Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis of RIVN:

Technical Analysis The stock is currently trading at $14.21, showing bearish momentum with a -1.59% decline in the last regular trading session. RSI at 53.39 indicates neutral territory, while the stock is trading slightly above its 20-day SMA of $14.01, suggesting short-term consolidation.

Recent Developments

• Volkswagen partnership: Recently secured a $5.8 billion deal including technology licensing and joint venture opportunities
• Production challenges: Vehicle production declined by 13.5% to 49,476 units in 2024, while deliveries grew modestly by 3% to 51,579 units
• Upcoming catalyst: Q4 earnings report on February 20, 2025, with management targeting positive gross margins

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions show mixed opinions:

• Truist Securities: Hold rating with $14 PT
• UBS: Hold rating with $14 PT
• Cantor Fitzgerald: Buy rating with $13 PT

Investment Thesis SELL recommendation based on:

1. Challenging near-term outlook with limited catalysts in 2025
2. Production inefficiencies and continued losses on vehicle sales
3. Uncertain political landscape potentially affecting EV tax credits
4. No new vehicle launches until 2026 (R2 platform)

Key Risks

• Potential positive surprise in Q4 earnings with gross margin improvement
• Strong balance sheet following Volkswagen deal
• Long-term growth potential with R2 platform launch in 2026

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here is the price prediction for RIVN stock in 2025:

RIVN is expected to trade around $18-20 by end of 2025, representing approximately 25-40% upside from current levels of $14.21, driven by potential achievement of positive gross margins in Q4 2024 and launch preparation for more affordable R2 model in 2026. The company's joint venture with Volkswagen providing $5.8 billion in funding and technology sharing strengthens its long-term prospects.

The stock currently trades at an attractive valuation of just 3.2x sales compared to Tesla's 14x and Lucid's 10x multiples, suggesting significant upside potential if the company can execute on its profitability targets. However, near-term headwinds include production challenges, lack of new vehicle launches in 2025, and uncertainty around EV tax credits under the new administration.

The S1 support level for RIVN Stock is $12.44 ,The R1 resistant level for RIVN Stock is $14.86.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of RIVN Stock was $12.76.

The target price for RIVN Stock according to analyst rating is 14.35, with the highest price target at 23.00 and the lowest at 8.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on RIVN Stock overall.

The market cap of RIVN is $13.0B.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis of RIVN's valuation:

Current Market Position RIVN is currently trading at $14.21, with a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 2.4 and price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.94 as of Q3 2024. The stock appears undervalued compared to its EV peers, with Tesla trading at 14x sales and other competitors at 10x sales.

Key Valuation Concerns

• Negative gross margins: Still losing approximately $40,000 per vehicle sold
• Production challenges: Vehicle production declined 13.5% to 49,476 units in 2024
• Stock performance: Shares declined 43% in 2024 despite delivery growth

Positive Developments

• Volkswagen partnership providing $5.8B in potential funding
• Management expects positive gross margins by Q4 2024 earnings (Feb 20)
• R2 platform launching in 2026 with vehicles priced under $50,000

Recent Analyst Actions

• Truist Securities: Hold, PT $14 (Jan 16, 2025)
• UBS: Hold, PT $14 (Jan 16, 2025)
• Cantor Fitzgerald: Buy, PT $13 (Jan 6, 2025)

Conclusion RIVN appears overvalued in the near term given its negative margins and production challenges, despite trading at lower multiples than peers. The stock could see significant upside if it achieves positive gross margins in Q4 2024, but current valuation reflects high execution risk and uncertain path to profitability.

Rivian Automotive, Inc. is an automotive manufacturer, which is engaged in developing and building category-defining electric vehicles (EVs) and accessories. The Company’s R1 platform offers the first-generation consumer vehicles: the R1T, a two-row five-passenger pickup truck, and the R1S, a three-row seven-passenger sport utility vehicle (SUV). In the commercial market, the Company offers Rivian Commercial Vehicle (RCV) platform. The Company’s vehicle on this platform is Electric Delivery Van (EDV), designed and engineered by Rivian in collaboration with Amazon. Alongside its commercial vehicles, it offers FleetOS, its proprietary, end-to-end centralized fleet management subscription platform. It also offers a variety of services, including financing and insurance, vehicle maintenance and repair, charging and FleetOS solutions. Its value-added services include digitally enabled financing and leasing, telematics-based insurance, proactive vehicle service, software services, and more.

Based on the provided data and context, here is my analysis for RIVN's stock price prediction for 2030:

Technical Analysis

Current Market Position & Fundamentals RIVN is currently trading at $14.21 as of January 17, 2025, with significant production and profitability milestones ahead. The company aims to achieve positive gross margins by Q4 2024 and plans to launch three new mass-market vehicles under $50,000 by 2026.

2030 Price Target Analysis Based on multiple factors, RIVN stock could reach $45-50 by 2030, driven by:

1. Production Scale: Rivian's partnership with Volkswagen and significant cost reductions position it to achieve mass-market production targets, potentially reaching 440,000 units annually by 2025.

2. Market Position: The company has established itself as the second-largest EV brand in America behind Tesla, with strong growth in commercial vehicle segment through Amazon's 100,000-unit order.

RIVN has a total of 16790 employees.