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TGT Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Target Corp(TGT) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Target Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2026Q32025-11-19Pre-Market1.76--25.29B25.27B-0.06-2.77-4.51
FY2026Q22025-08-20Pre-Market2.092.05-1.9124.90B25.21B+1.23-6.33-7.81
FY2026Q12025-05-21Pre-Market1.651.30-21.2124.35B23.85B-2.06-5.21-1.15
FY2025Q42025-03-04Pre-Market2.252.41+7.1130.83B30.92B+0.27-3.00-5.72
FY2025Q32024-11-20Pre-Market2.291.85-19.2125.90B25.67B-0.90-21.97-18.88
FY2025Q22024-08-21Pre-Market2.182.57+17.8925.21B25.45B+0.97+11.20+10.80
FY2025Q12024-05-22-2.052.03-0.9824.54B24.53B-0.03-8.03-5.16
FY2024Q42024-03-05-2.462.98+21.1431.85B31.92B+0.22+12.02+11.68
FY2024Q32023-11-15-1.482.10+41.8925.24B25.40B+0.62+17.75+18.06
FY2024Q22023-08-16-1.411.80+27.6625.23B24.77B-1.82+2.96-0.09
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TGT Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Target Corp reported performance for FY2026Q3, announced on 2025-11-19. The company achieved an EPS of , compared to analyst estimates of 1.76 by % . Revenue for the quarter reached 25.27B compared to expectations of 25.29B by -0.06% .
The stock price reacted with a -2.77% one-day change and a -4.51% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Target Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

TGT Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Target Corp(TGT) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q4 project quarter revenue of 30.52B and an EPS of 2.15.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Downward by -0.29%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.68%. For the upcoming Q4 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.59% . These revisions correlate with a -1.70% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Target Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between TGT's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
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-0.29%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
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-0.68%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2026
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.59%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-1.70%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2026
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2026:104.80B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2026:7.31
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Stock Price91.59
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TGT Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Target Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2026Q3 (2025-11-19,Pre-Market):
EPS: (Actual) vs.1.76 (Estimate) (%)
Revenue: 25.27B (Actual) vs. 25.29B (Estimate) (-0.06%)
Price Reaction: -2.77%(1-Day), -4.51%(5-Day)
FY2026Q2 (2025-08-20,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.05 (Actual) vs.2.09 (Estimate) (-1.91%)
Revenue: 25.21B (Actual) vs. 24.90B (Estimate) (1.23%)
Price Reaction: -6.33%(1-Day), -7.81%(5-Day)
FY2026Q1 (2025-05-21,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.30 (Actual) vs.1.65 (Estimate) (-21.21%)
Revenue: 23.85B (Actual) vs. 24.35B (Estimate) (-2.06%)
Price Reaction: -5.21%(1-Day), -1.15%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how TGT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TGT sees a +2.01% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.61% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.42%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in OCT/2025, the stock changed -2.79% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 6.40% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Target Corp (TGT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-19
Despite some positive aspects like improved inventory shrink and strong growth in digital sales and Target Plus Marketplace, the earnings call reveals concerns. Adjusted EPS and net sales declined, and management's vague responses about business improvement create uncertainty. Positive guidance and strategic investments in technology and partnerships provide balance. Overall, the mixed results and cautious outlook suggest a neutral sentiment, with no strong catalysts to drive a significant stock price movement in the near term.
Target Corp (TGT) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-08-20
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal mixed signals. Financial performance shows a decline in EPS, but strategic initiatives like new product assortments and digital growth are positive. The Q&A highlights efforts to mitigate tariff impacts and improve category performance, but management's vague responses on comps and external pressures indicate uncertainty. The neutral rating reflects balanced positive and negative factors, with no strong catalysts for a significant stock price change.
Target Corp (TGT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-22
The earnings call summary reveals several concerns: declining EPS and net sales, increased inventory leading to markdowns, and supply chain challenges affecting margins. Despite a positive EPS surprise last quarter, guidance remains weak with expected sales declines and economic pressures. The Q&A session highlighted management's vague responses on critical issues like shrink recovery and tariff impacts. Although there's a dividend increase and share repurchase, these are overshadowed by operational and market challenges. Overall, the sentiment leans negative due to financial and strategic uncertainties.
Target Corp (TGT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-21
The earnings call reveals several concerns: declining sales, profitability pressures, and inventory challenges. Although there are some positive elements like increased digital sales and customer satisfaction, the overall financial performance shows a negative trend with lower net sales, comparable sales, and adjusted EPS. The Q&A session further highlights uncertainties in guidance and tariff impacts, with unclear management responses. Despite a small planned dividend increase, the lack of share repurchases due to tariff concerns adds to the negative sentiment. These factors suggest a negative stock price movement in the near term.
Target Corp (TGT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-21
The earnings call reveals several negative factors: declining net sales and comparable sales, decreased EPS, and gross margin pressures. Despite a slight dividend increase and share repurchase, these financial metrics indicate challenges. The Q&A highlights concerns over consumer confidence, tariffs, and inventory costs, with management providing unclear responses. Although digital sales grew, overall sentiment is negative due to economic pressures and competitive challenges. The positive impact of dividend increases and share repurchases is overshadowed by broader financial and operational issues, suggesting a likely negative stock price movement.
Target Corp (TGT) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-05
The earnings call summary presents a positive outlook with strong digital and traffic growth, increased membership, and strategic investments. The Q&A section supports this with management's proactive approach to tariffs and focus on profitability. Despite some uncertainties, the positive guidance, dividend increase, and share repurchase plans outweigh the risks, suggesting a positive stock price movement.
Target Corp (TGT) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-05
The earnings call summary reveals strong financial performance with EPS exceeding expectations and positive sales trends in key categories. The Q&A section highlights strategic investments and a promising outlook for growth, despite some economic uncertainties. The share repurchase program further supports a positive sentiment. While management was unclear on some issues, the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Target Corporation (TGT) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-20
The earnings call summary shows mixed signals: positive digital sales growth, shareholder returns, and traffic increase, but also concerns with declining margins, increased SG&A expenses, and economic uncertainties. Q&A insights reveal cautious management responses and unclear cost impacts, indicating potential investor apprehension. The optimistic guidance and continued share repurchases provide some positive sentiment, but weak EPS and margin performance counterbalance this. Overall, the sentiment leans towards neutral, with no strong catalysts for significant stock movement in the short term.
Target Corporation (TGT) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-21
The earnings call summary reflects strong financial performance, with a 42% EPS growth and a 2.7% revenue increase. Margins improved significantly, and shareholder returns were robust, with increased dividends and share repurchases. Despite regulatory and supply chain challenges, the company maintains a positive outlook with resilient consumer spending and effective merchandising strategies. The Q&A section supports this optimism, highlighting strong merchandise margins and progress in operating margin performance. The overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of TGT’s latest earnings report for FY2026Q3?

TGT reported its FY2026Q3 earnings on 2025-11-19, showcasing a revenue of 25.27B against an estimate of 25.29B, resulting in a -0.06% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 1.76 by 0% . The stock experienced a -2.77% price change on the earnings day and a -4.51% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did TGT’s stock price react after the FY2026Q3 earnings release?

Following TGT’s FY2026Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-19, the stock price moved by -2.77% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -4.51% change. Historically, TGT’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +2.01% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -0.61% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for TGT for 2026/Q4?

For 2026/Q4, analysts estimate TGT’s annual revenue to reach 30.52B, while the EPS is projected at 2.15. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.29% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.59% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does TGT’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between TGT’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were Revise Downward by -0.29%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.59% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from TGT’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, TGT’s stock price typically moves by +2.01% in the 10 days before its earnings and -0.61% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 2.15 and revenue of 30.52B.
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What is the sentiment in Target Corp (TGT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

Despite some positive aspects like improved inventory shrink and strong growth in digital sales and Target Plus Marketplace, the earnings call reveals concerns. Adjusted EPS and net sales declined, and management's vague responses about business improvement create uncertainty. Positive guidance and strategic investments in technology and partnerships provide balance. Overall, the mixed results and cautious outlook suggest a neutral sentiment, with no strong catalysts to drive a significant stock price movement in the near term.
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