Should I Buy Rivian Automotive Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. RIVN has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
RIVN stock price ended at $16.015 on Thursday, after losing -1.99%
The Rivian Automotive Inc stock price decreased by -1.99% on the last trading day (22 May 2025), dropping from 16.71 to 16.34. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 6.58% , ranging from a day low of $16.025 to a day high of 17.08. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 28.46% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -16.88M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 46.88M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 773.89M.
RIVN Technical Signals
RIVN(Rivian Automotive Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-08. The total price change during this trend is +51.30%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of RIVN over the last 5 trading days is 782.26M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
RIVN Moving Average Analysis
Rivian Automotive Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, May 23, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $17.756489999999996, and $19.400999999999996. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $12.435509999999999, and $10.791. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
RIVN Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Rivian Automotive Inc(RIVN) as of 16 May 2025 is 22.24%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 15.30 to 15.81. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
2.892
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
3.62
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
1.077
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Relative Strength Index (14 days)
RSI_14 > 70
70.717
Bearish
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
91.319
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
141.318
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
90.187
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-17.495
Bearish
RIVN Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Rivian Automotive Inc(RIVN), our algorithm predicts RIVN's 1-month price at $21.81, with an 37.96%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.19%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 37.96% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CSIQ.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.19%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
RIVN
No Data
CSIQ
Up: 37.96%Similarity: 98.19%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
CSIQ.O
98.19%
+37.96%
ARWR.O
98.12%
+7.75%
LQDA.O
98.06%
-13.71%
AIV.N
97.99%
+8.98%
DQ.N
97.93%
+0.36%
ASPS.O
97.90%
-56.97%
FRPT.O
97.90%
-7.88%
TPL.N
97.89%
-5.54%
COST.O
97.80%
-9.10%
AMRC.N
97.80%
-20.81%
RIVN Seasonality Analysis
Based on RIVN's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is100.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in RIVN. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while August has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) stock?
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