Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis of XOM stock:

Technical Analysis The stock is currently trading at $108.72, showing a decline of -1.35% in the last regular trading session . The stock is exhibiting weakness in the short term, trading below its 20-day moving average of $108.59.

Fundamental Strength

• Strong production growth with record output of 4.58 million barrels per day
• Robust cost management with $11.3 billion in structural cost savings since 2019
• Healthy balance sheet with debt-to-capital ratio of ~15%

Recent Developments

• The Pioneer Natural Resources acquisition ($59.5 billion) strengthens XOM's position in the Permian Basin with 15-20 years of supply at $35-40 per barrel cost basis
• Expected cost synergies of ~$2 billion per year from the Pioneer deal
• Plans to double Permian output by 2027

Market Sentiment

• Currently receives a high rating of 91% from Validea's P/E/Growth Investor model
• Trading at 13.1x 2024 earnings estimates and 11.7x 2025 estimates
• Offers a 3.7% dividend yield with 42 consecutive years of dividend increases

Recommendation SELL. While XOM has strong fundamentals and long-term potential, current technical weakness and near-term headwinds from lower energy prices suggest better entry points may emerge. The stock's recent underperformance relative to broader markets indicates potential further consolidation ahead.

Based on the provided data and context, here's an analysis of XOM's price prediction for 2025:

Technical Analysis

The current technical indicators show XOM is trading at $108.72 with an RSI of 44.73, indicating a neutral momentum but slightly leaning towards oversold territory. The stock is currently trading below both its 20-day SMA ($108.59) and 60-day SMA ($113.58), suggesting a short-term bearish trend.

Fundamental Drivers

According to ExxonMobil's corporate plan through 2030, the company expects to:

• Generate $165 billion in surplus cash above existing dividend during 2025-2030
• Maintain strong dividend growth potential
• Increase production efficiency and cost reduction initiatives
• Expand in low-carbon solutions and strategic acquisitions

Price Target Analysis

Based on the Fibonacci levels:

• Support levels: S1: $106.86, S2: $105.19, S3: $102.48
• Resistance levels: R1: $112.27, R2: $113.94, R3: $116.65
• Pivot point: $109.57

2025 Price Prediction

Based on the technical indicators, fundamental outlook, and analyst projections, XOM stock is expected to trade in the range of $115-120 by end of 2025, representing a potential upside of 6-10% from current levels. This projection is supported by the company's strong cash flow generation capabilities, ongoing cost optimization initiatives, and strategic investments in both traditional and low-carbon businesses.

The key drivers for this target include:

• Continued execution of cost reduction programs targeting $7 billion in additional structural savings by 2030
• Strategic expansion in Guyana and Permian Basin production
• Growing low-carbon solutions business contributing to earnings diversification

The S1 support level for XOM Stock is $106.86 ,The R1 resistant level for XOM Stock is $112.27.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of XOM Stock was $108.72.

The target price for XOM Stock according to analyst rating is 133.00, with the highest price target at 147.00 and the lowest at 115.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on XOM Stock overall.

The market cap of XOM is $477.6B.

Based on the provided data and context, let me analyze whether XOM is overvalued:

Valuation Analysis: XOM currently trades at a P/E of 14.6x and EV/EBITDA of 7.8x in Q3 2024, which are relatively reasonable multiples for an integrated oil major. The company's P/B ratio of 1.92x and P/S ratio of 1.45x also suggest fair valuation compared to historical levels.

Financial Performance: XOM demonstrated solid Q3 2024 performance with $8.61 billion in net income and strong operating cash flows. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratios and substantial cash reserves.

Analyst Consensus: Recent analyst ratings show a mixed but generally positive outlook. Truist Securities maintains a Hold rating with a $119 price target, while UBS maintains a Strong Buy with a $147 target, suggesting 31.4% upside potential.

Growth Prospects: The company's Pioneer Natural Resources acquisition and expansion in the Permian Basin position it well for future growth. Management projects $30 billion higher annual cash flows by 2030 compared to 2024 levels, based on conservative $65/barrel oil price assumptions.

Final Assessment: XOM is NOT overvalued at current levels given its strong fundamentals, reasonable valuation metrics, robust cash flow generation, and clear growth trajectory through 2030. The stock appears fairly valued with potential upside if energy prices remain supportive.

Exxon Mobil Corporation is an international energy and petrochemical company. The Company’s primary businesses include exploration for, and production of, crude oil and natural gas; manufacture, trade, transport and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and a variety of specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission business opportunities including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, and lithium. Its segments include Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products. The Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments manufactures and sells petroleum products and petrochemicals. Energy Products include fuels, aromatics, and catalysts and licensing. Its Chemical Products consists of olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. Its Specialty Products include finished lubricants, synthetics, and elastomers and resins.

Based on the provided data and analysis of market trends, here's a concise prediction for XOM's stock price by 2030:

ExxonMobil's stock price is projected to reach approximately $175-185 per share by 2030, driven by the company's ambitious plan to deliver $30 billion in additional annual cash flow and $20 billion in incremental earnings by 2030. This projection is supported by ExxonMobil's strategic investments in both traditional and low-carbon businesses, with plans to invest $140 billion in major projects through 2030.

The company's focus on cost reduction initiatives targeting $18 billion in structural savings by 2030 and its expansion into new markets worth potentially over $400 billion by 2030 provides strong fundamental support for this price target.

XOM has a total of 62000 employees.