RIVN Stock Price Prediction

Rivian Automotive Inc

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14.260

+0.580(+4.240%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Rivian Automotive Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. RIVN has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

RIVN stock price ended at $14.26 on Friday, after rising 4.24%

The Rivian Automotive Inc stock price increased by 4.24% on the last trading day (09 May 2025), rising from 13.71 to 14.26. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 7.62% , ranging from a day low of $13.65 to a day high of 14.69. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 13.00% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 477.13K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 50.58M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 720.96M.

RIVN Technical Signals

RIVN(Rivian Automotive Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-08. The total price change during this trend is +32.04%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of RIVN over the last 5 trading days is 592.15M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

RIVN Moving Average Analysis

Rivian Automotive Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Sunday, May 11, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $14.92606, and $15.754999999999999. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $12.243939999999998, and $11.415. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

RIVN Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Rivian Automotive Inc(RIVN) as of 09 May 2025 is 20.91%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 13.68 to 14.26. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

1.199

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

1.64

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.521

Bullish

Moving Average

20-day SMA crosses above 250-day SMA

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

118.545

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-12.5

Bearish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA

Bearish

RIVN Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Rivian Automotive Inc(RIVN), our algorithm predicts RIVN's 1-month price at $11.70, with an -15.4%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.24%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a -15.4% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with GEF.B.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.24%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

RIVN

Future prediction

Up: -15.4%

GEF.B

Down: -15.4%Similarity: 94.24%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

GEF.B.N

94.24%

-15.40%

LNKB.O

93.35%

+15.37%

WRB.N

92.95%

+9.47%

RDWR.O

92.84%

-13.93%

IMXI.O

92.83%

-5.11%

GEF.N

92.73%

-12.93%

MEIP.O

92.71%

-6.77%

NTCT.O

92.70%

+18.05%

UFPT.O

92.69%

-9.10%

BLKB.O

92.65%

+0.60%

RIVN Seasonality Analysis

Based on RIVN's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is100.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in RIVN. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN.O) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while August has the lowest probability (0.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.