experience, giving Nio leadership compared with legacy carmakers.

Ask Intellectia about NIO

NIO Analyst's Forecast

Tina Hou

Goldman Sachs

Hold → Strong Sell

Price Target

$4.8 → $3.9

Upside

-16.49%

Goldman Sachs downgraded Nio to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $3.90, down from $4.80. The analyst expects limited new model pipeline for the Nio brand and slow production ramp-up for Onvo to position the company unfavorably into 2025, with potentially intensified competition starting in the first quarter of next year. In addition, as the company continues to expand the sales network of the Onvo brand, growing expenses will drag down operating losses, hindering Nio's path to profitability in the next three years, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Goldman sees 24% downside risk to the consensus 2025 non-GAAP net loss estimate.
Eugene Hsiao

Macquarie

Buy → Hold

Price Target

$6.6 → $4.8

Upside

+3.23%

Eugene Hsiao

Macquarie

Hold → Buy

Price Target

$6.6

Upside

+13.6%

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