Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market context, here's a concise analysis of XOM:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading near its Fibonacci support level of $106.57, with the next major support at $104.90 . The RSI of 59.52 indicates neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold.

Recent Developments

• FTC recently approved Exxon's $60 billion acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources, with restrictions on former Pioneer CEO's involvement
• The company has achieved $11 billion in structural cost savings since 2019 and aims for additional $7 billion by 2030
• XOM has demonstrated record production levels, reaching highest liquids volume in 40 years

Fundamental Strengths

• Strong balance sheet with low debt-to-capital ratio around 15%
• Consistent dividend growth with 42 consecutive years of increases
• Current dividend yield of approximately 3.7%

Growth Outlook

• Projects oil and gas production to increase from 3.8 million to 4.2 million barrels per day by 2027
• Targeting $30 billion annual cash flow growth by 2030 compared to 2024 levels
• Break-even costs between $35-40 per barrel post-Pioneer acquisition

Recommendation HOLD. While XOM shows strong fundamentals and operational improvements, current market conditions and oil price volatility suggest a cautious approach. The stock appears fairly valued at current levels, with strong support around $104-106 range.

Based on the provided data and context, here's my analysis for XOM's price prediction in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The current price of XOM is $112.46 as of January 17, 2025. Technical indicators show:

• RSI at 59.52, indicating neutral momentum
• MACD at -0.43, suggesting slight bearish pressure
• Price trading above 20-day SMA of $107.80, showing short-term upward trend

Fundamental Drivers

1. Strategic Growth Plans:

• ExxonMobil projects earnings growth of $20 billion and cash flow increase of $30 billion by 2030
• Company targets $18 billion in structural cost savings through 2030
• Pioneer Natural Resources acquisition strengthens Permian Basin position

2. Recent Developments:

• FTC approved XOM's $60 billion Pioneer acquisition
• Integration expected to drive significant synergies and production growth

Price Target Scenarios

Based on the analysis, here are the 2025 price targets:

XOM is expected to reach $135-140 by end of 2025, driven by:

• Successful integration of Pioneer acquisition boosting production
• Structural cost savings of $7 billion materializing between 2024-2030
• Strong cash flow generation supporting continued share buybacks and dividend growth

The S1 support level for XOM Stock is $106.86 ,The R1 resistant level for XOM Stock is $112.27.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of XOM Stock was $108.72.

The target price for XOM Stock according to analyst rating is 133.00, with the highest price target at 147.00 and the lowest at 115.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on XOM Stock overall.

The market cap of XOM is $477.6B.

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, let's analyze whether XOM is overvalued:

Valuation Analysis XOM currently trades at a P/E of 14.62 (Q3 2024), which is higher than its historical average but still reasonable for the energy sector . The EV/EBITDA ratio of 7.8 suggests moderate valuation levels.

Growth & Strategic Position XOM has demonstrated strong execution of its growth strategy, projecting to increase earnings by $20 billion and cash flow by $30 billion by 2030. The company's Pioneer Natural Resources acquisition strengthens its position in the Permian Basin, providing 16 billion barrels of oil equivalent resources.

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions show mixed sentiment, with price targets ranging from $105 to $149, suggesting an average upside potential of about 15-20% from current levels . Truist Securities recently raised their price target to $119, citing expectations of firmer commodity prices .

Market Position XOM maintains industry-leading earnings ($8.6 billion in Q3) and robust cash flow from operations ($17.6 billion). The company's debt-to-capital ratio of 13.34% is significantly better than the industry average of 22.38%.

Conclusion At current price levels around $112, XOM is fairly valued considering its strong balance sheet, strategic acquisitions, and future growth prospects. The company's valuation metrics are reasonable given its market leadership and robust financial health.

Exxon Mobil Corporation is an international energy and petrochemical company. The Company’s primary businesses include exploration for, and production of, crude oil and natural gas; manufacture, trade, transport and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and a variety of specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission business opportunities including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, and lithium. Its segments include Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products. The Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments manufactures and sells petroleum products and petrochemicals. Energy Products include fuels, aromatics, and catalysts and licensing. Its Chemical Products consists of olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. Its Specialty Products include finished lubricants, synthetics, and elastomers and resins.

Based on the provided data and recent company announcements, here's a prediction for XOM's stock price in 2030:

XOM stock is projected to reach $185-195 by 2030, driven by the company's strategic plan to grow earnings by $20 billion and cash flow by $30 billion through 2030. This forecast assumes Brent oil prices around $65 per barrel, which is conservative compared to current levels.

The key driver for this target is ExxonMobil's commitment to invest $140 billion in major capital projects through 2030, focusing on high-return upstream assets in the Permian Basin, Guyana, and LNG projects that are expected to generate returns above 30%.

Additionally, the company plans to capture $7 billion in structural cost savings and over $3 billion in synergies from the Pioneer acquisition, which should help support higher valuations even in a moderate oil price environment.

XOM has a total of 62000 employees.