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  4. Forecast

Stock Price Prediction

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RIVN
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RIVN Price Prediction Next Week

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a comprehensive analysis for RIVN's price prediction for next week:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $14.21, showing a bearish trend with RSI at 53.39 indicating neutral momentum . Key technical levels:

  • Support: $13.32 (Fibonacci S1)
  • Resistance: $16.10 (Fibonacci R1)

News Sentiment & Fundamental Catalysts

  1. Upcoming Q4 Earnings (Feb 20, 2025):
  • Management expects to achieve positive gross profits
  • This could be a major catalyst for stock movement as it would demonstrate progress toward profitability
  1. Strategic Developments:
  • Recent joint venture with Volkswagen valued at $5.8 billion
  • Significant cost reductions achieved in production, with 35% reduction in material costs
  1. Market Position:
  • Deliveries reached 51,579 vehicles in 2024, up 3% YoY
  • Component shortage issues have been resolved, which should help production recover

Price Prediction for Next Week

Based on technical and fundamental analysis:

Base Case (60% probability): $14.50-15.50

  • Consolidation near current levels with slight upward bias
  • Support from positive sentiment around upcoming earnings
  • Technical indicators showing neutral momentum

Bullish Case (25% probability): $15.50-16.10

  • Break above resistance could trigger short covering
  • Positive news flow regarding production ramp-up
  • Institutional buying ahead of earnings

Bearish Case (15% probability): $13.30-14.00

  • Market-wide EV sector weakness
  • Broader market volatility
  • Technical breakdown below support levels

Trading Recommendation HOLD with potential to accumulate on dips below $14.00. The stock appears to be building a base for potential upward movement, particularly with the upcoming earnings catalyst in February. However, traders should be cautious of the broader market uncertainty and EV sector challenges.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a comprehensive analysis for RIVN's price prediction for next week:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $14.21, showing a bearish trend with RSI at 53.39 indicating neutral momentum . Key technical levels:

  • Support: $13.32 (Fibonacci S1)
  • Resistance: $16.10 (Fibonacci R1)

News Sentiment & Fundamental Catalysts

  1. Upcoming Q4 Earnings (Feb 20, 2025):
  • Management expects to achieve positive gross profits
  • This could be a major catalyst for stock movement as it would demonstrate progress toward profitability
  1. Strategic Developments:
  • Recent joint venture with Volkswagen valued at $5.8 billion
  • Significant cost reductions achieved in production, with 35% reduction in material costs
  1. Market Position:
  • Deliveries reached 51,579 vehicles in 2024, up 3% YoY
  • Component shortage issues have been resolved, which should help production recover

Price Prediction for Next Week

Based on technical and fundamental analysis:

Base Case (60% probability): $14.50-15.50

  • Consolidation near current levels with slight upward bias
  • Support from positive sentiment around upcoming earnings
  • Technical indicators showing neutral momentum

Bullish Case (25% probability): $15.50-16.10

  • Break above resistance could trigger short covering
  • Positive news flow regarding production ramp-up
  • Institutional buying ahead of earnings

Bearish Case (15% probability): $13.30-14.00

  • Market-wide EV sector weakness
  • Broader market volatility
  • Technical breakdown below support levels

Trading Recommendation HOLD with potential to accumulate on dips below $14.00. The stock appears to be building a base for potential upward movement, particularly with the upcoming earnings catalyst in February. However, traders should be cautious of the broader market uncertainty and EV sector challenges.

RIVN Similar Chart Price Prediction

The price of RIVN is predicted to go up 3.96%, based on the high correlation periods with TDW. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 91.9%.

stocks logo

RIVN

stocks logo

TDW

Up: 3.96%Similarity: 91.9%

RIVN Stock Forecast & Prediction For Years 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030

Year

RIVN Price Forecast($)

Potential Return(%)

2025

18.000

29.960

2026

25.000

80.510

2027

25.000

80.510

2028

35.000

152.710

2029

45.000

224.910

2030

50.000

261.010

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2025 ?

Rivian's (RIVN) stock price is predicted to reach $18-$20 by the end of 2025, driven by improved production efficiency and potential gross margin profitability. The company's strategic partnerships, such as with Volkswagen and Amazon, alongside easing supply chain issues, support this growth trajectory. However, risks like high cash burn and market volatility remain significant.

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2026 ?

Rivian's stock price in 2026 is projected to reach approximately $25-$30, driven by the launch of its R2 mass-market vehicles priced under $50,000, which could significantly expand its customer base and improve gross margins. However, execution risks, including production scalability and capital requirements, remain critical challenges. The stock's speculative nature and volatility should be considered when evaluating this forecast.

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2027 ?

Rivian's (RIVN) stock price prediction for 2027 is estimated to reach $25-$30. This projection is based on the anticipated launch of its mass-market R2 vehicles in 2026, which are expected to significantly boost production scale and profitability. However, execution risks and market competition remain key factors influencing this target.

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2028 ?

Rivian's (RIVN) stock price by 2028 is projected to reach approximately $35-$40, assuming successful execution of its mass-market R2 vehicle launch in 2026 and improved gross margins. This growth hinges on scaling production, reducing costs, and maintaining demand in the competitive EV market. However, risks like capital constraints and market volatility could impact this trajectory.

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2029 ?

Rivian's stock price in 2029 is projected to reach approximately $45-$50, driven by the launch of its mass-market R2 vehicles in 2026, which are expected to significantly boost production scale and profitability. This forecast assumes successful execution of cost reductions, increased production efficiency, and sustained demand in the EV market. However, risks such as competition and macroeconomic factors could impact this trajectory.

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2030 ?

Rivian's stock price by 2030 could reach approximately $50-$70, assuming successful execution of its mass-market R2 platform launch in 2026 and scaling production to profitability. This projection is based on anticipated revenue growth, improved gross margins, and a favorable EV market outlook. However, risks include high cash burn and competitive pressures in the EV sector.

RIVN Revenue Forecast

RIVN EPS Forecast

RIVN FAQs

What is bull‘s view on RIVN?

Rivian (RIVN) stock has bullish potential due to its recent production and delivery rebound, with Q4 2024 deliveries exceeding estimates and a 24% stock surge. Analysts like Stifel maintain a "Strong Buy" with a $16 target, citing progress toward profitability and sufficient liquidity for the R2 launch in 2026. However, at $13-$14, the stock faces near-term headwinds, making it speculative but promising for long-term growth.

What is bear's view on RIVN?

Rivian (RIVN) stock faces bearish sentiment due to insider selling, with CEO Robert Scaringe recently offloading 71,429 shares, signaling potential lack of confidence. Analysts have lowered price targets, with Truist Securities setting a $12 target, citing modest growth expectations and limited catalysts in 2025. The stock, currently trading near $14, may face further downside amid EV market challenges and softening demand.

What is RIVN revenue forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for RIVN's revenue in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $1.104B USD.

What is RIVN eps forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for RIVN's eps in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $0.69 USD.

RIVN VS S&P500

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RIVN Analyst's Forecast

Jordan Levy

Truist Securities

Hold

Price Target

$12

Upside

-27.23%

Truist analyst Jordan Levy keeps a Hold rating and $12 price target on Rivian Automotive after the company reported "solid" Q4 production/delivery numbers that came in 11% and 6% respectively ahead of Street estimates. The firm believes that with the supplier/component concern in the rearview mirror, the focus will now be on Rivian's ability to execute on its path toward profitability, as it sees "only modest" y/y growth in FY25 ahead of the company's planned 2026 R2 launch. Truist adds that given the incoming administration's commentary around eliminating the Passenger EV tax credit, it will also look toward Rivian's Q4 release and 2025 guidance to get a sense of whether Q4 data benefited from demand pull forward.
George Gianarikas

Baird

Buy → Hold

Price Target

$18 → $16

Upside

+22.51%

Stephen Gengaro

Stifel

Strong Buy

Price Target

$18 → $16

Upside

+44.93%

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