Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis of Target (TGT) stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is showing bearish technical signals with RSI at 33.09, indicating oversold conditions. The MACD is negative at -2.53 with a bearish crossover, suggesting continued downward momentum.

Fundamental Assessment

Target currently trades at attractive valuation metrics:

• P/E: 13.17x (vs. sector average of 28x)
• Forward dividend yield: 3.01%
• Current price: ~$148.21 (as of Feb 23, 2024)

Recent Developments

• Target faces a class-action lawsuit regarding its DEI policy rollback, which has led to declining store traffic and an 8.7% stock drop
• Holiday spending in 2024 showed modest growth of 2.8% during November-December
• The company has maintained eight consecutive months of year-over-year traffic growth

Market Sentiment

Wall Street maintains a "Moderate Buy" rating:

• 14 Strong Buy
• 3 Moderate Buy
• 15 Hold
• 1 Strong Sell Mean price target: $148.33 (10.1% upside potential)

Recommendation SELL. Despite attractive valuations, several factors warrant caution:

1. Ongoing legal challenges and DEI controversy impacting foot traffic
2. Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
3. Weakening discretionary spending environment
4. Recent earnings miss and reduced guidance

Based on the provided search results and data, I'll analyze TGT's price prediction for 2025:

Technical Analysis

The current price of TGT is around $124.40, showing a bearish trend in recent months with the stock trading below both its 50-day SMA ($134.60) and 200-day SMA ($145.13).

Analyst Consensus & Price Targets

Based on 32 Wall Street analysts:

• Consensus Rating: Hold
• Average Price Target: $157.70 (26.77% upside potential)
• Highest Target: $220.00
• Lowest Target: $108.00

2025 Price Predictions from Multiple Sources

According to various forecasts:

1. Coincodex:

• Mid-2025: $136
• End-2025: $143 (+15% from current)

2. Longforecast:

• Mid-2025: $127
• End-2025: $124

3. Market Sentiment Drivers:

Bullish Factors:

• Digital sales growth and same-day delivery service showing strong momentum
• Strategic initiatives and value-offering expected to support sales growth
• Higher-income consumers potentially shopping at Target more permanently

Bearish Factors:

• Recent DEI policy rollback causing consumer backlash
• Facing class-action lawsuit over misleading investors
• Competition pressure from Walmart and Amazon

2025 Scenario Analysis

Bullish Case ($150-160):

• Probability: 35%
• Drivers: Successful execution of strategic initiatives, improved consumer spending, margin expansion

Base Case ($130-140):

• Probability: 45%
• Drivers: Moderate growth in digital sales, stable but not expanding margins

Bearish Case ($100-120):

• Probability: 20%
• Drivers: Continued consumer pullback, increased competition, margin pressure

Conclusion

Based on the comprehensive analysis, TGT is most likely to trade in the range of $130-140 by the end of 2025, representing a modest upside from current levels. The stock faces both opportunities and challenges, with the success of its digital transformation and ability to maintain margins being key factors to watch.

The S1 support level for TGT Stock is $123.44 ,The R1 resistant level for TGT Stock is $130.57.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of TGT Stock was $122.73.

The target price for TGT Stock according to analyst rating is 150.00, with the highest price target at 188.00 and the lowest at 130.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on TGT Stock overall.

The market cap of TGT is $56.1B.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, let me evaluate if TGT is overvalued:

Target's stock is currently undervalued based on several key metrics and market conditions:

1. The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 16.27x, significantly below both its historical 5-year average and the S&P 500's average of 25x.

2. Target's price-to-sales ratio of 0.63x indicates the stock is trading at a substantial discount to its historical valuation levels and retail sector peers.

3. The company's improving holiday sales performance (+2.8% YoY) and eight consecutive months of traffic growth demonstrate operational resilience despite challenges.

4. Target's current valuation multiples suggest the market has overreacted to near-term headwinds, as the stock trades at just 0.6x sales while maintaining solid fundamentals.

5. The company's strong brand value, extensive store network, and growing digital presence (especially the 30% growth in same-day delivery) provide significant competitive advantages that aren't reflected in the current stock price.

Target Corporation (Target) is a general merchandise retailer selling products to its guests through its stores and digital channels. The Company sells an assortment of general merchandise and food. The Company’s product categories include apparel and accessories, beauty and household essentials, food and beverage, hardlines, and home furnishing and decor. Its general merchandise stores offer an edited food assortment, including perishables, dry grocery, dairy and frozen items. The Company operates over 1,948 stores and has stores of approximately 170,000 square feet, which offer a full line of food items comparable to traditional supermarkets. Its small-format stores has over 50,000 square feet and offer curated general merchandise and food assortments. Its brands include Art Class, Smartly, Auden, JoyLab, Smith & Hawken, Ava & Viv, Kindfull, Sonia Kashuk, Casaluna, Market Pantry, Threshold, Cat & Jack, Mondo Llama, Universal Thread, Cloud Island, More Than Magic, up & up, and others.

Based on the available data and market research, here is the price prediction for Target (TGT) stock by 2030:

Target stock is projected to reach $252 by 2030, representing a 103% increase from the current price of $124.17. This forecast is supported by several key factors:

Growth Drivers:

• Continued expansion of Target's digital commerce capabilities, with same-day services showing 20% growth and total digital sales up 11%
• Strategic focus on higher-margin product categories like apparel and toys
• Strong brand value and extensive store network of over 1,800 locations serving as fulfillment hubs

Key Challenges:

• Intense competition from Walmart and Amazon in the discount retail space
• Current underperformance with stock down 6.8% over past 52 weeks versus S&P 500's 22.8% gain
• Margin pressures from promotional activities to drive sales growth

Analyst Consensus:

• Among 33 analysts covering TGT, the consensus rating is "Moderate Buy" based on:
  • 14 Strong Buy ratings
  • 3 Moderate Buy ratings
  • 15 Hold ratings
  • 1 Strong Sell rating

The 2030 price target of $252 represents a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.2% from current levels. This forecast assumes Target successfully executes its omnichannel strategy while maintaining market share against competitors in an increasingly digital retail landscape.

Note: This prediction is based on current market conditions and available data. Actual future stock prices may vary significantly due to changing market conditions, company performance, and other unforeseen factors. This information should not be considered as financial advice.

TGT has a total of 415000 employees.