Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent market data and analysis, here's a concise assessment of VST stock:

Technical Analysis

• VST experienced a significant decline of 7.81% to $150.44 on Friday, marking its second consecutive day of losses
• The stock is currently trading below its 5-day moving average of $163.98 and showing bearish momentum in the short term
• Volume increased by 3 million shares on falling prices, which could be an early warning signal

Fundamental Factors

• The company recently announced a quarterly dividend increase of 0.9% to $0.2235 per share
• Vistra is positioned to benefit from increasing electricity demand, particularly from data centers and Permian electrification
• The company has an ongoing share repurchase program with $2.2 billion remaining, expected to be completed by 2026

Analyst Consensus

• Out of 8 analysts covering VST:
  • 5 (62.5%) rate it as Strong Buy
  • 3 (37.5%) rate it as Buy
  • Average price target: $171.13 (13.75% upside potential)
  • Price targets range from $137.00 to $202.00

Conclusion The recent price decline appears to be a temporary pullback in an otherwise strong fundamental story. With unanimous analyst buy ratings, strong business fundamentals, and continued shareholder-friendly actions, VST presents a buying opportunity at current levels.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's a price prediction for VST stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

Market Momentum and Price Targets

VST stock has shown exceptional strength, rising over 200% in the past year. The stock is currently trading at $48.21 (as of Feb 23, 2025), with strong technical indicators suggesting continued upward momentum:

• RSI-14 at 39.48 indicates the stock is neither overbought nor oversold
• MACD shows slight bearish divergence (-0.07) but remains in an overall uptrend
• Support levels established around $45-46 range

Analyst Consensus and Price Targets

According to recent analyst coverage:

• Average analyst target: $167.33
• Highest target: $231.00
• Lowest target: $103.00

Key Growth Drivers

1. Energy Market Dynamics:

• Strong positioning in nuclear energy business
• Expected benefits from data center boom driving energy demand
• JPMorgan named VST as a top utility stock for 2025

2. Financial Performance:

• BMO maintained Outperform rating with increased price target from $151 to $191
• Consistent earnings beats in recent quarters

2025 Price Prediction

Based on technical analysis, analyst targets, and fundamental drivers, VST stock is expected to reach:

• Base case: $175-185 (conservative estimate)
• Bull case: $220-230 (if energy demand exceeds expectations)
• Bear case: $140-150 (if market conditions deteriorate)

The most probable scenario points to a year-end price target of $180, representing approximately 270% upside from current levels, driven by continued strength in energy demand and nuclear power operations.

The S1 support level for VST Stock is $136.24 ,The R1 resistant level for VST Stock is $171.12.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of VST Stock was $142.62.

The target price for VST Stock according to analyst rating is 194.17, with the highest price target at 212.00 and the lowest at 173.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on VST Stock overall.

The market cap of VST is $46.9B.

Based on the provided data and technical analysis, VST appears to be overvalued at current levels. The stock's RSI-14 reading of 39.48 indicates a neutral momentum but trending towards oversold territory. The stock is trading significantly above its 200-day SMA of $117.27, showing a premium of about 27%. The Bollinger Band analysis reveals the stock is trading closer to the lower band with a BBP of 0.27, suggesting potential downside risk. The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains concerningly high at 275.05% [Relevant Data], which poses additional risk in a rising rate environment.

The stock's current technical setup suggests potential weakness ahead, with MACD showing bearish divergence (macdh_12_26_9: -1.92) and the stock trading below key moving averages. The Fibonacci pivot analysis indicates first support at $152.38, with further support at $145.97 if breached.

Vistra Corp. is an integrated retail and electric power generation company. The Company operates in six business segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset and Asset Closure. The Retail segment represents its retail sales of electricity and natural gas to residential, small business and commercial and industrial customers. The Texas and East segments are engaged in electricity generation, wholesale energy sales and purchases, commodity risk management activities, fuel production and fuel logistics management. The East segment includes operations in the PJM, ISO-NE and NYISO markets. The West segment represents results from the CAISO market, including its battery ESS projects at its Moss Landing power plant site. The Sunset segment represents generation plants with announced retirement plans. The Asset Closure segment is engaged in the decommissioning and reclamation of retired plants and mines. The Company operates in approximately 41,000 megawatts of installed generation capacity.

Based on the available data and market analysis, here's a projection for VST stock price in 2030:

Price Target 2030: $350-400 per share

The projection is based on several key factors:

1. VST's strong position in the data center and AI infrastructure power supply market, with plans to add 2,000 MW of gas-fueled dispatchable power in Texas, positions it well for the growing energy demands driven by AI and data center expansion.

2. The company's aggressive share repurchase program (reducing outstanding shares by 30% since 2021) and solid financial management suggest continued shareholder value creation.

3. Recent analyst coverage remains bullish despite short-term volatility, with BofA setting a near-term price target of $183, indicating strong growth potential even before considering long-term industry tailwinds.

The projection assumes continued execution of VST's strategic initiatives in power generation and distribution, particularly in supporting the growing data center industry, while maintaining its strong market position in retail electricity.

VST has a total of 4870 employees.