Based on the provided data and context, here's a concise analysis of AEP's valuation:
Valuation Analysis
AEP currently trades at a P/E of 20.64x (Q3 2024), which is notably higher than its early 2024 levels of 16.02x, suggesting some valuation expansion. The EV/EBITDA ratio has also increased to 13.17x from 12.27x earlier in 2024, indicating slightly richer valuation multiples.
Recent Price Movement
AEP is currently trading around $97.49, showing minimal movement in recent sessions with a -0.02% change in the last regular market session .
Analyst Sentiment
Recent analyst actions suggest mixed views but with a positive bias. BofA Securities upgraded AEP from Sell to Strong Buy on January 13, 2025, with a price target increase to $104 from $98, citing accretive asset sale benefits. The consensus price target among analysts averages around $102, implying roughly 5% upside potential.
Key Factors Supporting Overvaluation:
- Trading multiples are elevated compared to early 2024 levels
- Dividend yield has decreased to 3.43% from 3.97% earlier in 2024, suggesting price appreciation
- Current P/B ratio of 2.05x is higher than Q1 2024's 1.76x
Conclusion: AEP appears moderately overvalued at current levels based on its historical trading ranges and expanded multiples across key metrics. While recent strategic moves like the KKR/PSP asset sale have improved the outlook, current valuations have largely priced in these positives.