Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the latest data and market conditions, Target stock shows mixed signals:

Recent Performance Target's stock closed at $135.77 with a -1.14% decline in regular trading hours on January 22, 2025 . The stock has been trading near its support level around $130.17 based on Fibonacci analysis.

Holiday Sales Performance Target recently reported positive holiday sales results with:

• 2.8% growth in total sales
• 2.0% increase in comparable sales for November/December
• Strong performance in discretionary categories showing meaningful sequential acceleration

Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions show a cautiously optimistic stance:

• Goldman Sachs raised Q4 comp estimate from -0.5% to 1.5% growth
• Price targets range from $130 to $166, with consensus suggesting moderate upside potential

Bull Case

• Strong fulfillment model and alternative revenue streams (Roundel advertising, Target Circle membership)
• Current valuation suggests limited downside risk
• Sequential improvement in discretionary categories

Bear Case

• Margin pressures due to promotional activity
• Market share concerns versus Walmart's stronger performance
• Record Black Friday/Cyber Monday promotional periods may impact Q4 margins

Based on the technical indicators and recent business performance, Target stock appears to be in a consolidation phase. The RSI at 49.31 indicates neutral momentum . While holiday sales showed improvement, margin pressures and competitive concerns suggest holding off on new purchases at current levels.

Based on the provided data and recent market analysis, Target (TGT) stock is projected to reach $166 by end of 2025, representing a potential upside of 22% from current price of $135.77. The forecast is supported by Target's strong holiday sales performance with 2.8% total sales growth and improving discretionary category trends. Goldman Sachs analyst raised Q4 comp estimate from -0.5% to 1.5% growth, though slightly lowered gross margin expectations from 25.7% to 25.5%.

The S1 support level for TGT Stock is $130.1 ,The R1 resistant level for TGT Stock is $141.62.

As of the end of day on 2025-01-24, the price of TGT Stock was $137.69.

The target price for TGT Stock according to analyst rating is 144.69, with the highest price target at 188.00 and the lowest at 108.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on TGT Stock overall.

The market cap of TGT is $63.2B.

Based on the provided data and current market context, Target (TGT) appears to be fairly valued with some potential upside. Here's the analysis:

Valuation Metrics

• Forward P/E of 15.98x is reasonable compared to retail sector peers
• EV/EBITDA of 9.17x indicates moderate valuation
• Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.65x suggests attractive valuation relative to historical levels
• Price-to-Book ratio of 4.78x is slightly elevated but justified by ROE of 32.37%

Financial Health

• Gross margin improved to 25.92% in latest quarter
• Net margin of 3.33% shows stable profitability
• Current ratio of 0.94 indicates adequate liquidity
• Debt-to-equity ratio of 110.3% is manageable given strong cash flows

Recent Performance

• Holiday sales showed positive momentum with 2.8% growth in total sales and 2.0% increase in comparable sales
• Strong fulfillment model and alternative revenue streams like Roundel (advertising) and Target Circle (membership) provide growth opportunities
• Discretionary categories demonstrated meaningful sequential acceleration in sales

Market Sentiment

• Analysts maintain positive outlook with consensus price target of $145.93, implying 9.8% upside
• D.A. Davidson maintains Buy rating
• Goldman Sachs slightly lowered gross margin estimates from 25.7% to 25.5%

Target's current valuation appears reasonable given its improving operational metrics and positive holiday sales momentum. While there are some margin pressures, the company's strategic initiatives and strong fulfillment capabilities position it well for future growth.

Target Corporation (Target) is a general merchandise retailer selling products to its guests through its stores and digital channels. The Company sells an assortment of general merchandise and food. The Company’s product categories include apparel and accessories, beauty and household essentials, food and beverage, hardlines, and home furnishing and decor. Its general merchandise stores offer an edited food assortment, including perishables, dry grocery, dairy and frozen items. The Company operates over 1,948 stores and has stores of approximately 170,000 square feet, which offer a full line of food items comparable to traditional supermarkets. Its small-format stores has over 50,000 square feet and offer curated general merchandise and food assortments. Its brands include Art Class, Smartly, Auden, JoyLab, Smith & Hawken, Ava & Viv, Kindfull, Sonia Kashuk, Casaluna, Market Pantry, Threshold, Cat & Jack, Mondo Llama, Universal Thread, Cloud Island, More Than Magic, up & up, and others.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for Target (TGT) stock by 2030:

Target stock is projected to reach $195-210 by 2030, driven by its successful digital transformation and strong fulfillment model showing early positive results with 11% growth in digital sales. The company's strategic focus on alternative revenue streams including Roundel (advertising), Target Circle (membership), and Target Plus (marketplace) positions it well for long-term growth. Recent holiday sales growth of 2.8% and comparable sales increase of 2.0% demonstrate the company's ability to execute despite challenging retail conditions.

TGT has a total of 415000 employees.