Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis for TGT's price prediction for next week:
Technical Analysis
- RSI (14) at 33.09 indicates oversold conditions
- MACD shows bearish momentum with -2.53 and negative histogram
- Stock is trading below all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200-day)
- Bollinger Bands show price near lower band (118.40), suggesting potential bounce
Recent Price Action
- Current price: $124.36
- Stock has declined significantly, down from recent highs
- Trading volume has increased during the decline, indicating strong selling pressure
Fundamental Catalysts
- Holiday sales showed modest growth of 2.8%
- Company faces potential challenges from tariffs and changing consumer behavior
- Target has revised its full-year EPS guidance to $8.30-$8.90
- Recent DEI policy changes could impact consumer sentiment
Price Prediction for Next Week
Bearish Scenario ($118-120):
- Break below support could trigger further selling
- Tariff concerns intensify
- Broader market weakness continues
Base Case ($122-126):
- Consolidation near current levels
- Oversold conditions lead to stabilization
- Support holds at current levels
Bullish Scenario ($128-130):
- Oversold bounce materializes
- Positive market sentiment returns
- Support from value investors at current valuations
Recommendation: SELL
- Technical indicators remain bearish
- Multiple fundamental headwinds
- Wait for clear reversal signals before considering long positions
- Target price: $120 with stop loss at $127
Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a comprehensive analysis for TGT's price prediction for next week:
Technical Analysis
- RSI (14) at 33.09 indicates oversold conditions
- MACD shows bearish momentum with -2.53 and negative histogram
- Stock is trading below all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200-day)
- Bollinger Bands show price near lower band (118.40), suggesting potential bounce
Recent Price Action
- Current price: $124.36
- Stock has declined significantly, down from recent highs
- Trading volume has increased during the decline, indicating strong selling pressure
Fundamental Catalysts
- Holiday sales showed modest growth of 2.8%
- Company faces potential challenges from tariffs and changing consumer behavior
- Target has revised its full-year EPS guidance to $8.30-$8.90
- Recent DEI policy changes could impact consumer sentiment
Price Prediction for Next Week
Bearish Scenario ($118-120):
- Break below support could trigger further selling
- Tariff concerns intensify
- Broader market weakness continues
Base Case ($122-126):
- Consolidation near current levels
- Oversold conditions lead to stabilization
- Support holds at current levels
Bullish Scenario ($128-130):
- Oversold bounce materializes
- Positive market sentiment returns
- Support from value investors at current valuations
Recommendation: SELL
- Technical indicators remain bearish
- Multiple fundamental headwinds
- Wait for clear reversal signals before considering long positions
- Target price: $120 with stop loss at $127