Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market analysis, here's a direct assessment of NVDA:

Current Market Status

• Current price: $131.11 (After-hours)
• Regular market change: -3.09%
• Post-market change: +0.64%

Key Catalysts

• Upcoming Q4 earnings report on February 26, 2025
• Analyst consensus expects revenue of $38.1 billion and EPS of $0.85
• Recent market concerns about AI infrastructure demand following DeepSeek developments

Technical Analysis

• Stock has shown weakness after recent DeepSeek-related selloff
• Currently trading near support level around $130
• Volume has been elevated, indicating significant market interest
• RSI showing neutral readings around 50, suggesting balanced momentum

Fundamental Drivers

• Strong hyperscaler capex plans for 2025:
  • Microsoft: $80 billion commitment
  • Meta: Raised guidance to $38.5 billion
  • Amazon & Alphabet: Combined $180 billion projected
• Stifel analyst forecasts:
  • Q4 revenue estimate: $37.5 billion
  • Price target: $180 (38% upside potential)

Recommendation SELL. Despite strong long-term AI prospects, several near-term headwinds suggest caution:

1. Recent DeepSeek developments creating uncertainty around AI chip demand
2. Trading near technical support with weakening momentum
3. High expectations going into earnings could lead to volatility
4. Market sentiment showing increased skepticism about AI infrastructure spending

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here is NVDA's price prediction for 2025 in 3 concise sentences:

NVIDIA's stock price is expected to reach $200 by mid-2025 driven by the massive demand for its new Blackwell architecture GPUs which offer 30x faster AI inference performance compared to current H100 chips [1, 2]. Major cloud providers like Microsoft, Amazon and Oracle are placing huge orders for Blackwell GPUs, with Oracle alone building clusters using over 131,000 units, indicating strong revenue growth potential. While some analysts project even higher targets with potential 70% gains in 2025, a more conservative price target of $200 appears achievable given the company's forward P/E of 32.1 and continued AI infrastructure spending momentum from tech giants who are expected to invest $300 billion in 2025 alone.

The S1 support level for NVDA Stock is $126.97 ,The R1 resistant level for NVDA Stock is $141.49.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of NVDA Stock was $129.54.

The target price for NVDA Stock according to analyst rating is 179.77, with the highest price target at 220.00 and the lowest at 135.00. Analysts have a Strong Buy rating on NVDA Stock overall.

The market cap of NVDA is $3.1T.

Technical Analysis

Based on the recent price action and technical indicators, NVDA appears to be overvalued at current levels. Let's analyze the key factors:

Valuation Metrics

Key Reasons for Overvaluation:

1. Extreme P/E Ratios: The stock's forward P/E of 51.15x is significantly higher than historical averages, indicating stretched valuations despite strong growth.

2. Technical Indicators Show Overbought Conditions:

• RSI-14 at 50.79 shows neutral momentum but has declined from overbought levels
• Stochastic RSI (14,14,3,3) at 96.00 indicates extremely overbought conditions
• MACD divergence suggests potential trend weakness

3. Market Sentiment Shift: Recent concerns about DeepSeek's cost-effective AI model have triggered significant market cap losses (over $600 billion wiped out in January 2025), suggesting a potential shift in market perception about NVDA's AI dominance.

4. Valuation Concerns: With a market cap around $3.3 trillion, the stock trades at historically high multiples across multiple metrics:

• EV/EBITDA: 428.98x
• P/S: 24.98x
• P/B: 34.99x

5. Technical Resistance: Price action shows strong resistance around $140-150 level, with current consolidation suggesting potential further downside.

Conclusion: While NVDA maintains strong fundamentals and AI market leadership, the current valuation metrics and technical indicators suggest the stock is overvalued at these levels. The combination of extreme valuation multiples, overbought technical indicators, and emerging competitive threats in the AI space indicate potential downside risks.

NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company accelerates computing to help solve the computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. Compute & Networking segment includes its data center accelerated computing platform; networking; automotive artificial intelligence (AI), cockpit, autonomous driving development agreements and autonomous vehicle solutions; electric vehicle computing platforms; NVIDIA AI Enterprise and other software. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and personal computers (PCs), the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU (vGPU), software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems; and omniverse enterprise software for building and operating metaverse and three-dimensional Internet applications.

Based on the extensive research data and analyst predictions available, here's a detailed analysis for NVDA's stock price prediction for 2030:

Base Case Scenario: $800 by 2030 According to Phil Panaro, former senior advisor at Boston Consulting Group, NVDA could reach $800 by 2030. This prediction is based on:

• Revenue growth from current $60B to projected $600B annually
• Continued AI infrastructure expansion
• Web3 transition opportunities
• Broader enterprise AI adoption beyond current hyperscalers

Bull Case Scenario: $1000+ by 2030 Beth Kindig predicts NVDA could reach a $10 trillion market cap by 2030, supported by:

• Expansion from tens of thousands to millions of GPU data centers
• Microsoft's plan to triple GPU supply to 1.8M units
• Meta's orders of 500,000 H100s/equivalents
• Enterprise AI adoption acceleration

Key Growth Drivers:

1. AI and Data Center Expansion

• Projected growth from hundreds of thousands to millions of GPUs in data centers by 2030
• AMD CEO predicts AI accelerator market reaching $400B by 2027

2. New Market Opportunities

• Automotive/autonomous driving sector growth
• Robotics and edge computing expansion
• Gaming and metaverse development

3. Competitive Advantages

• CUDA software platform moat
• Leadership in AI chip development
• Strong partnerships with major tech companies

Risk Factors:

• Increased competition from AMD, Intel, and custom chips
• Potential AI bubble concerns
• Geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains
• Valuation concerns in short term

NVDA has a total of 29600 employees.