Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis of UNP's stock:
Technical Analysis
The stock is currently trading at $234.26, showing mixed technical signals with an RSI of 55.56 indicating neutral momentum. The stock is trading slightly above its 20-day SMA of $229.06 but below its 60-day SMA of $233.57, suggesting a consolidation phase.
Recent Performance & Valuation
The stock has experienced moderate volatility recently, with key Fibonacci levels suggesting support at $224.36 and resistance at $237.16. The current price sits near the Fibonacci pivot point of $230.76.
Analyst Sentiment
Recent analyst actions show positive sentiment:
Catalysts & Outlook
Buy/Sell Recommendation Based on the technical setup, analyst consensus, and upcoming catalysts, UNP appears to be a BUY at current levels. The stock shows:
Based on the provided data and references, here is the price prediction analysis for UNP stock in 2025:
Union Pacific (UNP) stock is expected to reach $272.90 by end of 2025, driven by margin expansion and operational efficiency improvements. The projection is supported by high operating leverage of 8.93x versus sector average of 1.93x, indicating strong profit potential from revenue growth. Lower interest rates environment and improved industrial production across G20 nations should provide additional tailwinds for UNP's core business segments.
The company's management has guided for high single to low double-digit EPS growth from 2025 through 2027, with analyst consensus projecting 11% EPS growth to $12.14 in 2025. This growth will be supported by $3.5-3.7 billion in annual capital investments and continued operational efficiency improvements, with workforce productivity already up 12% versus 2023.
The S1 support level for UNP Stock is $225.33 ,The R1 resistant level for UNP Stock is $246.72.
As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of UNP Stock was $248.78.
The target price for UNP Stock according to analyst rating is 258.00, with the highest price target at 285.00 and the lowest at 219.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on UNP Stock overall.
The market cap of UNP is $150.8B.
Based on the provided data, I'll analyze whether UNP is overvalued through multiple valuation metrics and recent analyst perspectives.
Valuation Analysis: UNP's current valuation metrics show a P/E of 22.64, EV/EBITDA of 15.08, and P/B of 9.02 for Q3 2024, which are slightly above historical averages but not significantly overvalued considering its market position and growth prospects.
Analyst Consensus: Recent analyst actions indicate a balanced view. Raymond James raised their price target to $265 with a Strong Buy rating on January 10, 2025, suggesting 17.67% upside potential. Wells Fargo maintains a Buy rating with a $265 target, projecting 14.95% upside.
Growth and Efficiency: UNP's operating performance has improved with increased labor force productivity and better intermodal service performance. The company's high Degree of Operating Leverage ratio of 8.93x suggests strong potential for margin expansion as sales increase.
Conclusion: UNP is fairly valued at current levels, supported by improving operational efficiency, strong analyst backing, and reasonable valuation metrics relative to its growth prospects and market position.
Union Pacific Corporation is a railroad operating company in the United States. The Company operates through its principal operating company, Union Pacific Railroad Company (UPRR). It connects over 23 states in the western two-thirds of the country and maintains coordinated schedules with other rail carriers to move freight to and from the Atlantic Coast, the Pacific Coast, the Southeast, the Southwest, Canada, and Mexico. Its Railroad's diversified business mix includes Bulk, Industrial, and Premium. Its Bulk shipments consist of grain and grain products, fertilizer, food and refrigerated, and coal and renewables. Its Industrial shipments consist of several categories, including construction, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, petroleum, liquid petroleum gases (LPG), soda ash, and sand. Its Premium shipments include finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers, both domestic and international.
Based on the provided data and references, here's a comprehensive analysis for UNP's price prediction in 2030:
Union Pacific's stock price is projected to reach $320-340 by 2030, representing a 36-45% increase from current levels, driven by its dominant market position in western U.S. rail transportation and consistent operational efficiency improvements. The company's high operating leverage ratio of 8.93x suggests strong profit margin expansion potential as sales increase. Additionally, Union Pacific's strategic investments in network automation and technology across transportation, mechanical, and engineering teams are expected to drive continued margin expansion through 2030.
This projection is supported by Union Pacific's commitment to maintaining its industry-leading capital allocation efficiency and highest return on invested capital among peers. The company's planned annual capital investments of $3.5-3.7 billion through 2027 will help meet rising network demand while improving operational metrics.
UNP has a total of 32973 employees.