High
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Open
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VWAP
--
Vol
--
Mkt Cap
--
Low
--
Amount
--
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
--
Total Shares
--
EV
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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P/S(TTM)
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Market Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q2
FY2025Q3
FY2025Q4
21.03B
+17.5%
3.495
+31.8%
22.32B
+14.73%
3.387
-5.48%
21.35B
+17.92%
3.947
-3.26%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for The Progressive Corporation (PGR) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.87% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 1.93%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-0.87%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+6.1%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+1.93%
In Past 3 Month
18 Analyst Rating
0Wall Street analysts forecast PGR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PGR is 302.81 USD with a low forecast of 266.00 USD and a high forecast of 328.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
0Current: 277.890
Low
266.00
Averages
302.81
High
328.00
0Current: 277.890
Low
266.00
Averages
302.81
High
328.00
Morgan Stanley
Bob Huang
Buy
Maintains
$320 → $330
2025-05-19
New
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Bob Huang
Price Target
$320 → $330
2025-05-19
New
Maintains
Buy
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Bob Huang
Buy
Maintains
$310 → $320
2025-04-29
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Bob Huang
Price Target
$310 → $320
2025-04-29
Maintains
Buy
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Progressive to $320 from $310 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm expects 24%-plus ROE for 2026 and 2027 should be durable going forward, supported by a higher level of investment yield than previously. While the firm admits the company is "over earning vs historicals," it believes Progressive remains attractive on a lower, normalized earnings level, the analyst tells investors.
B of A Securities
Joshua Shanker
Hold
Maintains
$289 → $297
2025-04-17
Reason
B of A Securities
Joshua Shanker
Price Target
$289 → $297
2025-04-17
Maintains
Hold
Reason
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Meyer Shields
Buy
to
Hold
Downgrades
$288
2025-04-17
Reason
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Meyer Shields
Price Target
$288
2025-04-17
Downgrades
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Keefe Bruyette analyst Meyer Shields downgraded Progressive to Market Perform from Outperform with an unchanged price target of $288. The company's personal auto policies In force growth will likely decelerate as competitors' rate increases slow, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm also expects some near-term core loss ratio pressure as earned rate increases decline, especially if recently declining personal auto physical damage claim frequencies normalize.
BMO Capital
Michael Zaremski
Buy
Maintains
$282 → $288
2025-04-17
Reason
BMO Capital
Michael Zaremski
Price Target
$282 → $288
2025-04-17
Maintains
Buy
Reason
BMO Capital analyst Michael Zaremski raised the firm's price target on Progressive to $288 from $282 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after its Q1 results. The company's pricing power is fading, but the firm believes that Progressive can continue to drive better-than-expected growth supported by efficient and growing ad spend, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Wells Fargo
Elyse Greenspan
Buy
Maintains
$320 → $324
2025-04-17
Reason
Wells Fargo
Elyse Greenspan
Price Target
$320 → $324
2025-04-17
Maintains
Buy
Reason
Wells Fargo raised the firm's price target on Progressive to $320 from $317 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm notes that the quarter lost a little luster with the tariff backdrop and Wells thinks a bigger focus will be on any views of tariffs/ensuring macro backdrop.
See All Ratings
Valuation Metrics
The current forward P/E ratio for Progressive Corp (PGR.N) is 18.89, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 20.24. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Progressive Corp 's fair value, click here.
Forward PE
The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
Fair
5Y Average PE
20.24
Current PE
18.89
Overvalued PE
23.97
Undervalued PE
16.52
Forward EV/EBITDA
The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
4.43
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
12.27
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
-3.41
Forward PS
The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average PS
1.36
Current PS
1.88
Overvalued PS
1.58
Undervalued PS
1.13
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC
Trading Trends
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
PGR News & Events
Events Timeline
(ET)
2025-05-21
08:26:33
Progressive reports April EPS $1.68 vs. 72c last year
2025-05-05 (ET)
2025-05-05
20:25:00
Notable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
2025-05-05
13:09:31
Notable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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News
Preview
9.5
05-21SeekingAlphaPinnedProgressive reports 19% increase in April net premiums earned
Preview
2.0
05-22NASDAQ.COMHere's Why Progressive (PGR) Fell More Than Broader Market
Preview
3.0
05-21NASDAQ.COMPGR Factor-Based Stock Analysis - Peter Lynch
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FAQ
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