Target (TGT) is currently showing signs of being oversold, with a 14-day RSI of 22.41, which is below the 30 threshold. This indicates potential for a technical bounce. The stock is trading below its 20-day moving average of $113.70, suggesting bearish momentum. However, the oversold condition could trigger a short-term recovery.
Recent news indicates that Target is facing challenges due to reduced consumer spending and lower sales, which has led to a decline in Q4 earnings and a warning of "meaningful" profit pressure in Q1. Additionally, the company has reduced employee bonuses to 87% of the expected amount, further signaling financial constraints. Despite these challenges, analysts maintain a buy rating with a consensus price target of $150, indicating potential upside.
The Fibonacci levels suggest that the stock is currently trading near the S1 support level of $102.72, with resistance at $113.31. A breakout above this resistance could signal a bullish reversal.
Based on the oversold condition and potential for a technical bounce, the stock is expected to rise to $108 in the next trading week. However, due to the negative fundamentals and macroeconomic headwinds, it is recommended to sell at this level to lock in profits.
The price of TGT is predicted to go up 48.33%, based on the high correlation periods with CCO. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 98.94%.
TGT
CCO
Given its iconic brand that attracts consumers due to its promise of a more gratifying customer experience compared with other low-cost retailers, we are confident in Target's ability to drive recurring foot traffic.
Based on its performance during the pandemic, we view Target as a formidable online retailer, putting to rest many concerns about its ability to compete in a digital retail environment.
Target is poised to benefit from the continued decline of mall-based competition and department stores, which will drive strong growth in comparable sales.
Stifel
2025-03-20
Price Target
$130 → $120
Upside
+15.16%
Oppenheimer
2025-03-06
Price Target
$165 → $150
Upside
+31.52%
Wells Fargo
2025-03-05
Price Target
$150 → $135
Upside
+15.82%