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  4. Forecast

Stock Price Prediction

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RIVN
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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
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RIVN Price Prediction Next Week

Technical Analysis

RIVN has shown significant weakness, falling from $15.89 on Feb 20 to $10.07 on Feb 23, representing a 36.6% decline. The stock has broken below key support levels and shows strong bearish momentum.

News Impact

  • Rivian reported its first-ever gross profit of $170 million in Q4 2024, but the stock fell due to lower-than-expected 2025 vehicle sales guidance of 48,500 units versus analyst estimates of 55,000.
  • The company is developing distinct driving styles for autonomous vehicles, focusing on scenic routes and off-road adventures.
  • Recent analyst consensus shows mixed sentiment with a Hold rating and average price target of $14.69.

Price Forecast for Next Week Based on technical analysis and recent news:

Target Prices:

  • Resistance: $11.50 (Previous support turned resistance)
  • Support: $9.80 (Next key technical level)

Bearish factors:

  • Broken below critical support at $12
  • High volume sell-off indicating strong selling pressure
  • Negative sentiment around lower production guidance
  • Overall market weakness in EV sector

Expected price movement:

  • Most likely scenario (60% probability): Further decline to $9.80-$10.20 range
  • Alternative scenario (40% probability): Bounce to resistance at $11.50 if market sentiment improves

Trading Recommendation: SELL

  • Current bearish momentum and broken support levels suggest further downside
  • Wait for price stabilization before considering long positions
  • Set stop loss at $11.80 if taking short positions

Note: This analysis is based on technical indicators and available news data. Market conditions can change rapidly, and all trading decisions should be made with appropriate risk management.

Technical Analysis

RIVN has shown significant weakness, falling from $15.89 on Feb 20 to $10.07 on Feb 23, representing a 36.6% decline. The stock has broken below key support levels and shows strong bearish momentum.

News Impact

  • Rivian reported its first-ever gross profit of $170 million in Q4 2024, but the stock fell due to lower-than-expected 2025 vehicle sales guidance of 48,500 units versus analyst estimates of 55,000.
  • The company is developing distinct driving styles for autonomous vehicles, focusing on scenic routes and off-road adventures.
  • Recent analyst consensus shows mixed sentiment with a Hold rating and average price target of $14.69.

Price Forecast for Next Week Based on technical analysis and recent news:

Target Prices:

  • Resistance: $11.50 (Previous support turned resistance)
  • Support: $9.80 (Next key technical level)

Bearish factors:

  • Broken below critical support at $12
  • High volume sell-off indicating strong selling pressure
  • Negative sentiment around lower production guidance
  • Overall market weakness in EV sector

Expected price movement:

  • Most likely scenario (60% probability): Further decline to $9.80-$10.20 range
  • Alternative scenario (40% probability): Bounce to resistance at $11.50 if market sentiment improves

Trading Recommendation: SELL

  • Current bearish momentum and broken support levels suggest further downside
  • Wait for price stabilization before considering long positions
  • Set stop loss at $11.80 if taking short positions

Note: This analysis is based on technical indicators and available news data. Market conditions can change rapidly, and all trading decisions should be made with appropriate risk management.

RIVN Similar Chart Price Prediction

The price of RIVN is predicted to go up -32.98%, based on the high correlation periods with FSLY. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 92.1%.

stocks logo

RIVN

stocks logo

FSLY

Down: -32.98%Similarity: 92.1%

RIVN Stock Forecast & Prediction For Years 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030

Year

RIVN Price Forecast($)

Potential Return(%)

2025

18.000

29.960

2026

6.000

-52.230

2027

20.000

59.240

2028

18.000

43.310

2029

25.000

99.040

2030

25.000

99.040

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2025 ?

Rivian's (RIVN) stock price is predicted to reach $18-$20 by the end of 2025, driven by improved production efficiency and potential gross margin profitability. The company's strategic partnerships, such as with Volkswagen and Amazon, alongside easing supply chain issues, support this growth trajectory. However, risks like high cash burn and market volatility remain significant.

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2026 ?

Rivian's stock price in 2026 is projected to be around $6-$8. This estimate is based on Bernstein's underperform rating and $6.10 target, citing mounting risks, slower market growth, and profitability challenges. Additionally, Rivian's limited product lineup and competitive pressures from established automakers further constrain its valuation potential.

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2027 ?

RIVN's stock price in 2027 is projected to be around $20–$25, assuming moderate production growth and cost reductions. This estimate is based on Rivian's plans to scale production of its R2 and R3 models, targeting a broader market segment, and achieving gross profitability by 2026. However, risks such as competition, market conditions, and execution challenges could impact this forecast.

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2028 ?

Rivian's stock price in 2028 is projected to be around $18-$22, assuming moderate growth in EV adoption and successful execution of its R2 expansion. This estimate factors in Rivian's current challenges, including profitability delays and rising competition, but also anticipates improved margins and production efficiency by mid-decade. However, risks such as market saturation and macroeconomic conditions could limit upside potential.

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2029 ?

RIVN's stock price in 2029 is projected to reach approximately $25-$30, assuming successful execution of its mass-market vehicle strategy and profitability goals by 2026. This estimate is based on anticipated revenue growth, improved gross margins, and a valuation multiple expansion aligning closer to industry peers like Tesla. However, risks such as competition and execution challenges could impact this forecast.

What is RIVN stock price prediction 2030 ?

Rivian's stock price by 2030 is projected to be around $25-$30, assuming moderate growth in EV adoption and successful scaling of its R2 platform. This estimate factors in Rivian's current challenges, including profitability delays and competitive pressures, but also anticipates improvements in production efficiency and market expansion. However, risks such as intensified competition and macroeconomic headwinds could limit upside potential.

RIVN Revenue Forecast

RIVN EPS Forecast

RIVN FAQs

What is bull’s view on RIVN?

Rivian (RIVN) stock is currently trading at $12.89. Bulls argue that Rivian's long-term growth potential lies in its ability to scale production and launch mass-market vehicles by 2026, which could significantly improve its valuation. However, achieving profitability remains a key challenge, and near-term catalysts are limited.

What is bear's view on RIVN?

Rivian (RIVN) is currently viewed negatively by bears, with Bernstein assigning an "Underperform" rating and a $6.10 price target. This bearish stance is driven by concerns over slower market growth, rising competition, and limited brand reach, alongside profitability challenges that are years away. Additionally, Rivian's inability to scale production efficiently and achieve meaningful shareholder value adds to the pessimism.

What is RIVN revenue forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for RIVN's revenue in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $994.896M USD.

What is RIVN eps forecast for next quarter？

The market consensus for RIVN's eps in the upcoming quarter is projected to be approximately $0.73 USD.

RIVN VS S&P500

Ask Intellectia about RIVN

RIVN Analyst's Forecast

Ronald Jewsikow

Guggenheim

Strong Buy

2025-02-24

Price Target

$18 → $16

Upside

+33.78%

Guggenheim lowered the firm's price target on Rivian Automotive (RIVN) to $16 from $18 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. FY25 guidance is light compared to consensus and deliveries are expected to decline, says the analyst, who cites the removal of the R1 platform from its sum-of-the-parts valuation for the firm's lowered price target. Near-term potential catalysts include Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe presenting at the Nvidia (NVDA) GTC in March, which is a potential positive, and the possible removal of IRA leasing subsidies in the near-term, which is a potential negative, the analyst tells investors.
Chris Pierce

Needham

Strong Buy

2025-02-21

Price Target

$14 → $17

Upside

+31.07%

Vijay Rakesh

Mizuho

Hold

2025-02-21

Price Target

$11 → $13

Upside

+0.23%

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