High
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Open
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VWAP
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Vol
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Mkt Cap
--
Low
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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Total Shares
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EV
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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P/S(TTM)
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Market Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
19.65B
+8.55%
4.307
+5.55%
24.01B
+8.12%
4.475
-3.84%
21.76B
+8.38%
3.889
-20.26%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for The Progressive Corporation (PGR) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.98% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -6.88%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-0.98%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+1.11%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
-6.88%
In Past 3 Month
18 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast PGR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PGR is 263.14 USD with a low forecast of 214.00 USD and a high forecast of 346.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
9 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 227.090
Low
214.00
Averages
263.14
High
346.00
Current: 227.090
Low
214.00
Averages
263.14
High
346.00
BMO Capital
Michael Zaremski
Market Perform
maintain
$247 -> $260
2025-11-21
Reason
BMO Capital
Michael Zaremski
Price Target
$247 -> $260
2025-11-21
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
BMO Capital analyst Michael Zaremski raised the firm's price target on Progressive to $260 from $247 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares after its October results. The company only repurchased a token $24M in October, but the firm continues to estimate it will repurchase in the low billions through 2026 if the stock's P/E multiple stays below 15-times, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Progressive's s margins have been consistently excellent as double-digit auto inflationary pressures are decelerating off all-time highs, BMO added.
Wells Fargo
Equal Weight
maintain
$246 -> $247
2025-11-20
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$246 -> $247
2025-11-20
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Wells Fargo raised the firm's price target on Progressive to $247 from $246 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm notes the stock traded flat as although it was a strong print. Repurchases were likely less than expected, but remains X factor for positive revisions, Wells adds.
HSBC
Vikram Gandhi
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
2025-11-17
Reason
HSBC
Vikram Gandhi
Price Target
2025-11-17
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
HSBC analyst Vikram Gandhi upgraded Progressive to Buy from Hold.
Jefferies
Andrew Andersen
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$261 -> $232
2025-11-14
Reason
Jefferies
Andrew Andersen
Price Target
$261 -> $232
2025-11-14
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Jefferies analyst Andrew Andersen downgraded Progressive to Hold from Buy with a price target of $232, down from $261. The firm sees a lighter growth environment ahead for Progressive due to an increasingly competitive personal auto insurance market. It models near-term earnings compression for the company and margin deterioration from recent record highs.
Goldman Sachs
Robert Cox
Buy
downgrade
$276 -> $245
2025-10-28
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Robert Cox
Price Target
$276 -> $245
2025-10-28
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Goldman Sachs analyst Robert Cox lowered the firm's price target on Progressive to $245 from $276 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Personal Auto premium-per-policy is expected to decline about 3% over the next two years, though stability in state filings should moderate the pace, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Strong ad spend and substantial excess capital support upside to PIF estimates and expanded capital returns through both buybacks and dividends, Goldman says.
Morgan Stanley
Bob Huang
Equal Weight -> Underweight
downgrade
$265 -> $214
2025-10-20
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Bob Huang
Price Target
$265 -> $214
2025-10-20
downgrade
Equal Weight -> Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Bob Huang downgraded Progressive to Underweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $214, down from $265. The firm finds Progressive's bull case less visible when stripping out Florida. Progressive is entering into a softer part of the pricing cycle, which is likely to compress valuation multiples further, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Morgan Stanley believes the cyclical nature of the business implies earnings declines in 2026 and 2027.
See All Ratings
Valuation Metrics
The current forward P/E ratio for Progressive Corp (PGR.N) is 13.89, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 20.02. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Progressive Corp 's fair value, click here.
Forward PE
The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
Undervalued
5Y Average PE
20.02
Current PE
13.89
Overvalued PE
24.01
Undervalued PE
16.02
Forward EV/EBITDA
The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
5.31
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
13.22
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
-2.59
Forward PS
The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
N/A
5Y Average PS
1.40
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
1.64
Undervalued PS
1.17
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC
Trading Trends
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
PGR News & Events
Events Timeline
(ET)
2025-10-15
08:20:22
Progressive announces Q3 EPS of $4.45, below consensus estimate of $5.05
2025-10-15
08:18:31
Progressive Announces September EPS of 52c Compared to 99c Last Year
2025-10-14 (ET)
2025-10-14
20:25:00
Prominent companies set to report ahead of tomorrow's market opening
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News
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5.0
12-02Yahoo FinanceProgressive Insider Reportedly Sold Shares Valued at $1,142,400, Based on Recent SEC Filing
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4.5
12-01NASDAQ.COMIAK, PGR, CB, ALL: Warning on ETF Withdrawals
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3.0
11-28NASDAQ.COMWhat Effect Does BRK.B's Management of SG&A Expenses Have on Its Profits?
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