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VST Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Vistra Corp (VST) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
155.790
1 Day change
0.57%
52 Week Range
219.820
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Vistra Corp (VST) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. Despite recent financial underperformance, the stock is currently trading at a bargain, has positive sentiment from analysts, and shows technical strength in the pre-market. The investor's long-term horizon aligns well with the company's growth opportunities in data centers and energy deals.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 73.452, and moving averages are converging, suggesting no immediate overbought or oversold conditions. The stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 164.458, R2: 168.479), with pre-market price at 167.7, reflecting a 1.31% increase.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts maintain an Overweight rating with constructive views on growth opportunities, including data center contracts and energy deals.

  • Cramer considers the stock a bargain at 19 times earnings, with a recent 6% gain in two days after a 25% decline since September.

  • Technical indicators show bullish momentum in the pre-market.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed significant declines in revenue (-2.47% YoY), net income (-52.93% YoY), and EPS (-52.21% YoY).

  • Gross margin dropped by 19.30% YoY, indicating potential profitability concerns.

  • No recent congress trading data or significant hedge fund/insider activity.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $4.98 billion (-2.47% YoY), net income fell to $185 million (-52.93% YoY), and EPS declined to 0.54 (-52.21% YoY). Gross margin also decreased to 44.32 (-19.30% YoY), reflecting weaker financial performance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain an Overweight rating on Vistra. Recent price target changes include JPMorgan raising the target to $240, Morgan Stanley lowering it to $214, and Wells Fargo adjusting it to $234. Analysts highlight compelling value, optimism on growth opportunities, and constructive management discussions.

Wall Street analysts forecast VST stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast VST stock price to rise
11 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 154.910
sliders
Low
217
Averages
240.09
High
287
Current: 154.910
sliders
Low
217
Averages
240.09
High
287
Morgan Stanley
David Arcaro
Overweight
downgrade
$214 -> $208
AI Analysis
2026-04-21
New
Reason
Morgan Stanley
David Arcaro
Price Target
$214 -> $208
AI Analysis
2026-04-21
New
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst David Arcaro lowered the firm's price target on Vistra to $208 from $214 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm is updating the price targets for Regulated & Diversified Utilities / IPPs in North America under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. In March, utilities outperformed the S&P's return.
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
maintain
$215 -> $214
2026-03-23
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$215 -> $214
2026-03-23
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Vistra to $214 from $215 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm is updating the price targets for Regulated & Diversified Utilities / IPPs in North America under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. In February, utilities outperformed the S&P's return. Additionally, recent discussions in the space were broadly constructive, with companies highlighting growth opportunities as well as optimism on load growth and signing deals with data centers, the firm adds.
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