Based on the provided data and recent market activity, let's analyze if SHOP is overvalued:
Valuation Analysis
SHOP currently trades at elevated multiples with a P/S ratio of 7.85x and P/B ratio of 5.37x, indicating rich valuation compared to historical averages.
Growth & Profitability
Revenue grew 31% YoY to $2.81 billion in Q4 2024, with subscription revenue up 27% and merchant solutions up 33%. GMV increased 26% to $94.5 billion, showing strong business momentum.
Market Position
SHOP holds 29% market share in US e-commerce platforms and 10% globally, demonstrating strong competitive positioning in a $29 trillion market growing at 19% CAGR through 2030.
Technical Analysis
The stock has dropped over 6% recently after rising 350% from October 2022 lows, suggesting potential valuation concerns from investors despite strong fundamentals.
Verdict
While SHOP shows robust growth and market leadership, current valuation multiples appear stretched relative to growth rates and profitability metrics, making the stock overvalued at current levels.