Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data, BBVA's stock shows mixed signals in the current market environment. Here's a comprehensive analysis:

Recent Price Movement

Technical Analysis

• Current price at $10.84 with recent trading range between $10.725 (low) and $10.87 (high)
• Stock is trading above its 20-day moving average of $10.14, indicating short-term bullish momentum
• RSI at 65.23 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory but not yet overextended
• MACD at 0.27 shows positive momentum

Recent Events & Market Impact

• The stock recently faced pressure due to Trump's potential tariff discussions, particularly concerning its Mexican operations, causing a 1.6% decline
• BBVA has significant exposure to the Mexican market, making it sensitive to Mexican peso movements and potential US policy changes

Support and Resistance Levels Based on Fibonacci levels:

• Strong support: $10.16
• Key resistance: $10.89
• Secondary resistance: $11.11

Market Context

• The stock has shown relative weakness in recent trading, with a -1.73% decline in regular market hours and -1.46% in pre-market
• Trading volume of 2,178,906 indicates moderate market interest

Risk Factors

• High exposure to interest rate changes and potential monetary policy shifts
• Significant reliance on Mexican market operations making it vulnerable to US-Mexico trade policies
• Potential valuation pressures as interest rates are expected to decline in 2025

Based on the technical and fundamental analysis, selling BBVA stock appears to be the more prudent action at current levels, as multiple headwinds including interest rate risks and geopolitical concerns could pressure the stock in the near term.

Based on the latest market data and technical analysis, BBVA stock is projected to reach $11.40 by mid-2025, driven by strong technical indicators with RSI at 65.23 and positive MACD at 0.27, suggesting continued upward momentum. Recent market concerns about potential US tariffs have created temporary pressure on BBVA's stock price, but the bank's strong presence in Mexico and positive market sentiment indicate potential for recovery and growth. The stock's Fibonacci resistance levels show strong support at $10.16 with potential upside to $11.48, suggesting a bullish trajectory despite short-term volatility.

The S1 support level for BBVA Stock is $10.21 ,The R1 resistant level for BBVA Stock is $11.19.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of BBVA Stock was $11.21.

The target price for BBVA Stock according to analyst rating is 13.32, with the highest price target at 13.32 and the lowest at 13.32. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on BBVA Stock overall.

The market cap of BBVA is $64.5B.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, BBVA appears to be fairly valued at current levels. The bank's P/E ratio has decreased from 8.04 in Q1 2024 to 6.23 in Q3 2024, indicating improving valuation metrics . The bank's net income margin has shown positive momentum, increasing from 24.04% to 29.44% over the same period, demonstrating operational efficiency improvements.

Key Valuation Metrics:

• P/B ratio of 1.06x in Q3 2024 is close to book value, suggesting fair valuation
• Dividend yield of 6.83% is attractive compared to industry peers
• ROE has improved from 16.11% to 18.08% YoY, showing enhanced profitability

Recent Developments: According to recent reports, BBVA has shown positive technical momentum by crossing above its critical moving average. However, there are some headwinds to consider, as the bank faces potential impacts from Trump's proposed tariffs affecting its Mexican operations.

Risk Factors: As highlighted in recent analysis, BBVA has high exposure to interest rates, which could create headwinds in 2025 as monetary policy shifts in both Europe and Mexico, its two largest markets. The bank's current valuation appears to price in these risks appropriately.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA) is a Spain - based bank. It is a diversified financial company engaged in retail banking, wholesale banking, asset management and private banking. Its segments are: Spain, the United States, Turkey, Mexico, South America and Rest of Eurasia. The activities in Spain are banking activity and Insurance. In the United States it offers services through, BBVA USA and the BBVA New York branch. The Turkey segment is represented by the group Garanti BBVA, an integrated financial services group, that also operate in Holland and Romania. The Mexico segment activities include banking and insurance businesses. In South America, it provides banking and insurance businesses. The Rest of Eurasia segment includes business activity in the rest of Europe and Asia

Based on current market trends and analysis, BBVA stock is projected to reach approximately $15.50 by 2030, driven by its strong presence in emerging markets and digital banking transformation initiatives. The bank's recent bullish technical indicators and strategic expansion in key markets like Mexico suggest sustained growth potential, despite potential headwinds from geopolitical tensions and tariff concerns. The stock's consistent performance above its 200-day moving average and positive analyst ratings indicate a favorable long-term trajectory, supported by the bank's robust financial fundamentals and market positioning.

BBVA has a total of 121486 employees.