Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis for Oracle (ORCL):

Technical Analysis The stock is currently showing bearish signals with RSI at 40.38 , indicating a weakening momentum but not yet oversold. The stock closed at $161.03 on Friday with MACD at -4.98, suggesting downward pressure.

Support/Resistance Levels

• Key resistance: $166.15 (Fibonacci R1)
• Current pivot: $160.18
• Key support: $154.21 (Fibonacci S1)

Recent Events Impact Oracle has been affected by recent developments including:

• Involvement in TikTok's U.S. operations discussions
• Impact from new AI chip export restrictions
• Strong validation from Validea's Multi-Factor Investor model with 100% rating

Recommendation SELL. The technical indicators show weakening momentum, and while Oracle has strong fundamentals, the current market conditions and technical setup suggest waiting for a better entry point.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's the price prediction for Oracle (ORCL) stock in 2025:

Oracle's stock price is expected to reach $175-180 by end of 2025, driven by exceptional growth in cloud infrastructure revenue (52% YoY growth) and strong AI-related demand as evidenced by 336% increase in GPU consumption. The company's aggressive data center expansion plans and doubling of CAPEX in FY2025 positions it well to capture the growing cloud infrastructure market, which Gartner forecasts will increase by 25% in 2025 to $212 billion.

The technical analysis shows current support at $154.21 (Fibonacci S1) and resistance at $166.15 (Fibonacci R1), with potential upside to $175.81 (Fibonacci R3) if momentum continues. The RSI at 40.38 indicates the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, suggesting room for upward movement.

The S1 support level for ORCL Stock is $155.37 ,The R1 resistant level for ORCL Stock is $185.6.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of ORCL Stock was $183.569.

The target price for ORCL Stock according to analyst rating is 191.29, with the highest price target at 220.00 and the lowest at 130.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on ORCL Stock overall.

The market cap of ORCL is $513.5B.

Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze whether ORCL is overvalued through multiple key aspects:

Valuation Metrics Oracle's current P/E ratio of 45.22x is significantly higher than its historical levels, showing a concerning upward trend from 29.46x in Q3 2024 to 45.22x in Q2 2025. The EV/EBITDA multiple has also expanded considerably from 17.78x to 25.30x during the same period.

Financial Performance Revenue growth has been relatively modest, with Q2 2025 revenue at $14.06B compared to $13.28B in Q3 2024, representing only about 5.9% year-over-year growth. Net income margins have improved slightly from 18.46% to 22.75%, but this improvement doesn't justify the current premium valuation.

Debt Concerns Oracle's debt-to-equity ratio remains extremely high at 622.53% in Q2 2025, though it has improved from 1423.16% in Q3 2024. This high leverage adds significant risk to the company's valuation.

Market Position While Oracle has made strides in cloud infrastructure and AI initiatives, the current valuation appears to be pricing in overly optimistic growth expectations that may be difficult to achieve given the competitive landscape and Oracle's historical growth rates.

Based on these factors, ORCL appears significantly overvalued at current levels, with multiples far exceeding historical averages and fundamentals not supporting the premium valuation.

Oracle Corporation provides products and services that address enterprise information technology (IT) environments. The Company’s businesses include cloud and license, hardware, and services. Its products and services include enterprise applications and infrastructure offerings that are delivered worldwide through a variety of flexible and interoperable IT deployment models. Its cloud and license business markets, sells, and delivers a spectrum of enterprise applications and infrastructure technologies through its cloud and license offerings. Its hardware business provides a selection of enterprise hardware products and hardware-related software products, including Oracle Engineered Systems, servers, storage, industry-specific hardware offerings, operating systems, virtualization, management and other hardware-related software, and related hardware support. Its services business provides consulting services and advanced customer service. It sells to customers all over the world.

Based on the provided data and references, I'll analyze Oracle's (ORCL) potential price by 2030:

Price Target Analysis for 2030:

Oracle's stock is expected to reach $250-275 by 2030, driven by three key factors:

1. AI Infrastructure Growth

• Oracle's cloud infrastructure revenue grew 52% year-over-year with GPU usage up 336%
• The company plans to expand from 98 data centers to 1,000-2,000 locations to meet AI demand
• Industry analysts project cloud infrastructure spending to reach $580 billion by 2030

2. Market Position Strengthening

• Oracle is gaining market share in cloud infrastructure against larger competitors
• The company has secured major AI partnerships including Meta Platforms for Llama model training
• Remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew 50% to $97 billion, indicating strong future revenue pipeline

3. Financial Trajectory

• Management forecasts revenue to reach at least $104 billion by fiscal 2029
• Analysts project compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16%+ through 2029
• The company is expected to maintain industry-leading margins as it scales AI infrastructure

The $250-275 price target is based on:

• Projected earnings growth of 13-14% annually
• Maintaining a forward P/E multiple of 30-35x
• Continued expansion in AI cloud services market share [1,2]

ORCL has a total of 164000 employees.