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  5. RIVN
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RIVN Stock Price Prediction

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Should I Buy Rivian Automotive Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. RIVN has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

RIVN stock price ended at $16.015 on Thursday, after losing -1.99%

The Rivian Automotive Inc stock price decreased by -1.99% on the last trading day (22 May 2025), dropping from 16.71 to 16.34. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 6.58% , ranging from a day low of $16.025 to a day high of 17.08. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 28.46% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -16.88M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 46.88M  shares were traded, amounting to approximately 773.89M.

RIVN Technical Signals

RIVN(Rivian Automotive Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-08. The total price change during this trend is +51.30%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of RIVN over the last 5 trading days is 782.26M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

RIVN Moving Average Analysis

Rivian Automotive Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, May 23, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $17.756489999999996, and $19.400999999999996. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $12.435509999999999, and $10.791. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

RIVN Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Rivian Automotive Inc(RIVN) as of 16 May 2025 is 22.24%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 15.30 to 15.81. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
3

Moving Average

Swing

down ImageNegative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

up ImagePositive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

up ImagePositive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

down ImageNegative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

2.892

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

3.62

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

1.077

Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Relative Strength Index (14 days)

RSI_14 > 70

70.717

Bearish

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

91.319

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

141.318

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

90.187

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-17.495

Bearish

RIVN Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Rivian Automotive Inc(RIVN), our algorithm predicts RIVN's 1-month price at $21.81, with an 37.96%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.19%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 37.96% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CSIQ.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.19%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
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RIVN

No Data
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CSIQ

Up: 37.96%Similarity: 98.19%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

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CSIQ.O

98.19%

+37.96%

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ARWR.O

98.12%

+7.75%

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LQDA.O

98.06%

-13.71%

stocks logo

AIV.N

97.99%

+8.98%

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DQ.N

97.93%

+0.36%

stocks logo

ASPS.O

97.90%

-56.97%

stocks logo

FRPT.O

97.90%

-7.88%

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TPL.N

97.89%

-5.54%

stocks logo

COST.O

97.80%

-9.10%

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AMRC.N

97.80%

-20.81%

RIVN Seasonality Analysis

Based on RIVN's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is100.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in RIVN. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while August has the lowest probability (0.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.

People Also Watch

FAQ

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Should I buy Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. RIVN has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
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Which months have the highest win rate for buying Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) stock in a year?

The radar chart shows that buying Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while August has the lowest probability (0.00%).

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How has Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN)'s stock price performed over the past three years?

RIVN's stock price rose by 35.29% in 2023,decreased by -36.97% in 2024, and went up by 21.09% in 2025.

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Which bull technical signals does RIVN have?

Bullish technical signals of RIVN include: AO_5_34 > 0, MOM_10 > 0, MACD_12_26_9 > 0.

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Which bearish technical signals does RIVN have?

Bearish technical signals of RIVN include: RSI_14 > 70, STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80, CCI_20_0.015 > 100, STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80, WILLR_14 > -20.

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Is RIVN a buy based on overall technical signals summary?

RIVN has 3 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for RIVN is Sell . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of RIVN.

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What is the trend of Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN)'s moving average?

Rivian Automotive Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of May 23 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.

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What is price prediction for RIVN stock next month?

The price prediction chart for Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) stock, as of May 18 2025, forecasts a 37.96% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CSIQ stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.19%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

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What is price prediction 2025 for RIVN Stock?

Rivian (RIVN) stock is predicted to trade around **$14** in 2025, driven by mixed analyst sentiment and ongoing execution challenges. Analysts have set an average price target of **$14.04**, with a range of **$10 to $16**, reflecting uncertainty about near-term demand and production scalability. The stock currently trades at **$15.57**, with technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions and potential downside risk.

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What is price prediction 2030 for RIVN Stock?

### **Price Prediction for Rivian (RIVN) Stock by 2030** Based on current trends, analyst expectations, and Rivian's strategic initiatives, here is a concise price prediction for RIVN stock by 2030: 1. **Bullish Scenario**: Rivian's stock could reach **$25–$35** by 2030, driven by successful execution of its R2 platform, increased production capacity, and market share gains in the EV sector. 2. **Bearish Scenario**: The stock may trade in the **$15–$20 range** if the company faces significant competition, production delays, or macroeconomic headwinds. **Reasons**: - Rivian is investing heavily in its R2 platform, expected to launch in 2026, which could significantly expand its market reach. - The company has strong partnerships, including a $1 billion investment from Volkswagen, enhancing its growth potential. - However, competition from established players like Tesla and Ford could limit upside.

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