Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the technical and fundamental analysis of Shell (SHEL), here's a concise assessment:

Technical Analysis:

• Current price at $66.84 shows bearish momentum with RSI-14 at 52.20, indicating neutral territory
• Trading below SMA-200 ($67.65) and SMA-20 ($66.40), suggesting short-term weakness
• Fibonacci support levels at $66.07 and $65.42; resistance at $68.16 and $68.81

Recent Performance:

• Last trading session (Feb 21): Closed at $66.70, down 2.46% during regular market hours
• Volume: 3.33M shares traded, showing moderate market interest

Fundamental Catalysts:

• Recent legal challenges: Puerto Rican municipalities' climate change lawsuit allowed to proceed
• Industry-wide restructuring: Major oil companies implementing workforce reductions, with competitors like Chevron cutting up to 20% of staff

Analyst Sentiment:

• JP Morgan maintains Buy rating with £33.00 price target
• Jefferies reiterates Buy rating with £32.00 target
• Multiple analysts view Shell's strong cash flow generation and shareholder returns positively

Recommendation: SELL

• Technical indicators suggest short-term weakness
• Legal headwinds and industry-wide restructuring create uncertainty
• Despite positive analyst ratings, current market conditions and technical setup suggest waiting for better entry points

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for Shell (SHEL) stock in 2025:

Shell stock is projected to reach $72-75 by end of 2025, representing approximately 8-12% upside from current levels, driven by strong free cash flow generation from its integrated gas operations and strategic portfolio optimization. The company's continued focus on shareholder returns through dividend increases and buybacks, combined with its advantaged position in the global LNG market, supports this bullish outlook.

The recent acquisition of additional stake in Ursa platform from ConocoPhillips for $735 million demonstrates Shell's strategy of unlocking more value from existing upstream assets and infrastructure. This targeted investment expands ownership in a long-producing asset that generates robust free cash flow while providing more growth options.

The S1 support level for SHEL Stock is $66.62 ,The R1 resistant level for SHEL Stock is $68.19.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of SHEL Stock was $67.21.

The target price for SHEL Stock according to analyst rating is 77.83, with the highest price target at 82.00 and the lowest at 72.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on SHEL Stock overall.

The market cap of SHEL is $405.1B.

Based on the provided data, here's a comprehensive analysis of SHEL's valuation:

Valuation Analysis:

• Current P/E ratio of 11.56x (2023) shows an increase from 4.99x in 2022
• EV/EBITDA of 4.15x (2023) indicates the company remains relatively undervalued compared to industry peers
• Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.71x and Price-to-Book of 1.15x suggest the stock is trading at reasonable multiples

Financial Performance:

• Revenue declined from $381.3B (2022) to $316.6B (2023)
• Net income decreased from $42.3B to $19.4B
• Gross margin contracted from 19.65% to 17.49%
• ROE declined from 23.35% to 10.27%

Technical Indicators:

• RSI-14 at 52.20 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD shows slight bullish momentum (MACD: 0.68, Signal: 0.64)
• Trading near the middle of its Bollinger Bands (BBM: 66.40, Current: 66.84)
• Support at Fibonacci S1: 66.07, Resistance at R1: 68.16

Recent Developments:

• Acquiring additional stake in Ursa platform from ConocoPhillips for $735M, increasing working interest from 45.39% to 61.35%
• The acquisition expands ownership in a long-producing asset generating robust free cash flow
• Demonstrates strategic focus on enhancing shareholder returns through dividend increases and buyback programs

Conclusion: Based on the comprehensive analysis, SHEL appears fairly valued at current levels. While the company faces some headwinds with declining revenues and margins, its strong cash flow generation, strategic acquisitions, and commitment to shareholder returns provide support. The technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bullish short-term outlook.

Shell plc is an energy and petrochemical company. It specializes in exploration, production, refining and marketing of oil and natural gas, and the manufacturing and marketing of chemicals. The Company’s Integrated Gas segment includes liquefied natural gas (LNG), conversion of natural gas into gas-to-liquids (GTL) fuels and other products. Its Upstream segment includes exploration and extraction of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. Its Marketing segment comprises the mobility, lubricants, and sectors and decarbonization businesses. The Company’s Chemicals and Products segment includes chemicals manufacturing plants with their own marketing network, and refineries which turn crude oil and other feedstocks into a range of oil products. Its Renewables and Energy Solutions segment includes activities such as renewable power generation, the marketing and trading and optimization of power and pipeline gas, as well as carbon credits, and digitally enabled customer solutions.

Based on the provided data and market research, I'll analyze Shell's (SHEL) potential price movement towards 2030.

Technical Analysis & Current Position

Fundamental Analysis & Growth Drivers

Shell has demonstrated strong financial performance with robust cash flow generation. In 2024, despite lower earnings, the company generated $40 billion in free cash flow, surpassing 2023's performance in a lower price environment. The company maintains a strong commitment to shareholder returns, evidenced by:

• 4% dividend increase
• Consistent $3.5 billion quarterly buyback program
• 13 consecutive quarters of at least $3 billion buybacks

Market Position & Strategic Focus Shell's revenue distribution shows strong diversification:

• Chemicals and Products: 37.5%
• Marketing: 34.4%
• Renewables and Energy Solutions: 14.2%
• Integrated Gas: 11.9%
• Upstream: 2.0%

Price Prediction 2030

Based on the analysis of current trends, strategic positioning, and market conditions, Shell's stock price is projected to reach $95-100 by 2030. This projection is supported by:

1. Strong cash flow generation and consistent shareholder returns
2. Strategic focus on renewable energy transition while maintaining core business strength
3. Integrated business model providing stability across market cycles

The primary drivers for this target include Shell's successful transition into renewable energy while maintaining strong positions in traditional energy markets, continued focus on shareholder returns, and strategic portfolio optimization.

SHEL has a total of 103000 employees.