RIVN Valuation

Rivian Automotive Inc

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14.010

+0.19(1.375%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

RIVN Relative Valuation

RIVN's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, RIVN is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 3.08 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of -5.11. The fair price of Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN) is between 10.99 to 13.45 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 14.01 USD , Rivian Automotive Inc is Overvalued By 4.17%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

10.99-13.45

Current Price：14.01

4.17%

Overvalued

-5.58

Trailing

Forward

-7.74

EV/EBITDA

Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) has a current EV/EBITDA of -7.74. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -5.21. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -14.48, Undervalued between -14.48 and -9.85, Fairly Valued between -0.58 and -9.85, Overvalued between -0.58 and 4.05, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.05. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -7.74 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-4.27

EV/EBIT

Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) has a current EV/EBIT of -4.27. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -3.33. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -10.17, Undervalued between -10.17 and -6.75, Fairly Valued between 0.09 and -6.75, Overvalued between 0.09 and 3.51, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.51. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -4.27 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

3.08

Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) has a current PS of 3.08. The 5-year average PS is 8.71. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -21.78, Undervalued between -21.78 and -6.53, Fairly Valued between 23.96 and -6.53, Overvalued between 23.96 and 39.20, and Strongly Overvalued above 39.20. The current Forward PS of 3.08 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-40.83

P/OCF

Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) has a current P/OCF of -40.83. The 5-year average P/OCF is -10.36. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -28.31, Undervalued between -28.31 and -19.34, Fairly Valued between -1.39 and -19.34, Overvalued between -1.39 and 7.59, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.59. The current Forward P/OCF of -40.83 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

-5.88

P/FCF

Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) has a current P/FCF of -5.88. The 5-year average P/FCF is -4.41. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -9.14, Undervalued between -9.14 and -6.77, Fairly Valued between -2.05 and -6.77, Overvalued between -2.05 and 0.32, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.32. The current Forward P/FCF of -5.88 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.58. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.75 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 47.82% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.62, the current P/B ratio is about 59.69% higher. Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -11.08%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -35.43%, the current FCF yield is approximately -68.72% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -30.96% , the current FCF yield is about -64.20% lower.

2.58

P/B

Median3y

1.75

Median5y

1.62

-11.08

FCF Yield

Median3y

-35.43

Median5y

-30.96

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for RIVN's competitors is 2.54, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Rivian Automotive Inc Corp (RIVN) exhibits a P/S ratio of 3.08, which is 21.13% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 2.99%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

RIVN.O

Rivian Automotive Inc

ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding Ltd

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of RIVN decreased by 14.63% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -2.62 to -3.83.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 2.99%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of RIVN in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

2.99%

1.20B → 1.24B

Revenue Growth

-63.67%

-120.10 → -43.63

Margin Expansion

46.05%

-2.62 → -3.83

P/E Change

-14.63%