Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis for TGT's price prediction for next week:
Technical Analysis
The technical indicators show:
- RSI at 53.51 indicates neutral momentum
- MACD at 0.20 suggests slightly bullish momentum
- Current price is below both SMA-200 ($146.61) and SMA-20 ($136.54), indicating bearish long-term trend
Recent Major Events Impact
- Target announced ending its DEI program on January 24, 2025, which could impact investor sentiment
- Holiday sales showed positive momentum with 2.8% growth and comparable sales up 2.0%
- Discretionary sales categories showed meaningful acceleration during holidays
Price Drivers
- Positive Factors:
- Strong holiday performance with record sales during Black Friday and Cyber Monday
- Improved discretionary category performance, especially in apparel and toys
- Q4 comparable sales guidance raised to 1.5% growth from previous flat projection
- Negative Factors:
- Recent DEI program termination might create short-term volatility
- Margin pressures continue as EPS guidance remained unchanged despite sales growth
- Heavy reliance on promotional periods for sales growth
Price Prediction for Next Week
Based on Fibonacci levels:
- Resistance levels: R1: $141.62, R2: $145.18, R3: $150.94
- Support levels: S1: $130.10, S2: $126.54, S3: $120.78
- Pivot: $135.86
Expected price range: $130.10 - $141.62
Trading Recommendation
SELL with target price of $130.10
Rationale:
- Technical indicators show bearish trend continuation
- Recent organizational changes might create short-term selling pressure
- Heavy promotional activity suggests margin pressure
- Price currently trading below major moving averages
Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis for TGT's price prediction for next week:
Technical Analysis
The technical indicators show:
- RSI at 53.51 indicates neutral momentum
- MACD at 0.20 suggests slightly bullish momentum
- Current price is below both SMA-200 ($146.61) and SMA-20 ($136.54), indicating bearish long-term trend
Recent Major Events Impact
- Target announced ending its DEI program on January 24, 2025, which could impact investor sentiment
- Holiday sales showed positive momentum with 2.8% growth and comparable sales up 2.0%
- Discretionary sales categories showed meaningful acceleration during holidays
Price Drivers
- Positive Factors:
- Strong holiday performance with record sales during Black Friday and Cyber Monday
- Improved discretionary category performance, especially in apparel and toys
- Q4 comparable sales guidance raised to 1.5% growth from previous flat projection
- Negative Factors:
- Recent DEI program termination might create short-term volatility
- Margin pressures continue as EPS guidance remained unchanged despite sales growth
- Heavy reliance on promotional periods for sales growth
Price Prediction for Next Week
Based on Fibonacci levels:
- Resistance levels: R1: $141.62, R2: $145.18, R3: $150.94
- Support levels: S1: $130.10, S2: $126.54, S3: $120.78
- Pivot: $135.86
Expected price range: $130.10 - $141.62
Trading Recommendation
SELL with target price of $130.10
Rationale:
- Technical indicators show bearish trend continuation
- Recent organizational changes might create short-term selling pressure
- Heavy promotional activity suggests margin pressure
- Price currently trading below major moving averages