Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here is a concise assessment of HON stock:

Technical Analysis:

• Current price at $197.40 shows a slight decline from previous close
• RSI-14 at 45.30 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD shows bearish divergence with -3.80
• Stock is trading below its 20-day SMA ($214.55) and 60-day SMA ($222.53), indicating bearish short-term trend

Fundamental Strengths:

• Revenue grew from $35.47B (2022) to $36.66B (2023)
• Net income increased from $4.97B to $5.66B year-over-year
• EPS improved from $7.27 to $8.47
• Gross margin expanded from 32.82% to 37.28%

Recent Performance:

• Stock has declined from around $205 levels in early January to current $197 levels
• Trading near Fibonacci support level of $202.99
• Volume remains moderate, suggesting no panic selling

Analyst Assessment: According to recent analysis, HON receives a high rating of 81% from Validea's Multi-Factor Investor model, indicating positive interest in the stock based on its low volatility and strong momentum characteristics.

Recommendation: SELL

• Technical indicators show bearish momentum
• Stock trading below key moving averages
• Despite strong fundamentals, market sentiment remains negative
• Consider re-entering around $191-192 support level where 20-day Bollinger Band lower level sits

Based on the provided data and references, I'll provide a price prediction for HON stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The current technical indicators show HON is trading at $211.94 with mixed signals:

• RSI-14 at 45.30 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD line at -3.80 with histogram at 0.13 suggests potential bottoming
• Stock is trading below both 60-day SMA ($222.53) and 200-day SMA ($212.39)

Price Target Analysis

According to multiple analyst forecasts and data points:

• Base Case: $235-246 (median analyst target, +16.07% upside)
• Bull Case: $298 (+40.61% upside)
• Bear Case: $217 (+2.39% upside)

Key Drivers

1. Company Restructuring:

• Honeywell announced plans to split into three separate companies in 2025
• Focus on Automation, Aerospace Technologies and core businesses
• This strategic move is expected to unlock shareholder value

2. Financial Outlook:

• FY2025 guidance: EPS $10.10-$10.50
• Sales forecast: $39.6-40.6 billion
• Organic growth: 2-5%

2025 Price Prediction

Based on technical analysis, analyst consensus, and fundamental drivers, HON stock is expected to reach $235-240 by end of 2025, representing approximately 11-13% upside from current levels. The restructuring initiative and steady growth outlook provide support for this target range.

The S1 support level for HON Stock is $203.16 ,The R1 resistant level for HON Stock is $213.59.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of HON Stock was $211.79.

The target price for HON Stock according to analyst rating is 240.57, with the highest price target at 290.00 and the lowest at 205.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on HON Stock overall.

The market cap of HON is $137.8B.

Based on the provided data and market context, I'll analyze whether HON is overvalued through multiple valuation metrics and recent performance:

Valuation Analysis:

• Current P/E ratio of 24.33x is higher than both the industry median (23.1x) and HON's historical 5-year average of 19.1x
• Forward P/E of 21.75x exceeds the industry average of 18.16x
• PEG ratio of 2.52 indicates overvaluation relative to growth expectations
• EV/EBITDA of 17.4x in Q4 2023 shows premium valuation compared to historical levels

Growth Metrics:

• Revenue grew 3.4% YoY in FY2023 ($36.66B vs $35.47B)
• Net income increased 13.9% YoY ($5.66B vs $4.97B)
• Gross margin expanded significantly to 37.28% from 32.82%

Technical Indicators:

• Currently trading at $197.40, below its 52-week high of $242.77
• RSI of 45.30 indicates neutral momentum
• Trading below both 20-day and 60-day moving averages, suggesting bearish short-term trend

Conclusion: HON appears overvalued based on multiple metrics - elevated P/E and PEG ratios, premium EV/EBITDA multiple, and trading above historical valuation averages despite moderating growth rates.

Honeywell International Inc. delivers industry specific solutions that include aerospace products and services, control technologies for buildings and industry, and performance materials globally. The Company has four segments. The Company’s Aerospace segment supplies products, software, and services for aircrafts that it sells to original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and other customers in various end markets. Its Honeywell Building Technologies segment offers products, software, solutions, and technologies that enable building owners and occupants to ensure their facilities are safe, energy efficient, sustainable, and productive. Its Performance Materials and Technologies segment is engaged in developing and manufacturing performance chemicals and materials, process technologies and automation solutions. Its Safety and Productivity Solutions segment provides products and software that improve productivity, workplace safety, and asset performance to customers around the globe.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, I'll analyze HON's potential price for 2030.

Long-term Growth Analysis: According to recent earnings reports, Honeywell is undergoing significant strategic transformations that will likely impact its long-term value:

1. Strategic Separation: The company plans to separate its Automation and Aerospace Technologies businesses into three distinct public companies by 2026. This restructuring could unlock significant shareholder value.

2. Financial Outlook: For 2025, management projects:

• Sales of $39.6-40.6 billion
• Organic growth of 2-5%
• Adjusted EPS of $10.10-10.50

Segment Performance and Future Growth Drivers: The company's strongest segments based on 2023 data show:

• Commercial Aviation Aftermarket: 17.02% of revenue
• Process Solutions: 14.37%
• Defense and Space: 13.60%

2030 Price Prediction: Based on the company's strategic initiatives, historical growth patterns, and current market position, HON stock is projected to reach $295-305 by 2030. This projection is supported by the planned separation of business units, consistent aerospace segment growth, and the company's strong position in automation technologies.

HON has a total of 95000 employees.