Should I Buy Progressive Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PGR has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
PGR stock price ended at $280.25 on Monday, after losing -1.5%
The Progressive Corp stock price decreased by -1.5% on the last trading day (12 May 2025), dropping from 284.04 to 280.25. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.12% , ranging from a day low of $274.905 to a day high of 283.49. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.96% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 1.78M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.32M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 925.86M.
PGR Technical Signals
PGR(Progressive Corp Corp) has 3 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-25. The total price change during this trend is +4.57%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of PGR over the last 5 trading days is 549.23M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
PGR Moving Average Analysis
Progressive Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 13, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $290.6137866666667, and $297.42866666666674. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $268.5635466666667, and $261.7486666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
PGR Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Progressive Corp(PGR) as of 09 May 2025 is 21.59%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 283.92 to 284.51. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
9.202
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
7.53
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
2.944
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
80.033
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 5-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
PGR Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Progressive Corp(PGR), our algorithm predicts PGR's 1-month price at $290.23, with an 2.01%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.79%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Progressive Corp (PGR.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a 2.01% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SUZ.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.79%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
PGR
No Data
SUZ
Up: 2.01%Similarity: 92.79%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
SUZ.N
92.79%
+2.01%
AMH.N
92.24%
-3.54%
AVNS.N
91.13%
+3.87%
ASPS.O
91.09%
+4.83%
GS.N
90.11%
-1.04%
KMT.N
90.08%
+3.49%
PGR Seasonality Analysis
Based on PGR's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is81.82%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in PGR. In contrast,Marchoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.91%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Progressive Corp (PGR.N) stock in March has the highest probability of a positive return (90.91%), while April has the lowest probability (45.45%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Progressive Corp. (PGR)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Progressive Corp (PGR.N) stock?
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