Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent market data and news, here's a concise analysis of ODFL's current situation:

Technical Analysis The stock is showing bearish signals with RSI at 36.77 indicating oversold conditions but not yet at extreme levels. The stock is trading below its key moving averages (SMA 5: 199.68, SMA 20: 195.08).

Recent Price Action ODFL experienced a significant 8.54% drop to $180.40 on Friday, marking its third consecutive day of losses. The stock is currently trading at $182 in pre-market with a +0.89% gain.

Key Market Drivers

• Transportation sector facing broad pressure due to weak economic data and tariff concerns
• U.S. business activity nearly stalling in February
• Consumer sentiment dropping to 15-month low
• Concerns over potential 25% auto tariffs impact on freight volumes

Support/Resistance Levels

• Key support: $178.49 (Fibonacci S1)
• Key resistance: $208.75 (Fibonacci R1)

Based on the technical indicators and recent negative market sentiment, selling ODFL stock appears to be the more prudent action at current levels, as the stock shows continued weakness and faces significant sector-wide headwinds.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here's a concise price prediction for ODFL stock in 2025:

ODFL is expected to trade at $202-205 by end of 2025, supported by strong pricing power offsetting volume declines. The prediction is based on recent analyst consensus, with Morgan Stanley setting a $170 target while Evercore ISI maintains a $202 target. The company's resilient business model and dividend growth (7.7% increase in Q1 2025) suggest moderate upside potential despite challenging macroeconomic conditions.

The technical analysis shows the stock is currently trading near support levels around $180, with next resistance at $208.75 based on Fibonacci levels. The RSI at 36.77 indicates slightly oversold conditions, suggesting limited downside risk from current levels.

The S1 support level for ODFL Stock is $177.25 ,The R1 resistant level for ODFL Stock is $207.52.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-26, the price of ODFL Stock was $180.91.

The target price for ODFL Stock according to analyst rating is 205.31, with the highest price target at 240.00 and the lowest at 170.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on ODFL Stock overall.

The market cap of ODFL is $38.4B.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here is a concise 5-sentence analysis of ODFL's valuation:

ODFL appears significantly overvalued with current P/E of 36x compared to its 2022 P/E of 23.3x, while showing deteriorating fundamentals with revenue declining 6.3% and net income dropping 10% in 2023. The stock's technical indicators suggest bearish momentum with RSI at 36.77 and negative MACD histogram, while trading below its 5-day moving average of $199.68. Recent news indicates the stock dropped 8.54% to $180.40 on Friday amid broader market declines and concerns over weak economic data and tariff fears. The company faces headwinds from challenging macroeconomic conditions creating persistent demand weakness, while its valuation multiples have expanded significantly with EV/EBITDA increasing from 14.75x to 22.33x and P/S rising from 5.13x to 7.61x year-over-year. With deteriorating fundamentals, rich valuation metrics, bearish technicals, and macro headwinds, ODFL appears overvalued at current levels.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is a less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carriers. The Company provides regional, inter-regional and national LTL services through a single integrated, union-free organization. Its service offerings, which include expedited transportation, are provided through an expansive network of service centers located throughout the continental United States. It offers a range of value-added services including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. It operates approximately 257 service center locations, of which the Company owns 233 and leases 24. Its service centers are responsible for the pickup and delivery of freight within their local service area. Its system offers its customers access to information such as freight tracking, shipping documents, rate quotes, rate databases, and account activity. The Company's integrated systems and customer service department provide its customers with a single point of contact to access information.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, I'll analyze ODFL's potential price for 2030:

Price Target Analysis for 2030

The stock is projected to reach $350-375 by 2030, driven by ODFL's dominant market position in LTL freight and consistent operational excellence. This projection is supported by:

1. Strong Financial Foundation:

• Industry-leading operating ratio of 75.9%
• Robust cash flow generation of $1.7 billion annually
• Consistent dividend growth with recent 7.7% increase

Growth Drivers Supporting 2030 Target

The price target is based on:

1. Market Leadership:

• Unmatched value proposition in LTL sector
• Strong pricing power with 3.8% increase in revenue per hundredweight
• Well-positioned to capture market share when industry demand recovers

2. Analyst Confidence:

• Current analyst targets range from $165 to $240
• Morgan Stanley raised target to $170
• Evercore ISI maintains $202 target

The 2030 price target of $350-375 represents approximately 80-92% upside from current levels, translating to roughly 8-9% annual appreciation, which aligns with the company's historical growth trajectory and industry leadership position.

ODFL has a total of 22902 employees.