Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze whether QCOM is overvalued through multiple perspectives.
Technical Analysis
QCOM's current price of $165.43 shows significant weakness, with RSI-14 at 43.71 indicating neutral but slightly bearish momentum. The stock is trading below its 200-day SMA of $174.63, suggesting some technical weakness.
Valuation Metrics
- Forward P/E: 16.52x (2023/FY) vs 10.62x (2022/FY)
- EV/EBITDA: 11.87x (2023/FY) vs 8.76x (2022/FY)
- P/S: 3.38x (2023/FY) vs 3.12x (2022/FY)
Financial Performance
Revenue declined from $44.2B in FY2022 to $35.82B in FY2023, while net income dropped from $12.94B to $7.23B. Despite the decline, QCOM maintains healthy margins with a gross margin of 55.7% and net margin of 20.49%.
Analyst Consensus
Recent analyst ratings show a balanced view with 16 Strong Buy, 1 Moderate Buy, 14 Holds, and 1 Strong Sell. The mean price target is $190.90, with estimates ranging from $160 to $250.
Conclusion
QCOM is not overvalued considering its strong market position in 5G and automotive chips, healthy margins, and trading below analyst consensus targets. While recent financial metrics show some deterioration, the current valuation multiples remain reasonable for a leading semiconductor company with significant growth potential in emerging markets.