Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here's a direct assessment of NVDA:

Technical Analysis The stock is currently trading at $142.17, showing a -3.12% decline in the regular market session on January 24, 2025. The RSI-14 reading of 53.95 indicates neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. The stock is trading above its 20-day SMA of $139.38, suggesting a slightly bullish short-term trend.

Fundamental Strength Recent analysis shows Nvidia maintains its dominant position in AI chips, with the Blackwell architecture demonstrating significant demand. The company has already sold out its entire Blackwell capacity for 2025, indicating strong future revenue visibility.

Growth Catalysts

• Continued AI infrastructure buildout by hyperscalers
• Strong demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) products
• Expanding applications in robotics and self-driving cars

Risk Factors

• Current valuation at 54x trailing earnings
• Potential competition from major tech companies developing their own AI chips
• Market cyclicality in the semiconductor industry

Fibonacci Levels Key support levels are at $131.60 and $127.01, while resistance levels are at $146.47 and $151.06. The Fibonacci pivot point stands at $139.03.

Conclusion SELL. While Nvidia's long-term prospects remain strong, the current technical setup and recent price action suggest a short-term pullback is likely. The stock has shown weakness in recent sessions (-3.12% in regular trading, followed by -0.32% after hours), and appears to be losing momentum despite trading above key moving averages.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's the price prediction for NVDA stock in 2025:

NVDA is projected to reach $200 by mid-2025, representing a 38% upside from current levels around $142, driven by continued strong demand for AI chips and the successful rollout of its new Blackwell architecture.

The bullish forecast is supported by Blackwell-based GB200 GPU systems delivering 30x faster AI inference compared to H100, with Morgan Stanley projecting shipments of up to 800,000 units in Q1 2025.

The company's dominant position in AI chips (over 85% market share) and expanding data center revenue, which could reach $100 billion in fiscal 2025, provide strong fundamentals for continued growth.

The S1 support level for NVDA Stock is $131.6 ,The R1 resistant level for NVDA Stock is $146.47.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of NVDA Stock was $142.17.

The target price for NVDA Stock according to analyst rating is 177.63, with the highest price target at 220.00 and the lowest at 140.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on NVDA Stock overall.

The market cap of NVDA is $3.5T.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, here's a comprehensive evaluation of NVDA's valuation:

Current Valuation Analysis: NVDA is currently showing signs of being overvalued based on several key metrics:

1. High P/E Ratio: Trading at a P/E of 54x, which is significantly higher than the S&P 500 average of 30x. This premium valuation suggests market expectations may be too optimistic.

2. Elevated Price-to-Sales: With a P/S ratio of 30x, the stock is trading at historically high multiples, indicating investors are paying a premium for each dollar of revenue.

3. Concerning Price-to-Book: At 51x, NVDA's price-to-book ratio is substantially higher than competitors like AMD (trading at just over 3x book value).

Key Risk Factors:

1. Cyclical Industry Exposure:

• Historical data shows NVDA has experienced four major crashes (50%+ drawdowns) since going public
• Currently at peak operating margins of 63%, suggesting potential for mean reversion

2. Supply-Demand Dynamics:

• Risk of supply catching up with demand, which could pressure pricing and margins
• Potential for revenue decline if AI demand normalizes

3. Competition Intensifying:

• Major customers developing in-house chips
• Risk of market share erosion in coming years

Positive Factors:

1. Market Leadership:

• Maintains 98% market share in data center GPUs
• Strong positioning in AI infrastructure market
• Continuous innovation with new products like Blackwell architecture

2. Growth Trajectory:

• Recent quarter showed 94% YoY revenue growth
• Analysts expect 72% growth in upcoming quarter

Conclusion: At current levels, NVDA appears overvalued with significant downside risks. The combination of peak margins, high valuation multiples, and cyclical industry dynamics suggests caution is warranted. While the company's market leadership and growth are impressive, these positives appear largely priced in at current levels.

NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company accelerates computing to help solve the computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. Compute & Networking segment includes its data center accelerated computing platform; networking; automotive artificial intelligence (AI), cockpit, autonomous driving development agreements and autonomous vehicle solutions; electric vehicle computing platforms; NVIDIA AI Enterprise and other software. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and personal computers (PCs), the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU (vGPU), software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems; and omniverse enterprise software for building and operating metaverse and three-dimensional Internet applications.

Based on the comprehensive analysis of available data and market research, here's a prediction for NVDA's stock price in 2030:

Base Case Scenario ($500-600) According to multiple analyst reports and market research, NVDA is expected to maintain strong growth but at a more moderate pace compared to recent years. The company's dominance in AI chips market could face increased competition from AMD, Intel, and tech giants developing their own chips.

Bull Case Scenario ($800-1000) Some analysts project an optimistic scenario where NVDA could reach $800 by 2030. This case assumes:

• Continued AI infrastructure buildout
• Successful execution of Blackwell platform
• Maintaining high market share in AI chips
• Expansion into new markets like automotive and robotics

Bear Case Scenario ($300-400) Key risks that could lead to lower valuations:

• Increased competition eroding margins
• Geopolitical tensions affecting China sales
• Shift from training to inference computing
• Market share loss to competitors
• Potential AI market slowdown

Key Growth Drivers:

1. AI Infrastructure Expansion
2. Data Center Growth
3. Gaming Market Recovery
4. Automotive & Robotics Applications

Market Position Analysis: While NVDA currently dominates with ~88% market share in AI chips, competition is expected to intensify. The company's ability to maintain its technological edge while managing increasing competition will be crucial.

Conclusion: The base case of $500-600 by 2030 appears most likely, representing a moderate growth trajectory that accounts for both opportunities and challenges ahead.

NVDA has a total of 29600 employees.