Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, TotalEnergies (TTE) shows positive momentum with a 0.81% gain in the last trading session, closing at $59.49. The company's Q4 production outlook and recent analyst actions suggest a mixed but generally stable outlook.

Recent Developments:

• TotalEnergies expects Q4 hydrocarbon production to increase slightly within 2.4-2.45 million oil-equivalent barrels per day range
• Integrated LNG results are anticipated to benefit from a 6% production increase and stronger gas trading
• Downstream refining margins remain weak, though European refining margins saw a $10/t increase

Analyst Sentiment: Morgan Stanley recently downgraded TTE to Equal Weight from Overweight, lowering the price target from $70 to $64, citing:

• Mixed prospects for oil & gas in 2025
• Heavy capex burden affecting free cash flow
• However, portfolio depth in both traditional and renewable energies remains strong

Technical Analysis:

• Current RSI of 71.34 indicates slightly overbought conditions
• Trading above key moving averages (SMA 20: $55.80)
• Fibonacci resistance levels suggest potential resistance at $59.19 and $60.22

Recommendation: Based on the technical indicators and recent developments, it would be prudent to HOLD TTE stock at current levels. While the company shows operational strength, the overbought RSI and recent analyst downgrade suggest limited upside potential in the near term.

Based on the provided data and market context, here is the price prediction analysis for TTE stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

TTE stock shows a strong upward momentum with RSI at 71.34, indicating slightly overbought conditions. The MACD of 0.38 suggests positive momentum. The stock is trading above its 20-day moving average of $55.80, demonstrating short-term strength.

Price Target Analysis

Based on Fibonacci levels:

• Support levels: $55.84 (S1), $54.81 (S2), $53.13 (S3)
• Resistance levels: $59.19 (R1), $60.22 (R2), $61.89 (R3)
• Pivot point: $57.51

Fundamental Catalysts Recent company updates from Q4 2024 indicate:

• Hydrocarbon production increase within 2.4-2.45 Mboe/d range
• Strong integrated LNG performance with 6% production growth
• Integrated Power results expected between $500-600 million
• Weak downstream refining margins persist

2025 Price Prediction Based on technical indicators, fundamental factors, and recent performance: TTE stock is expected to trade between $61-65 by mid-2025, with potential upside to $68-70 by year-end, supported by production growth and LNG segment strength despite refining headwinds.

The S1 support level for TTE Stock is $56.79 ,The R1 resistant level for TTE Stock is $59.44.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of TTE Stock was $58.66.

The target price for TTE Stock according to analyst rating is 71.22, with the highest price target at 82.00 and the lowest at 62.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on TTE Stock overall.

The market cap of TTE is $133.9B.

Based on the provided data, I'll analyze whether TTE is overvalued through multiple valuation metrics and recent developments.

Valuation Analysis TTE currently trades at a P/E of 7.72, significantly below industry averages, with declining EV/EBITDA of 4.25 and P/B of 1.27, suggesting attractive valuations.

Financial Performance Net income has shown a declining trend from $5.65B in Q1 2024 to $2.23B in Q3 2024, while revenue decreased from $51.9B to $47.4B. However, the company maintains healthy gross margins around 27-29%.

Analyst Sentiment Morgan Stanley recently downgraded TTE to Hold from Buy, citing:

• Gas markets looking robust but oil market well-supplied
• Downstream margins likely remain under pressure
• Heavy capex burden from renewable and low-carbon projects

Technical Analysis RSI at 71.34 indicates slightly overbought conditions, while MACD at 0.38 suggests positive momentum. Current price is testing Fibonacci resistance at $59.19.

Based on these factors, TTE is not overvalued. The stock trades at attractive multiples despite declining earnings, maintains solid margins, and offers a healthy 5.15% dividend yield. The recent price weakness appears more related to sector-wide pressures than company-specific issues.

TotalEnergies SE is a France-based oil and gas company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production, Gas, Renewables & Power, Refining & Chemicals and Marketing & Services. Exploration & Production encompasses the exploration and production activities. Gas, Renewables & Power comprises gas activities conducted downstream of the production process and concerns natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG) and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), as well as power generation, gas and power trading and marketing. It also develops renewable energy activities (excluding biotechnologies) and the power storage. Energy efficiency activities are represented through a dedicated Innovation & Energy Efficiency division. Refining & Chemicals encompasses refining and petrochemical activities and Hutchinson’s operations. It also includes oil Trading & Shipping activities. Marketing & Services includes worldwide supply and marketing activities in the oil products and services field.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's a price prediction for TotalEnergies (TTE) stock by 2030:

TotalEnergies stock is projected to reach approximately $95-100 by 2030, driven by the company's strong LNG business growth and successful transition toward renewable energy sources. The company's robust hydrocarbon production levels, consistently around 2.4-2.45 million barrels per day, and strategic investments in renewable energy infrastructure support this bullish outlook. The stock's technical indicators showing RSI at 71.34 and positive MACD of 0.38, combined with its current trading above the 200-day SMA of $65.26, suggest strong momentum for long-term growth.

TTE has a total of 102579 employees.