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  3. PGR
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PGR

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
High
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Open
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VWAP
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Vol
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Mkt Cap
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Low
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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Total Shares
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EV
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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P/S(TTM)
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
19.74B
+9.04%
4.318
+5.83%
24.05B
+8.29%
4.471
-3.93%
21.76B
+8.37%
3.889
-20.25%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for The Progressive Corporation (PGR) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -2.24% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -8.88%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-2.24%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+2.66%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-8.88%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast PGR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PGR is 259.83 USD with a low forecast of 214.00 USD and a high forecast of 303.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
17 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast PGR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PGR is 259.83 USD with a low forecast of 214.00 USD and a high forecast of 303.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
8 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 225.140
sliders
Low
214.00
Averages
259.83
High
303.00
Current: 225.140
sliders
Low
214.00
Averages
259.83
High
303.00
HSBC
Vikram Gandhi
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
2025-11-17
New
Reason
HSBC
Vikram Gandhi
Price Target
2025-11-17
New
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
HSBC analyst Vikram Gandhi upgraded Progressive to Buy from Hold.
Jefferies
Andrew Andersen
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$261 -> $232
2025-11-14
New
Reason
Jefferies
Andrew Andersen
Price Target
$261 -> $232
2025-11-14
New
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Jefferies analyst Andrew Andersen downgraded Progressive to Hold from Buy with a price target of $232, down from $261. The firm sees a lighter growth environment ahead for Progressive due to an increasingly competitive personal auto insurance market. It models near-term earnings compression for the company and margin deterioration from recent record highs.
Goldman Sachs
Robert Cox
Buy
downgrade
$276 -> $245
2025-10-28
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Robert Cox
Price Target
$276 -> $245
2025-10-28
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Goldman Sachs analyst Robert Cox lowered the firm's price target on Progressive to $245 from $276 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Personal Auto premium-per-policy is expected to decline about 3% over the next two years, though stability in state filings should moderate the pace, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Strong ad spend and substantial excess capital support upside to PIF estimates and expanded capital returns through both buybacks and dividends, Goldman says.
Morgan Stanley
Bob Huang
Equal Weight -> Underweight
downgrade
$265 -> $214
2025-10-20
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Bob Huang
Price Target
$265 -> $214
2025-10-20
downgrade
Equal Weight -> Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Bob Huang downgraded Progressive to Underweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $214, down from $265. The firm finds Progressive's bull case less visible when stripping out Florida. Progressive is entering into a softer part of the pricing cycle, which is likely to compress valuation multiples further, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Morgan Stanley believes the cyclical nature of the business implies earnings declines in 2026 and 2027.
Barclays
Alex Scott
Equal Weight
downgrade
$271 -> $257
2025-10-20
Reason
Barclays
Alex Scott
Price Target
$271 -> $257
2025-10-20
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays analyst Alex Scott lowered the firm's price target on Progressive to $257 from $271 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the Q3 report.
Raymond James
Outperform
downgrade
$305 -> $265
2025-10-17
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
$305 -> $265
2025-10-17
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Raymond James lowered the firm's price target on Progressive to $265 from $305 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Progressive should sustain a better-than-target combined ratio for the next 24 months, which should position the company with an industry-leading annual ROBE profile through 2027, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Progressive Corp (PGR.N) is 13.74, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 20.08. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Progressive Corp 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Undervalued
5Y Average PE
20.08
Current PE
13.74
Overvalued PE
24.03
Undervalued PE
16.12

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
5.43
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
13.36
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
-2.51

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
3.81
Current PS
225.18
Overvalued PS
26.30
Undervalued PS
-18.68
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Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
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PGR News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-10-15
08:20:22
Progressive announces Q3 EPS of $4.45, below consensus estimate of $5.05
select
2025-10-15
08:18:31
Progressive Announces September EPS of 52c Compared to 99c Last Year
select
2025-10-14 (ET)
2025-10-14
20:25:00
Prominent companies set to report ahead of tomorrow's market opening
select
Sign Up For More Events
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News

[object Object]
Preview
4.0
11-17Yahoo Finance
HSBC Raises Progressive Rating from Hold to Buy
  • Stock Rating: Progressive (PGR) has an average rating of overweight.
  • Price Target: The mean price target for Progressive (PGR) is set at $263.55.
[object Object]
Preview
6.5
11-15NASDAQ.COM
3 Compelling Reasons to Invest in Progressive Stock Before 2026

  • Progressive's Market Position: Progressive is a leading auto insurer in the U.S., known for its strong risk management and pricing strategies, holding a 15% market share as the second-largest auto insurer.

  • Investment Opportunity: Despite a 25% decline from its all-time high, Progressive is viewed as a compelling investment due to its ability to thrive in a growing economy and adapt to inflationary pressures.

  • Competitive Advantage: The company's disciplined underwriting and pricing power allow it to manage costs effectively, generating consistent returns and standing out in a highly competitive insurance market.

  • Market Context: The current stock market is considered expensive, but diversification through holding multiple stocks, including Progressive, is recommended to mitigate risks and enhance investment returns.

[object Object]
Preview
6.5
11-15Yahoo Finance
What Factors Are Influencing the Changing Narrative for Progressives Today?

  • Fair Value Estimate Changes: Progressive's fair value estimate has slightly decreased from $261.02 to $259.13 per share, with a modest rise in the discount rate from 6.78% to 6.96%.

  • Analyst Sentiment: Analysts express mixed views on Progressive, with bullish takeaways highlighting strong earnings and customer growth, while bearish perspectives raise concerns about slowing policy growth and increased competition.

  • Share Repurchase Program: Progressive has repurchased a total of 357,734 shares for approximately $89.91 million as part of its stock buyback program, reinforcing its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

  • Dynamic Narratives: Simply Wall St offers a narrative-driven analysis of Progressive, linking technology, competition, and strategy to future earnings and fair value, while emphasizing the importance of staying updated on market changes.

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People Also Watch

FAQ

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What is Progressive Corp (PGR) stock price today?

The current price of PGR is 225.14 USD — it has decreased -0.09 % in the last trading day.

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What is Progressive Corp (PGR)'s business?

The Progressive Corporation is an insurance holding company, which has insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries and affiliates. The Company’s segments include Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other indemnity. The Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products. Its special lines of products include recreational vehicles, such as motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft. Its Personal Lines products are sold through both the agency and direct channels. The Commercial Lines segment writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, business-related general liability and commercial property insurance predominately for small businesses, and workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry. Its reinsurance activity includes both transactions which are regulated and those that are non-regulated. It offers shopping tools and services, such as Name Your Price, Snapshot, and HomeQuote Explorer.

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What is the price predicton of PGR Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast PGR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PGR is 259.83 USD with a low forecast of 214.00 USD and a high forecast of 303.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Progressive Corp (PGR)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Progressive Corp revenue for the last quarter amounts to 22.50B USD, increased 14.15 % YoY.

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What is Progressive Corp (PGR)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Progressive Corp. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 4.45 USD, increased 12.09 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Progressive Corp (PGR)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for The Progressive Corporation (PGR) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -2.24% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -8.88%.
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How many employees does Progressive Corp (PGR). have?

Progressive Corp (PGR) has 66300 emplpoyees as of November 18 2025.

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What is Progressive Corp (PGR) market cap?

Today PGR has the market capitalization of 132.14B USD.

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