Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and analysis, here's a concise assessment of PLTR's current situation:

Technical Analysis

Current Market Position The stock has declined over 10% since the start of 2025 after a massive 340% gain in 2024. Currently trading around $71-72, with significant selling pressure emerging in recent sessions.

Fundamental Concerns

• Extremely high valuation at 200x adjusted earnings
• Revenue growth of 30% YoY doesn't justify the current premium
• Wall Street analysts are overwhelmingly bearish, with median price target of $39 implying 45% downside

Key Risks

• Valuation appears unsustainable given expected 31% earnings growth
• Heavy insider selling activity in recent months
• Competition from established tech giants in AI space

Recommendation: SELL

While Palantir has strong AI capabilities and growing commercial adoption, the current valuation appears extremely stretched. The stock's PEG ratio of 7.4 is significantly higher than peers like Nvidia (1.0), Meta (1.8) and Amazon (1.9). With heavy insider selling and analyst bearishness, better entry points are likely to emerge after a valuation reset.

Based on the provided data and references, here is a comprehensive analysis of PLTR's price prediction for 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $71.77 with strong momentum, showing a 3.65% gain in regular trading hours and additional gains in pre/post market sessions. The technical indicators suggest:

• RSI at 51.37 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD at -0.36 shows slight bearish divergence
• Current price is trading below the 20-day SMA of $73.99

Fundamental Drivers

1. AI Platform Growth

• Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) has transformed its business with accelerating demand
• Customer count increased 39% YoY to 629 in Q3 2024
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% YoY to $179 million

2. Valuation Concerns

• Current market cap: $160 billion
• Trading at 200x adjusted earnings
• Wall Street analysts' median price target: $39 (45% downside from current levels)

Price Target Analysis

Based on the data and analyst projections:

PLTR is expected to reach $85-90 by end of 2025, driven by continued AI platform adoption and commercial customer growth. However, the extremely high valuation presents significant downside risk if growth expectations are not met. The current price already reflects very optimistic growth assumptions, and any disappointment could lead to sharp corrections.

The prediction is based on:

• Strong AI market growth forecast (40% CAGR through 2028)
• Palantir's leadership position in AI platforms
• Historical execution in growing customer base and revenues

The S1 support level for PLTR Stock is $64.83 ,The R1 resistant level for PLTR Stock is $77.56.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-17, the price of PLTR Stock was $72.12.

The target price for PLTR Stock according to analyst rating is 46.57, with the highest price target at 80.00 and the lowest at 11.00. Analysts have a Moderate Sell rating on PLTR Stock overall.

The market cap of PLTR is $163.4B.

Based on the provided data and current market context, PLTR appears significantly overvalued for the following reasons:

Valuation Metrics

Current Price Movement

Key Concerns:

1. Extreme Valuation: Trading at 187.6x P/E and 33.8x P/S in Q3 2024, PLTR's valuation multiples are significantly stretched compared to industry peers and historical levels.

2. Growth vs. Valuation Mismatch: While revenue grew 30% YoY in Q3 2024, the stock price surge of 340% in 2024 far outpaces fundamental growth.

3. Analyst Consensus: Wall Street analysts are overwhelmingly bearish, with the median price target of $39 suggesting a 45% downside from current levels around $71.

4. Competition Concerns: Despite strong AI positioning, competitors like Snowflake and CrowdStrike show faster historical revenue growth (180% and 158% vs. PLTR's 61% over three years).

5. Valuation Risk: At current market cap of $160 billion, PLTR trades at unsustainable multiples that would require maintaining 30%+ growth and 20% margins for several years just to justify today's price.

The stock's recent decline of over 10% in early 2025 suggests the market may be starting to recognize these valuation concerns. While Palantir has strong AI capabilities and growing commercial adoption, the current price reflects excessive optimism rather than fundamental reality.

Palantir Technologies Inc. is engaged in building software to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations. It has built four principal software platforms, including Palantir Gotham (Gotham), Palantir Foundry (Foundry), Palantir Apollo (Apollo), and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). Apollo is a cloud-agnostic, single control layer that coordinates ongoing delivery of new features, security updates, and platform configurations, helping to ensure the continuous operation of critical systems. Gotham enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants. Foundry transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data. AIP enables responsible artificial intelligence (AI)-advantage across the enterprise by using primary, core components built to effectively activate large language models (LLMs) and other AI within any organization.

Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze PLTR's potential price for 2030.

Palantir's stock could reach $150-175 by 2030, driven by three key factors: exponential growth in AI software platforms market (projected to hit $153 billion by 2028), strong commercial customer expansion (from 14 to over 300 U.S. commercial customers in just four years), and improving profit margins (reaching 20% net margin in recent quarters). The company's superior AI platform ranking by Forrester Research and strategic boot camp approach for customer acquisition provide competitive advantages that could sustain long-term growth.

PLTR has a total of 3735 employees.